PROGRAM
Days: Tuesday, December 11th Wednesday, December 12th Thursday, December 13th Friday, December 14th
Tuesday, December 11th
View this program: with abstractssession overviewtalk overview
13:30-15:00 Session 1A: Macro 1
Location: Capri 3
13:30 | Innovation Coordination Failures and Endogenous Productivity: On the dynamic effect of misallocation (abstract) |
14:00 | The role of resource misallocation in structural change (abstract) |
14:30 | Geographic discontinuity of a macroprudencial policy: Evidence from Brazilian municipalities (abstract) |
13:30-15:00 Session 1B: Macro 2
Location: Capri 4
13:30 | Nowcasting Brazilian GDP A Performance Assessment of Dynamic Factor Models (abstract) |
14:00 | Employment Cyclicality by Firm Size, Wage and Productivity in Brazil (abstract) |
14:30 | Modeling How Macroeconomic Shocks Affect Regional Employment: Analyzing the Brazilian Formal Labor Market using the Global VAR (abstract) |
13:30-15:00 Session 1C: Finance 1
Location: Capri 5
13:30 | How cash holdings affect the profitability of banking firms? (abstract) |
14:00 | Does control concentration affect board structure? International evidence (abstract) |
14:30 | Dotcom Extreme Underpricing (abstract) |
13:30-15:00 Session 1D: Special Session - REAP Micro Aplicada
Chair:
Location: Capri 1
13:30 | Low birth weight and infant mortality: Evidence from Brazil and Chile (abstract) |
14:00 | Pre-Hospital Care: Effects of UPA 24hs on Hospitals and Patient Outcomes (abstract) |
14:30 | The Intergenerational Payday Effect (abstract) |
15:00-15:15Coffee Break
15:15-16:45 Session 2A: Health and Impact Evaluation
Location: Capri 4
15:15 | Can Workforce Recruitment Programs affect Local Labor Markets? Evidence from a Physician Program (abstract) |
15:45 | Assessing the impact of More Doctors Program on health care indicators (abstract) |
16:15 | Cash and Care: Conditional Cash Transfers and Birth Outcomes (abstract) |
15:15-16:45 Session 2B: Econometrics 1
Location: Capri 3
15:15 | Maximum Likelihood Estimation of a TVP-VAR (abstract) |
15:45 | Distributional Counterfactual Analysis with (common) Deterministic trend units (abstract) |
16:11 | Testing jump spillovers without testing for jumps (abstract) |
15:15-16:45 Session 2C: Political Economy
Location: Capri 5
15:15 | Popularity shocks and political selection (abstract) |
15:45 | To the Victor Belongs the Spoils? Party Membership and Public Sector Employment in Brazil (abstract) |
16:15 | An evaluation of the policy response to the recent water crisis in São Paulo, Brazil: A political budget cycles interpretation (abstract) |
15:15-16:45 Session 2D: Special Session - REAP Macro Aplicada
Chair:
Location: Capri 1
15:15 | Labor Earnings Dynamics with a Large Informal Sector (abstract) |
15:45 | Health Insurance and Labor Markets (abstract) |
16:15 | Trade and Informality in the Presence of Labor Market Frictions and Regulations (abstract) |
17:00-18:30 Session 3: Machine Learning Mini-course 1/2
Location: Capri 1
17:00 | Introdução ao Aprendizado de Máquina (abstract) |
19:15-20:15 Session 5: Opening Session - 40th Brazilian Econometric Society and 46th ANPEC Conferences
Location: Oceania VI - ANPEC
Wednesday, December 12th
View this program: with abstractssession overviewtalk overview
08:30-10:00 Session 6A: Health and Environment
Location: Capri 5
08:30 | Cigarette Consumers Behavior: Effects of Smoking Bans in Brazil (abstract) |
09:00 | Air Pollution Consequences in São Paulo: Evidence for Health (abstract) |
09:30 | Consumer Response to Energy Label Policies:Evidence from the Brazilian Energy Label Program (abstract) |
08:30-10:00 Session 6B: Macro 3
Location: Capri 6
08:30 | Monetary Policy Volatility Shocks in Brazil (abstract) |
09:00 | Debt-Dependent Fiscal Rules in a Small Open-Economy with Endogenous Financial Crises (abstract) |
09:30 | Adapting DSGEs for Macroprudential Policy: Regime-Switching with Endogenous Probabilities (abstract) |
08:30-10:00 Session 6C: Skill Formation
Location: Capri 4
08:30 | An aspiring friend is a friend indeed: school peers and college aspirations in Brazil (abstract) |
09:00 | Individual Incentives, Collective Incentives and Socioemotional Skills (abstract) |
09:30 | Play to Learn: Impact of Technology on Student’s Math Performance (abstract) |
08:30-10:00 Session 6D: Finance 2
Location: Capri 3
08:30 | Previsão macroeconômica em tempo real para o Brasil: uma aplicação do modelo VAR com coeficientes variando no tempo e volatilidade estocástica (abstract) |
09:00 | Inflação Implícita a partir de Títulos Públicos: uma abordagem alternativa (abstract) |
09:30 | Compatible Explanations for Two Different Equity Premia: the Brazilian and U.S. stock markets from 1968 to 2017 (abstract) |
10:15-11:45 Session 7A: Special Session - World Bank
Chair:
Location: Capri 4
10:15 | World Development Report 2019: The changing Nature of Work (abstract) |
10:15-11:45 Session 7B: Special Session - Instituto Unibanco: Efetividade do investimento em educação no cenário brasileiro: por que gestão importa?
Location: Capri 1
10:15 | TBA (abstract) |
10:40 | TBA (abstract) |
11:05 | TBA (abstract) |
11:30 | TBA (abstract) |
10:15-11:45 Session 7C: EESP-FGV Prize Session - Econometrics
Location: Capri 3
10:15 | BooST: BOOSTING SMOOTH TREES FOR PARTIAL EFFECT ESTIMATION IN NONLINEAR REGRESSIONS (abstract) |
11:00 | Component shares in continuous time (abstract) |
10:15-11:45 Session 7D: EPGE-FGV Prize Session - Theory
Location: Capri 5
10:15 | Robust project selection in cost-based procurement (abstract) |
11:00 | Water Wind and Fire: Competitive Equilibrium in Electricity Markets with Renewables (abstract) |
10:15-11:45 Session 7E: Prize Session - Finance
Location: Capri 6
10:15 | The cross-section of retail investors: tax-inattention, performance, and behavioral biases (abstract) |
10:45 | Volatility Discovery (abstract) |
11:45-13:30Lunch
13:30-15:00 Session 8: Keynote Lecture ANPEC/SBE - Leonardo Bursztyn
Chair:
Location: Capri 1
13:30 | Conferência SBE / ANPEC: Keynote Lecture - Appropriate Behavior: Social Norms, Morality and Decision-Making (abstract) |
15:00-15:15Coffee Break
15:15-16:45 Session 9A: Macro 4
Location: Capri 3
15:15 | Structural Transformation and Labor Productivity in Brazil (abstract) |
15:45 | Queda e Ascensão da Inflação no Brasil: uma análise da política monetária de Meirelles e de Tombini (abstract) |
16:15 | Price setting in Brazil from 1989 to 2007: Evidence on hyperinflation and stable prices (abstract) |
15:15-16:45 Session 9B: Theory 1
Location: Capri 6
15:15 | Tournaments and Nontransitive Rationalization (abstract) |
15:45 | Menu Choices with Consideration Sets (abstract) |
16:15 | The Law Abiding Citizen (Axiomatized) (abstract) |
15:15-16:45 Session 9C: Crime Prevention
Location: Capri 5
15:15 | Pretrial Detention, Rearrest Rates and Crime: Evidence from the Introduction of Detention Hearings in Brazil (abstract) |
15:45 | Do Better Courts Prevent Crime? (abstract) |
16:15 | The Fire-Armed Police Effect: Evidence from a Quasi-Natural Experiment in Brazil (abstract) |
15:15-16:45 Session 9D: Special Session - BNDES: Gestão Pública Baseada em Evidências
Chair:
Location: Capri 1
15:15 | O que é Gestão Pública baseada em Evidência? (abstract) |
15:40 | Estudos de Casos: Experiências Estaduais (abstract) |
16:05 | Apresentação do Expenditure Review (abstract) |
16:30 | Relatório de Efetividade (abstract) |
15:15-16:45 Session 9E: Special Session - FIPE-USP: EconomistAs
Chair:
Location: Capri 4
15:15 | As Mulheres nos Diferentes Estágios da Carreira Acadêmica em Economia no Brasil (abstract) |
15:45 | A participação Feminina nos Encontros Nacionais da ANPEC e SBE (abstract) |
16:15 | The Labor Market Effects of Maternity Leave Extension (abstract) |
17:00-18:30 Session 10A: Invited Session - Political Economy
Location: Capri 1
17:00 | The Political Economy of European Dis(integration) (abstract) |
17:30 | Friendship Networks and Political Opinions: A Natural Experiment among Future French Politicians (abstract) |
18:00 | Political Specialization (abstract) |
17:00-18:30 Session 10B: Impact Evaluation Mini-course 1/2
Location: Capri 3
17:00 | Introdução à Avaliação de Impacto (abstract) |
18:45-19:45 Session 11: Trubute Session- Affonso Celso Pastore
Chair:
Location: Capri 1
18:45 | Sessão Especial de Homenagem ao Professor Affonso Celso Pastore (abstract) |
Thursday, December 13th
View this program: with abstractssession overviewtalk overview
08:30-10:00 Session 12A: Education
Location: Capri 4
08:30 | College quality signaling and individual performance: Effects on labor market outcomes after graduation (abstract) |
09:00 | The Effects of Changes in School Entry Age and Duration on Student Performance: Evidence from Brazilian Primary Schooling Reform (abstract) |
09:30 | Efeitos de Tamanho da Sala no Desempenho dos Alunos: Evidências Usando Regressões Descontínuas no Brasil (abstract) |
08:30-10:00 Session 12B: Macro 5
Location: Capri 3
08:30 | Ambiguity and Economic Cycles in Brazil (abstract) |
09:00 | Producers’ expectation shocks and the Business cycles (abstract) |
09:30 | Os custos parciais de bem-estar associados à incerteza macroeconômica e aos ciclos de negócios (abstract) |
08:30-10:00 Session 12C: Labor Economics
Location: Capri 5
08:30 | The Soup and the Gumbo: Determinants of Creativity and Impact in Popular Music (abstract) |
09:00 | Firm location: an approach using spatial point process (abstract) |
09:30 | Assortative Matching or Exclusionary Hiring? The Impact of Hiring and Pay Policies on Racial Wage Differences in Brazil (abstract) |
08:30-10:00 Session 12D: Finance 3
Location: Capri 3
08:30 | Profit Status of Microfinance Institutions and Incentives for Earnings Management (abstract) |
09:00 | Mobile Money Use and SME Financial Inclusion in East Africa (abstract) |
10:15-11:45 Session 13A: Special Session - Fundação Itaú Social: Desigualdades na Educação Brasileira
Chair:
Location: Capri 1
10:15 | Medida do Hiato e de Desigualdades nos Escores dos Estudantes da Educação Básica Brasileira (abstract) |
10:45 | Efeitos Heterogêneos de frequentar a Creche sobre os Resultados Educacionais (abstract) |
11:15 | Desigualdades no desempenho dos alunos brasileiros ao longo da prova do PISA (abstract) |
10:15-11:45 Session 13B: SBE Prize Session - Applied Micro
Location: Capri 5
10:15 | Money and Politics: The Effects of Campaign Spending Limits on Political Entry and Competition (abstract) |
11:00 | Can Better Peers Signal Less Success? The Disruptive Effect of Perceived Rank on Career Investment (abstract) |
10:15-11:45 Session 13C: SBE Prize Session - Applied Macro
Location: Capri 3
10:15 | On the implications of strategic uncertainty for expectation formation in macroeconomics (abstract) |
11:00 | INTERNATIONAL RESERVES MANAGEMENT IN A MODEL OF PARTIAL SOVEREIGN DEFAULT (abstract) |
10:15-11:45 Session 13D: Special Session - IDB/CLEAR: Buscando o Impacto das Avaliações de Impacto - a experiencia do BID
Chair:
Location: Capri 4
10:15 | TBA (abstract) |
10:45 | TBA (abstract) |
11:15 | TBA (abstract) |
11:45-13:30Lunch
13:30-15:00 Session 14: Keynote Lecture SBE - Nathan Nunn
Chair:
Location: Capri 1
13:30 | Conferência SBE: Keynote Lecture - On the Economic Consequences of Culture and Tradition (abstract) |
15:00-15:15Coffee Break
15:15-16:45 Session 15A: Macro 6
Location: Capri 6
15:15 | The colonial exports pattern, institutions and current economic performance (abstract) |
15:45 | Self-employment in the United Kingdom: The role of frictions and labor market institutions (abstract) |
16:15 | Dispersion in Financing Costs and Development (abstract) |
15:15-16:45 Session 15B: Labor Market Effects
Location: Capri 5
15:15 | Housing programs and labor supply: Evidence from lotteries in Brazil (abstract) |
15:45 | The Effect of Job Referrals on Labor Market Outcomes in Brazil (abstract) |
16:15 | Labor Market Effects of Public Housing: Evidence from Large-Scale Lotteries (abstract) |
15:15-16:45 Session 15C: Public Economics
Location: Capri 3
15:15 | Judicial Efficiency and Corporate Bankruptcy Resolutions: Evidence from Brazil (abstract) |
15:45 | Revenue Shocks and Fiscal Capacity: Evidence from Brazil (abstract) |
16:15 | The elasticity of population reporting in Brazilian municipalities: 1991–2010. (abstract) |
15:15-16:45 Session 15D: Special Session - Fundação Lemann: Como desenvolver e mensurar altas expectativas e mentalidade de crescimento no ambiente escolar
Chair:
Location: Capri 1
15:15 | Experiências nacionais e internacionais de implementação de práticas de altas expectativas e mentalidade de crescimento (abstract) |
15:40 | A experiência do Colégio Sidarta na implementação de práticas para o desenvolvimento de altas expectativas e mentalidade de crescimento (abstract) |
16:05 | Mentalidade no contexto internancional: Como a mentalidade influencia a trajetória acadêmica (abstract) |
16:30 | Os desafios de medir mindset e expectativas no ambiente escolar (abstract) |
15:15-16:45 Session 15E: Sessão Especial IPEA: Catálogo de parâmetros para análises custo-benefício de projetos, programas e políticas públicas no Brasil
Location: Capri 4
15:15 | Catálogo de Parâmetros para Análises Custo-Benefício de projetos, programas e políticas públicas no Brasil (abstract) |
16:00 | Catálogo de Parâmetros para Análises Custo-Benefício de projetos, programas e políticas públicas no Brasil (abstract) |
17:00-18:30 Session 16A: Invited Session - Crime
Location: Capri 1
17:00 | Police Patrols and Crime (abstract) |
17:30 | The Minimum Wage, EITC, and Criminal Recidivism (abstract) |
18:00 | Reclaiming the Monopoly of Violence? Evidence from the Pacification of Rio's Favelas (abstract) |
19:00-20:15 Session 17: Special Talk- Perspectivas sobre a Economia Brasileira com o Ministro Paulo Guedes
Location: Capri 1
Friday, December 14th
View this program: with abstractssession overviewtalk overview
08:30-10:15 Session 19A: Macro 7
Location: Capri 4
08:30 | Bank runs with wary depositors (abstract) |
08:56 | Liquidity Mismatch or Bubbly Mismatch? (abstract) |
09:22 | Inflation Targeting under Fiscal Fragility (abstract) |
09:48 | Indexação e Metas de Inflação (abstract) |
08:30-10:00 Session 19B: Theory 2
Location: Capri 5
08:30 | Lipschitz Recursive Equilibrium with a Minimal State Space for Growth Models with Heterogeneity (abstract) |
09:00 | On the Variational Approach to the Analysis of Tax Systems: A Cautionary Tale (abstract) |
09:30 | Crime, Broken Families, and Punishment (abstract) |
08:30-10:00 Session 19C: Finance 4
Location: Capri 3
08:30 | Comparação do desempenho de medidas realizadas para previsão de volatilidade de ações da B3 (abstract) |
09:00 | Forecasting Large Stochastic Covariance Matrices (abstract) |
09:30 | Implied volatility term structure and exchange rate predictability (abstract) |
08:30-10:15 Session 19D: Econometrics 2
Location: Capri 4
08:30 | DSGE Estimation using Generalized Empirical Likelihood and Generalized Minimum Contrast (abstract) |
08:56 | Common Values, Unobserved Heterogeneity, and Endogenous Entry in U.S. Offshore Oil Lease Auctions (abstract) |
09:22 | Markov Switching Gas Copula model (abstract) |
09:52 | (Continuous) GMM Quantile Regression (abstract) |
10:30-12:00 Session 20A: Macro 8
Location: Capri 6
10:30 | The impact of the international commodity market on the Brazilian economy: an analysis using global-VAR (GVAR) (abstract) |
11:00 | Financial openness, economic globalization and its effects on monetary policy efficiency and macroeconomic stability (abstract) |
11:30 | The Role of Global Activity, Uncertainty and Commodity Price in the Determination of Emerging Countries' Business Cycle (abstract) |
10:30-12:00 Session 20B: Health and Human Capital Formation
Location: Capri 3
10:30 | Human capital formation from gestation to age 18: evidence from Brazil (abstract) |
11:00 | Condições Iniciais e Resultados Educacionais Futuros: Os efeitos da Malária na Amazônia Brasileira (abstract) |
11:30 | Health at Birth, short-run health effects and educational outcomes (abstract) |
10:30-12:00 Session 20C: Special Session - Swiss Program for Research on Global Issues for Development: Trade and Labor Market Outcomes in Developing Countries
Chair:
Location: Capri 1
10:30 | The China Shock: Consumption Patterns (abstract) |
10:55 | Exports and Firm Organization (abstract) |
11:20 | Trade and Women’s Wage Employment (abstract) |
11:45 | Labor Clauses in Trade Agreements: Worker Protection or Protectionism? (abstract) |
10:30-12:00 Session 20D: Special Session - Environment
Location: Capri 4
10:30 | Power plants and deforestation: recent evidence from the Amazon (abstract) |
11:00 | Energy and misallocation in the industry: evidence from Brazil (abstract) |
11:30 | Hedging Climate Change: yield volatility, crop choice and trade (abstract) |
12:00-13:30Lunch