The Dynamics of Migrants and the Demographic Process in Azerbaijan

EasyChair Preprint 15781

Abstract

The purpose of the article is to clarify the relationship between the dynamics of migrants and demographic processes. To account for the components of demographic change (births, deaths, net domestic and international migration) individual cointegrated equations are created. The net migration equations are more difficult to model because economic conditions, particularly labor market conditions, affect this process over time. Methods of analysis and synthesis, comparison, induction and deduction, etc. were used for demographic analysis. When developing regression models between the number of migrants and the groups directly influencing it, an econometric model was applied. When solving the problem, independent variables were combined in groups and based on the data, a correlation model of the relationship between the number of migrants and demographic factors was built. The model was tested at α=0.01, α=0.05 for the absence of autocorrelation. The results of the study can be applied in regulating the flow of migrants and maintaining its pace at an optimal level.The research contributes to the regulation of international migration, thanks to the theoretical and practical results obtained. The relevance and value of the study is confirmed by the influence of migration and demographic processes on the standard of living of the population.

Keyphrases: DEMOGRAPHY., Demographic factors., Migration., econometric model

@booklet{EasyChair:15781,
  author    = {Kamran Shykhyly},
  title     = {The Dynamics of Migrants and the Demographic Process in Azerbaijan},
  howpublished = {EasyChair Preprint 15781},
  year      = {EasyChair, 2025}}