SBE40: 40TH MEETING OF THE BRAZILIAN ECONOMETRIC SOCIETY
PROGRAM

Days: Tuesday, December 11th Wednesday, December 12th Thursday, December 13th Friday, December 14th

Tuesday, December 11th

View this program: with abstractssession overviewtalk overview

13:30-15:00 Session 1A: Macro 1
Location: Capri 3
13:30
Innovation Coordination Failures and Endogenous Productivity: On the dynamic effect of misallocation (abstract)
14:00
The role of resource misallocation in structural change (abstract)
14:30
Geographic discontinuity of a macroprudencial policy: Evidence from Brazilian municipalities (abstract)
13:30-15:00 Session 1B: Macro 2
Location: Capri 4
13:30
Nowcasting Brazilian GDP A Performance Assessment of Dynamic Factor Models (abstract)
14:00
Employment Cyclicality by Firm Size, Wage and Productivity in Brazil (abstract)
14:30
Modeling How Macroeconomic Shocks Affect Regional Employment: Analyzing the Brazilian Formal Labor Market using the Global VAR (abstract)
13:30-15:00 Session 1C: Finance 1
Location: Capri 5
13:30
How cash holdings affect the profitability of banking firms? (abstract)
14:00
Does control concentration affect board structure? International evidence (abstract)
14:30
Dotcom Extreme Underpricing (abstract)
13:30-15:00 Session 1D: Special Session - REAP Micro Aplicada
Location: Capri 1
13:30
Low birth weight and infant mortality: Evidence from Brazil and Chile (abstract)
14:00
Pre-Hospital Care: Effects of UPA 24hs on Hospitals and Patient Outcomes (abstract)
14:30
The Intergenerational Payday Effect (abstract)
15:00-15:15Coffee Break
15:15-16:45 Session 2A: Health and Impact Evaluation
Location: Capri 4
15:15
Can Workforce Recruitment Programs affect Local Labor Markets? Evidence from a Physician Program (abstract)
15:45
Assessing the impact of More Doctors Program on health care indicators (abstract)
16:15
Cash and Care: Conditional Cash Transfers and Birth Outcomes (abstract)
15:15-16:45 Session 2B: Econometrics 1
Location: Capri 3
15:15
Maximum Likelihood Estimation of a TVP-VAR (abstract)
15:45
Distributional Counterfactual Analysis with (common) Deterministic trend units (abstract)
16:11
Testing jump spillovers without testing for jumps (abstract)
15:15-16:45 Session 2C: Political Economy
Location: Capri 5
15:15
Popularity shocks and political selection (abstract)
15:45
To the Victor Belongs the Spoils? Party Membership and Public Sector Employment in Brazil (abstract)
16:15
An evaluation of the policy response to the recent water crisis in São Paulo, Brazil: A political budget cycles interpretation (abstract)
15:15-16:45 Session 2D: Special Session - REAP Macro Aplicada
Location: Capri 1
15:15
Labor Earnings Dynamics with a Large Informal Sector (abstract)
15:45
Health Insurance and Labor Markets (abstract)
16:15
Trade and Informality in the Presence of Labor Market Frictions and Regulations (abstract)
17:00-18:30 Session 3: Machine Learning Mini-course 1/2
Location: Capri 1
17:00
Introdução ao Aprendizado de Máquina (abstract)
Wednesday, December 12th

View this program: with abstractssession overviewtalk overview

08:30-10:00 Session 6A: Health and Environment
Location: Capri 5
08:30
Cigarette Consumers Behavior: Effects of Smoking Bans in Brazil (abstract)
09:00
Air Pollution Consequences in São Paulo: Evidence for Health (abstract)
09:30
Consumer Response to Energy Label Policies:Evidence from the Brazilian Energy Label Program (abstract)
08:30-10:00 Session 6B: Macro 3
Location: Capri 6
08:30
Monetary Policy Volatility Shocks in Brazil (abstract)
09:00
Debt-Dependent Fiscal Rules in a Small Open-Economy with Endogenous Financial Crises (abstract)
09:30
Adapting DSGEs for Macroprudential Policy: Regime-Switching with Endogenous Probabilities (abstract)
08:30-10:00 Session 6C: Skill Formation
Location: Capri 4
08:30
An aspiring friend is a friend indeed: school peers and college aspirations in Brazil (abstract)
09:00
Individual Incentives, Collective Incentives and Socioemotional Skills (abstract)
09:30
Play to Learn: Impact of Technology on Student’s Math Performance (abstract)
08:30-10:00 Session 6D: Finance 2
Location: Capri 3
08:30
Previsão macroeconômica em tempo real para o Brasil: uma aplicação do modelo VAR com coeficientes variando no tempo e volatilidade estocástica (abstract)
09:00
Inflação Implícita a partir de Títulos Públicos: uma abordagem alternativa (abstract)
09:30
Compatible Explanations for Two Different Equity Premia: the Brazilian and U.S. stock markets from 1968 to 2017 (abstract)
10:15-11:45 Session 7A: Special Session - World Bank
Location: Capri 4
10:15
World Development Report 2019: The changing Nature of Work (abstract)
10:15-11:45 Session 7C: EESP-FGV Prize Session - Econometrics
Location: Capri 3
10:15
BooST: BOOSTING SMOOTH TREES FOR PARTIAL EFFECT ESTIMATION IN NONLINEAR REGRESSIONS (abstract)
11:00
Component shares in continuous time (abstract)
10:15-11:45 Session 7D: EPGE-FGV Prize Session - Theory
Location: Capri 5
10:15
Robust project selection in cost-based procurement (abstract)
11:00
Water Wind and Fire: Competitive Equilibrium in Electricity Markets with Renewables (abstract)
10:15-11:45 Session 7E: Prize Session - Finance
Location: Capri 6
10:15
The cross-section of retail investors: tax-inattention, performance, and behavioral biases (abstract)
10:45
Volatility Discovery (abstract)
11:45-13:30Lunch
13:30-15:00 Session 8: Keynote Lecture ANPEC/SBE - Leonardo Bursztyn
Location: Capri 1
13:30
Conferência SBE / ANPEC: Keynote Lecture - Appropriate Behavior: Social Norms, Morality and Decision-Making (abstract)
15:00-15:15Coffee Break
15:15-16:45 Session 9A: Macro 4
Location: Capri 3
15:15
Structural Transformation and Labor Productivity in Brazil (abstract)
15:45
Queda e Ascensão da Inflação no Brasil: uma análise da política monetária de Meirelles e de Tombini (abstract)
16:15
Price setting in Brazil from 1989 to 2007: Evidence on hyperinflation and stable prices (abstract)
15:15-16:45 Session 9B: Theory 1
Location: Capri 6
15:15
Tournaments and Nontransitive Rationalization (abstract)
15:45
Menu Choices with Consideration Sets (abstract)
16:15
The Law Abiding Citizen (Axiomatized) (abstract)
15:15-16:45 Session 9C: Crime Prevention
Location: Capri 5
15:15
Pretrial Detention, Rearrest Rates and Crime: Evidence from the Introduction of Detention Hearings in Brazil (abstract)
15:45
Do Better Courts Prevent Crime? (abstract)
16:15
The Fire-Armed Police Effect: Evidence from a Quasi-Natural Experiment in Brazil (abstract)
15:15-16:45 Session 9D: Special Session - BNDES: Gestão Pública Baseada em Evidências
Location: Capri 1
15:15
O que é Gestão Pública baseada em Evidência? (abstract)
15:40
Estudos de Casos: Experiências Estaduais (abstract)
16:05
Apresentação do Expenditure Review (abstract)
16:30
Relatório de Efetividade (abstract)
15:15-16:45 Session 9E: Special Session - FIPE-USP: EconomistAs
Location: Capri 4
15:15
As Mulheres nos Diferentes Estágios da Carreira Acadêmica em Economia no Brasil (abstract)
15:45
A participação Feminina nos Encontros Nacionais da ANPEC e SBE (abstract)
16:15
The Labor Market Effects of Maternity Leave Extension (abstract)
17:00-18:30 Session 10A: Invited Session - Political Economy
Location: Capri 1
17:00
The Political Economy of European Dis(integration) (abstract)
17:30
Friendship Networks and Political Opinions: A Natural Experiment among Future French Politicians (abstract)
18:00
Political Specialization (abstract)
18:45-19:45 Session 11: Trubute Session- Affonso Celso Pastore
Location: Capri 1
18:45
Sessão Especial de Homenagem ao Professor Affonso Celso Pastore (abstract)
Thursday, December 13th

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08:30-10:00 Session 12A: Education
Location: Capri 4
08:30
College quality signaling and individual performance: Effects on labor market outcomes after graduation (abstract)
09:00
The Effects of Changes in School Entry Age and Duration on Student Performance: Evidence from Brazilian Primary Schooling Reform (abstract)
09:30
Efeitos de Tamanho da Sala no Desempenho dos Alunos: Evidências Usando Regressões Descontínuas no Brasil (abstract)
08:30-10:00 Session 12B: Macro 5
Location: Capri 3
08:30
Ambiguity and Economic Cycles in Brazil (abstract)
09:00
Producers’ expectation shocks and the Business cycles (abstract)
09:30
Os custos parciais de bem-estar associados à incerteza macroeconômica e aos ciclos de negócios (abstract)
08:30-10:00 Session 12C: Labor Economics
Location: Capri 5
08:30
The Soup and the Gumbo: Determinants of Creativity and Impact in Popular Music (abstract)
09:00
Firm location: an approach using spatial point process (abstract)
09:30
Assortative Matching or Exclusionary Hiring? The Impact of Hiring and Pay Policies on Racial Wage Differences in Brazil (abstract)
08:30-10:00 Session 12D: Finance 3
Location: Capri 3
08:30
Profit Status of Microfinance Institutions and Incentives for Earnings Management (abstract)
09:00
Mobile Money Use and SME Financial Inclusion in East Africa (abstract)
10:15-11:45 Session 13A: Special Session - Fundação Itaú Social: Desigualdades na Educação Brasileira
Location: Capri 1
10:15
Medida do Hiato e de Desigualdades nos Escores dos Estudantes da Educação Básica Brasileira (abstract)
10:45
Efeitos Heterogêneos de frequentar a Creche sobre os Resultados Educacionais (abstract)
11:15
Desigualdades no desempenho dos alunos brasileiros ao longo da prova do PISA (abstract)
10:15-11:45 Session 13B: SBE Prize Session - Applied Micro
Location: Capri 5
10:15
Money and Politics: The Effects of Campaign Spending Limits on Political Entry and Competition (abstract)
11:00
Can Better Peers Signal Less Success? The Disruptive Effect of Perceived Rank on Career Investment (abstract)
10:15-11:45 Session 13C: SBE Prize Session - Applied Macro
Location: Capri 3
10:15
On the implications of strategic uncertainty for expectation formation in macroeconomics (abstract)
11:00
INTERNATIONAL RESERVES MANAGEMENT IN A MODEL OF PARTIAL SOVEREIGN DEFAULT (abstract)
11:45-13:30Lunch
13:30-15:00 Session 14: Keynote Lecture SBE - Nathan Nunn
Location: Capri 1
13:30
Conferência SBE: Keynote Lecture - On the Economic Consequences of Culture and Tradition (abstract)
15:00-15:15Coffee Break
15:15-16:45 Session 15A: Macro 6
Location: Capri 6
15:15
The colonial exports pattern, institutions and current economic performance (abstract)
15:45
Self-employment in the United Kingdom: The role of frictions and labor market institutions (abstract)
16:15
Dispersion in Financing Costs and Development (abstract)
15:15-16:45 Session 15B: Labor Market Effects
Location: Capri 5
15:15
Housing programs and labor supply: Evidence from lotteries in Brazil (abstract)
15:45
The Effect of Job Referrals on Labor Market Outcomes in Brazil (abstract)
16:15
Labor Market Effects of Public Housing: Evidence from Large-Scale Lotteries (abstract)
15:15-16:45 Session 15C: Public Economics
Location: Capri 3
15:15
Judicial Efficiency and Corporate Bankruptcy Resolutions: Evidence from Brazil (abstract)
15:45
Revenue Shocks and Fiscal Capacity: Evidence from Brazil (abstract)
16:15
The elasticity of population reporting in Brazilian municipalities: 1991–2010. (abstract)
15:15-16:45 Session 15D: Special Session - Fundação Lemann: Como desenvolver e mensurar altas expectativas e mentalidade de crescimento no ambiente escolar
Location: Capri 1
15:15
Experiências nacionais e internacionais de implementação de práticas de altas expectativas e mentalidade de crescimento (abstract)
15:40
A experiência do Colégio Sidarta na implementação de práticas para o desenvolvimento de altas expectativas e mentalidade de crescimento (abstract)
16:05
Mentalidade no contexto internancional: Como a mentalidade influencia a trajetória acadêmica (abstract)
16:30
Os desafios de medir mindset e expectativas no ambiente escolar (abstract)
15:15-16:45 Session 15E: Sessão Especial IPEA: Catálogo de parâmetros para análises custo-benefício de projetos, programas e políticas públicas no Brasil
Location: Capri 4
15:15
Catálogo de Parâmetros para Análises Custo-Benefício de projetos, programas e políticas públicas no Brasil (abstract)
16:00
Catálogo de Parâmetros para Análises Custo-Benefício de projetos, programas e políticas públicas no Brasil (abstract)
17:00-18:30 Session 16A: Invited Session - Crime
Location: Capri 1
17:00
Police Patrols and Crime (abstract)
17:30
The Minimum Wage, EITC, and Criminal Recidivism (abstract)
18:00
Reclaiming the Monopoly of Violence? Evidence from the Pacification of Rio's Favelas (abstract)
Friday, December 14th

View this program: with abstractssession overviewtalk overview

08:30-10:15 Session 19A: Macro 7
Location: Capri 4
08:30
Bank runs with wary depositors (abstract)
08:56
Liquidity Mismatch or Bubbly Mismatch? (abstract)
09:22
Inflation Targeting under Fiscal Fragility (abstract)
09:48
Indexação e Metas de Inflação (abstract)
08:30-10:00 Session 19B: Theory 2
Location: Capri 5
08:30
Lipschitz Recursive Equilibrium with a Minimal State Space for Growth Models with Heterogeneity (abstract)
09:00
On the Variational Approach to the Analysis of Tax Systems: A Cautionary Tale (abstract)
09:30
Crime, Broken Families, and Punishment (abstract)
08:30-10:00 Session 19C: Finance 4
Location: Capri 3
08:30
Comparação do desempenho de medidas realizadas para previsão de volatilidade de ações da B3 (abstract)
09:00
Forecasting Large Stochastic Covariance Matrices (abstract)
09:30
Implied volatility term structure and exchange rate predictability (abstract)
08:30-10:15 Session 19D: Econometrics 2
Location: Capri 4
08:30
DSGE Estimation using Generalized Empirical Likelihood and Generalized Minimum Contrast (abstract)
08:56
Common Values, Unobserved Heterogeneity, and Endogenous Entry in U.S. Offshore Oil Lease Auctions (abstract)
09:22
Markov Switching Gas Copula model (abstract)
09:52
(Continuous) GMM Quantile Regression (abstract)
10:30-12:00 Session 20A: Macro 8
Location: Capri 6
10:30
The impact of the international commodity market on the Brazilian economy: an analysis using global-VAR (GVAR) (abstract)
11:00
Financial openness, economic globalization and its effects on monetary policy efficiency and macroeconomic stability (abstract)
11:30
The Role of Global Activity, Uncertainty and Commodity Price in the Determination of Emerging Countries' Business Cycle (abstract)
10:30-12:00 Session 20B: Health and Human Capital Formation
Location: Capri 3
10:30
Human capital formation from gestation to age 18: evidence from Brazil (abstract)
11:00
Condições Iniciais e Resultados Educacionais Futuros: Os efeitos da Malária na Amazônia Brasileira (abstract)
11:30
Health at Birth, short-run health effects and educational outcomes (abstract)
10:30-12:00 Session 20C: Special Session - Swiss Program for Research on Global Issues for Development: Trade and Labor Market Outcomes in Developing Countries
Location: Capri 1
10:30
The China Shock: Consumption Patterns (abstract)
10:55
Exports and Firm Organization (abstract)
11:20
Trade and Women’s Wage Employment (abstract)
11:45
Labor Clauses in Trade Agreements: Worker Protection or Protectionism? (abstract)
10:30-12:00 Session 20D: Special Session - Environment
Location: Capri 4
10:30
Power plants and deforestation: recent evidence from the Amazon (abstract)
11:00
Energy and misallocation in the industry: evidence from Brazil (abstract)
11:30
Hedging Climate Change: yield volatility, crop choice and trade (abstract)
12:00-13:30Lunch