SBE38: 38TH MEETING OF THE BRAZILIAN ECONOMETRIC SOCIETY
PROGRAM

Days: Tuesday, December 13th Wednesday, December 14th Thursday, December 15th Friday, December 16th

Tuesday, December 13th

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14:45-16:30 Session 1: Sessão Especial REAP I

Education and Inequality

Chair:
Naercio Menezes-Filho (Insper e FEA/USP, Brazil)
Location: Ipê I
14:45
André Portela Souza (FGV/EESP, Brazil)
Caio Piza (World Bank, USA)
Short and long-term effects of a child-labor ban ( abstract )
15:10
Francisco Ferreira (World Bank, USA)
Christoph Lakner (World Bank, USA)
Maria Ana Lugo (World Bank, USA)
Berk Özler (World Bank, USA)
Inequality of Opportunity and Economic Growth: How much can cross-country regressions really tell us? ( abstract )
15:35
Marc Fleurbaey (Princeton University, USA)
Vito Peragine (University of Bari, Italy)
Xavier Ramos (Universitat Autonòma de Barcelona and IZA, Spain)
Ex-Post Inequality of Opportunities Comparisons ( abstract )
16:30-16:45Coffee Break
16:45-18:30 Session 2: Sessão Especial REAP II

Macro Labor

Chairs:
Marco Bonomo (Insper, Brazil)
Cezar Santos (FGV/EPGE, Brazil)
Location: Ipê I
16:45
Fatih Karahan (Federal Reserve Bank of New York, USA)
Marcus Hagedorn (University of Oslo, Norway)
Iourii Manovskii (University of Pennsylvania, USA)
Kurt Mitman (Stockholm University, Sweden)
Unemployment Benefits and Unemployment in the Great Recession: The Role of Macro Effects ( abstract )
17:35
Niklas Engbom (Princeton University, USA)
Christian Moser (Princeton University, USA)
Earnings Inequality and the Minimum Wage: Evidence from Brazil ( abstract )
Wednesday, December 14th

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08:30-10:15 Session 6A: Sessão Especial International Panel on Social Progress

First draft of the report "Rethinking Society for the 21st Century"

Chair:
André Portela de Souza (FGV/EESP, Brazil)
Location: Araucária
08:30
Marc Fleurbaey (Princeton University, USA)
André Portela de Souza (FGV/EESP, Brazil)
Elisa Reis (UFRJ, Brazil)
Simon Schwartzman (IETS, Brazil)
presenters ( abstract )
08:30-10:15 Session 6B: Economics and Politics I
Chair:
Ana Beatriz Pousada (PUC-Rio, Brazil)
Discussant:
Rafael Costa Lima (UFPE, Brazil)
Location: Ipê I
08:30
Luis Meloni (FGV/EESP, Brazil)
Claudio Ferraz (PUC-Rio, Brazil)
Eliana La Ferrara (Bocconi Univeristy, Italy)
Frederico Finan (UC Berkley, USA)
Alberto Chong (Georgia State University, USA)
Can Entertainment Media Undermine Dictatorships? Evidence from Brazil's Novelas ( abstract )
08:55
Pedro Forquesato (PUC-Rio, Brazil)
Claudio Ferraz (PUC-Rio, Brazil)
Party Registration and Mayoral Elections ( abstract )
09:20
Braz Camargo (FGV/EESP, Brazil)
Guilherme Stein (FGV/EESP, Brazil)
A Positive Theory of Red Tape ( abstract )
09:45
Ana Beatriz Pousada (PUC-Rio, Brazil)
Pedro Pessoa (PUC-Rio, Brazil)
Social Networks and Government - The effects of contacts on the probability of assignment to commissioned jobs ( abstract )
08:30-10:15 Session 6C: DSGE
Chair:
Location: Cedro
08:30
José Oliveira (UFPB, Brazil)
Edilean Aragón (UFPB, Brazil)
O Banco Central do Brasil reage aos preços dos ativos? Uma abordagem utilizando um modelo DSGE ( abstract )
08:55
Fabrizio Marodin (University of California Irvine, USA)
Marcelo Portugal (UFRGS, Brazil)
Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Brazil: a Markov Switching DSGE Estimation for the Inflation Targeting Period (2000-2015) ( abstract )
09:20
Pedro Chaim (FEA-RP/USP, Brazil)
Márcio Laurini (FEA-RP/USP, Brazil)
Estimation and Identification of a DSGE model: an Application of the Data Cloning Methodology ( abstract )
09:45
Carlos A. T. Haraguchi (BCB, Brazil)
José Angelo Divino (UCB, Brazil)
Política Monetária e depósitos compulsórios em uma pequena economia aberta ( abstract )
08:30-10:15 Session 6D: Labor I
Chair:
Vitor Pereira (PUC-Rio, Brazil)
Location: Ipê II
08:30
Jaqueline Oliveira (Rhodes College, USA)
Son-Daughter Differences in the Effects of Birth Order and Family Size on Educational Attainment ( abstract )
08:55
Naercio Menezes-Filho (Insper e FEA/USP, Brazil)
Minimum Wages, Early Child Development and Human Capital Outcomes: Longitudinal Evidence from Brazil ( abstract )
09:20
Vitor Pereira (PUC-Rio, Brazil)
Paying Students to Graduate from High School: Evidence from Renda Melhor Jovem Program ( abstract )
08:30-10:15 Session 6E: Time Series
Chair:
Alain Hecq (Maastricht University, Netherlands)
Location: Alecrim
08:30
Andressa de Castro (Banco Itau, Brazil)
João Victor Issler (FGV/EPGE, Brazil)
Consumption-Wealth Ratio and Expected Stock Returns: Evidence from Panel Data on G7 Countries ( abstract )
08:55
Fábio Gomes (FEA-RP/USP, Brazil)
Consumption function under precautionary motive and habit formation for a general income process ( abstract )
09:20
Alain Hecq (Maastricht University, Netherlands)
Detecting Co-Movements in Asymmetric Cycles: A Noncausal Time Series Approach ( abstract )
10:15-10:30Coffee Break
10:30-12:15 Session 7A: Sessão Especial Banco Mundial

Efficiency and Effectiveness of Public Spending in Brazil

Chair:
Antonio Nucifora (World Bank, USA)
Location: Araucária
10:30
Pedro Olinto (World Bank, USA)
Vivian Amorin (World Bank, Brazil)
Tassia Cruz (World Bank, Brazil)
Andre Loureiro (World Bank, Brazil)
Efficiency of expenditures in education services in Brazil: An International and Intra-national assessment ( abstract )
11:05
Edson C. Araujo (World Bank, USA)
Stella Lobo (UFRJ, Brazil)
Robert Cohen (World Bank, USA)
Efficiency of expenditures in health services in Brazil: An International and Intra-national assessment ( abstract )
11:25
João Bevilaqua T. Basto (World Bank, Brazil)
Mark A. Dutz (World Bank, USA)
Lucas Ferreira Mation (IPEA, Brazil)
Stephen D. O'Connell (MIT and IZA, USA)
Can program design improve the effectiveness of worker retraining? An evaluation of Brazil's Pronatec-MDIC ( abstract )
11:45
Eduardo Ribeiro (UFRJ, Brazil)
Ceyla Pazarbasioglu (World Bank, USA)
Design and effect of subsidized credit: An analysis of PSI ( abstract )
10:30-12:15 Session 7B: Development I
Chair:
Cezar Santos (FGV/EPGE, Brazil)
Location: Ipê I
10:30
Alexandre Rabelo (UFJF, Brazil)
Flávia Chein (UFJF, Brazil)
Daniel Monte (FGV/EESP, Brazil)
Access to Technical & Vocational Education and Training and labour market outcomes: a theoretical approach based on job market signalling ( abstract )
10:55
Lorena Hakak (FGV/EESP, Brazil)
Sergio Firpo (Insper, Brazil)
Household Income Inequality and Educational Assortative Mating in Marriage Market in Brazil: an empirical study. ( abstract )
11:20
Cezar Santos (FGV/EPGE, Brazil)
David Weiss (Tel Aviv University, Israel)
Risky Income, Risky Families: Marriage and Divorce in a Volatile Labor Market ( abstract )
10:30-12:15 Session 7C: Sessão Especial Itaú: Money
Chair:
Caio Machado (FGV/EESP, Brazil)
Location: Cedro
10:30
Fernando A. De Barros Jr. (FGV/EPGE, Brazil)
Ricardo Cavalcanti (FGV/EPGE, Brazil)
Caio Teles (FGV/EPGE, Brazil)
A Paradox of Expansionary Policies ( abstract )
10:55
Ana Elisa Pereira (FGV/EESP, Brazil)
Rollover risk and the social value of credibility ( abstract )
11:20
Caio Machado (FGV/EESP, Brazil)
Financial crises, coordination failures and disasters ( abstract )
10:30-12:15 Session 7D: Prêmio SBE Micro Aplicada
Chair:
Cristiano Costa (Unisinos, Brazil)
Discussants:
Cristiano Costa (Unisinos, Brazil)
Daniel Da Mata (IPEA, Brazil)
Gabriel Ulyssea (PUC-Rio, Brazil)
Location: Ipê II
10:30
Cecilia Machado (FGV/EPGE, Brazil)
Lena Edlund (Columbia University, Brazil)
Maria Sviatschi (Columbia University, USA)
Bright Minds, Big Rent: Gentrication and the Rising Returns to Skill ( abstract )
10:55
Robin Burgess (LSE, United Kingdom)
Francisco Costa (FGV/EPGE, Brazil)
Benjamin Olken (MIT, USA)
The Power of the State: National Borders and the Deforestation of the Amazon ( abstract )
12:15-13:45Lunch
13:45-15:30 Session 8A: Sessão Especial Itaú Social

A Importância da Gestão Escolar para o Aprendizado dos Alunos

Chair:
Naercio Menezes-Filho (Insper e FEA/USP, Brazil)
Location: Araucária
13:45
Fernando Abrucio (FGV/EAESP, Brazil)
Naercio Menezes-Filho (Insper e FEA/USP, Brazil)
Reynaldo Fernandes (FEA-RP/USP, Brazil)
presenters ( abstract )
13:45-15:30 Session 8B: Finance I
Chair:
Rafael Azevedo (UFPE, Brazil)
Location: Alecrim
13:45
Caio Almeida (FGV/EPGE, Brazil)
Kym Ardison (FGV/EPGE, Brazil)
René Garcia (University of Montreal, Canada)
High Frequency Tail Risk ( abstract )
14:10
Diego Brandão (FGV/EPGE, Brazil)
Caio Almeida (FGV/EPGE, Brazil)
René Garcia (EDHEC Business School, France)
A Note on the Estimation of Disaster Models with GEL Estimators ( abstract )
14:35
Caio Vigo Pereira (FEA-RP/USP, Brazil)
Márcio Laurini (FEA-RP/USP, Brazil)
Portfolio efficiency tests with conditioning information - Comparing GMM and GEL estimators ( abstract )
15:00
Rafael Azevedo (UFPE, Brazil)
Caio Almeida (FGV/EPGE, Brazil)
Semi-Parametric Entropic Estimation of State Price Densities Implicit in Interest Rate Derivatives ( abstract )
13:45-15:30 Session 8C: Macroeconomics I
Chair:
Andre Diniz (FGV/EESP, Brazil)
Location: Cedro
13:45
Marcelo Santos (Insper, Brazil)
Marco Bonomo (Insper, Brazil)
Ricardo Brito (Insper, Brazil)
Why Are Savings Rate so Low and Interest Rates so High in Brazil? The Role of Unfunded Social Security and Compulsory Savings ( abstract )
14:10
Octavio A. F. Tourinho (UERJ, Brazil)
Rafael Sangoi (UERJ, Brazil)
Public Debt and Economic Growth: Tests of the Reinhart-Rogoff Hypothesis ( abstract )
14:35
Andre Diniz (FGV/EESP, Brazil)
Effects of fiscal consolidations in Latin America ( abstract )
13:45-15:30 Session 8D: International Economics
Chair:
Mirela Scarabel (FEA/USP, Brazil)
Location: Ipê I
13:45
Raphael Ornellas (Banco Brasil Plural and PUC-Rio, Brazil)
Carlos Carvalho (Central Bank of Brazil and PUC-Rio, Brazil)
Eduardo Zilberman (PUC-Rio, Brazil)
Accounting for the Choice of Exchange Rate Regimes ( abstract )
14:10
Emanuel Ornelas (FGV/EESP, Brazil)
Fabrice Defever (University of Nottingham, United Kingdom)
Trade Liberalization and Third-Market Effects ( abstract )
14:35
Mirela Scarabel (FEA/USP, Brazil)
Mauro Rodrigues Júnior (FEA/USP, Brazil)
Naercio Menezes-Filho (Insper e FEA/USP, Brazil)
Sunk entry cost to export as source of competitiveness ( abstract )
13:45-15:30 Session 8E: Sessão Especial Banco do Nordeste: Credit
Chair:
Christiano Coelho (Ibmec/RJ e UERJ, Brazil)
Location: Ipê II
13:45
Napoleão Silva (IPEA, Brazil)
Eduardo Zilberman (PUC-Rio, Brazil)
Impactos macroeconômicos da expansão do crédito no Brasil: o período 2001-2011 ( abstract )
14:10
Gabriel Madeira (FEA/USP, Brazil)
Fernando Kuwer (FEA/USP, Brazil)
Earmarked Credit and Misallocation ( abstract )
14:35
Marina Gontijo (FGV/EPGE, Brazil)
Felipe Iachan (FGV/EPGE, Brazil)
João Manuel Mello (Insper, Brazil)
Credit Suply, Liquidity, and house prices - Evidence from a regulatory change in the Brazilian market ( abstract )
15:00
Christiano Coelho (Ibmec/RJ e UERJ, Brazil)
João De Mello (Insper, Brazil)
Marcio Garcia (PUC-Rio, Brazil)
Roberto Rigobon (MIT, USA)
A method for identifying aggregate credit supply and demand parameters using heteroskedasticity: an application for Brazil ( abstract )
15:30-15:45Break
15:45-17:30 Session 9: Conferência FGV/EPGE: Keynote Lecture, Giovanni Maggi
Chair:
Emanuel Ornelas (FGV/EESP, Brazil)
Location: Araucária
15:45
Giovanni Maggi (Yale, USA)
Choked by Red Tape? The Political Economy of Wasteful Trade Barriers ( abstract )
17:30-17:45Coffee Break
17:45-19:30 Session 10A: Minicurso FIPE (aula 1)
Chair:
Dimitri Szerman (PUC-Rio, Brazil)
Location: Ipê I
17:45
Dimitri Szerman (PUC-Rio, Brazil)
Introduction to Data Science for Economists: Harvesting data from the Web ( abstract )
17:45-19:30 Session 10B: Sessão Especial SBE
Chair:
Gabriel Ulyssea (PUC-Rio, Brazil)
Location: Ipê II
17:45
Francisco Ferreira (World Bank, Brazil)
Measuring Global Poverty ( abstract )
Thursday, December 15th

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08:30-10:15 Session 11A: Crime
Chair:
Breno Ramos Sampaio (UFPE, Brazil)
Location: Ipê II
08:30
Ilaria Masiero (FGV/EESP, Brazil)
Internet diffusion: time online prevents crime? ( abstract )
08:55
Rafael Dix Carneiro (Duke University, USA)
Rodrigo Soares (Columbia University, USA)
Gabriel Ulyssea (PUC-Rio, Brazil)
Local Labor Market Conditions and Crime: Evidence From The Brazilian Trade Liberalization ( abstract )
09:20
Weily Toro Machado (UNEMAT, Brazil)
Breno Ramos Sampaio (UFPE, Brazil)
Robson Tigre (University of Bologna, Italy)
Ambient Light and Homicides ( abstract )
08:30-10:15 Session 11B: Sessão Especial Fundação Lemann

Uma análise sobre as medidas do Saeb: o que sabemos e o que não sabemos sobre a qualidade do sistema educacional a partir dos dados das avaliações?

Chair:
Ernesto Martins Faria (Fundação Lemann, Brazil)
Location: Araucária
08:30
José Francisco Soares (Conselho Nacional de Educação, Brazil)
Reynaldo Fernandes (FEA-RP/USP, Brazil)
presenters ( abstract )
08:30-10:15 Session 11C: Development II
Chair:
Enlinson Mattos (FGV/EESP, Brazil)
Location: Ipê I
08:30
Danilo P. Souza (FEA/USP, Brazil)
Mauro Rodrigues (FEA/USP, Brazil)
Education quality and non-convergence ( abstract )
08:55
Bruno Delalibera (FGV/EPGE, Brazil)
Pedro Cavalcanti Ferreira (FGV/EPGE, Brazil)
Economic growth and complementarity between stages of human capital ( abstract )
09:20
Marcelo Arbex (University of Windsor, Canada)
Enlinson Mattos (FGV/EESP, Brazil)
Heterogeneous Present-bias and Optimal Taxation of Health and Education ( abstract )
08:30-10:15 Session 11D: Sessão Especial Opportunity: Prêmio SBE Finanças
Chair:
Marco Bonomo (Insper, Brazil)
Discussants:
Rafael Azevedo (UFPE, Brazil)
Marco Bonomo (Insper, Brazil)
Márcio Laurini (FEA-RP/USP, Brazil)
Location: Cedro
08:30
Felipe Iachan (FGV/EPGE, Brazil)
Plamen Nenov (Norwegian Business School, Norway)
Alp Simsek (MIT, USA)
The Choice Channel of Financial Innovation ( abstract )
08:55
Rafael Matta (University of Amsterdam, Netherlands)
Enrico Perotti (University of Amsterdam e CEPR, Netherlands)
Liquidity Runs ( abstract )
10:15-10:30Coffee Break
10:30-12:15 Session 12: Conferência SBE ANPEC: Keynote Lecture, Andrew F. Newman

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Chair:
Ricardo Madeira (FEA/USP, Brazil)
Location: Ballroom Cataratas I
10:30
Andrew F. Newman (Boston University, USA)
Loopholes and the Evolution of Organizations ( abstract )
12:15-13:45Lunch
13:45-15:30 Session 13A: Prêmio SBE Econometria
Chair:
Nathalie Gimenes (FEA/USP, Brazil)
Discussants:
Nathalie Gimenes (FEA/USP, Brazil)
Eduardo Pontual Ribeiro (UFRJ, Brazil)
Marcelo Sant'Anna (FGV/EPGE, Brazil)
Location: Alecrim
13:45
Sergio Firpo (Insper, Brazil)
Antonio Galvao (University of Iowa, USA)
Suyong Song (University of Iowa, USA)
Measurement Errors in Quantile Regression Models ( abstract )
14:10
Eduardo Souza-Rodrigues (University of Toronto, Canada)
Myrto Kalouptsidi (Princeton, USA)
Paul Scott (Toulouse School of Economics, France)
Identification of Counterfactuals in Dynamic Discrete Choice Models ( abstract )
13:45-15:30 Session 13B: Sessão Especial Instituto Ayrton Senna

Inaf 2015: As competências socioemocionais como um antídoto para a desigualdade de oportunidades

Chair:
Diana Coutinho (Instituto Ayrton Senna, Brazil)
Location: Araucária
13:45
Diana Coutinho (Instituto Ayrton Senna, Brazil)
Ricardo Paes de Barros (Instituto Ayrton Senna e Insper, Brazil)
Ricardo Primi (USF, Brazil)
Daniel Santos (FEA-RP/USP, Brazil)
presenters ( abstract )
13:45-15:30 Session 13C: Monetary Economics
Chair:
Marcel Ribeiro (FGV/EESP, Brazil)
Location: Cedro
13:45
Klenio Barbosa (FGV/EESP, Brazil)
Seiji Fetter (FGV/EESP, Brazil)
Bruno Rocha (UFABC, Brazil)
Monetary Management under Exogenous Changes in the Money Supply: Theory and Evidence ( abstract )
14:10
Marco Cavalcanti (IPEA, Brazil)
Luciano Vereda (UFF, Brazil)
Lucas Maynard (IPEA, Brazil)
Rebeca Doctors (PUC/RJ, Brazil)
Felipe Lima (PUC/RJ, Brazil)
Monetary policy shocks, the sacrifice ratio and fiscal rules ( abstract )
14:35
Eurilton Araújo (BCB, Brazil)
Monetary policy credibility and the comovement between stock returns and inflation ( abstract )
15:00
Marcel Ribeiro (FGV/EESP, Brazil)
Inflation target expectations, transparency and effectiveness of monetary policy ( abstract )
13:45-15:30 Session 13D: Economics and Politics II
Chair:
Bruno Ottoni (FGV/IBRE, Brazil)
Location: Ipê I
13:45
Raphael Bruce (FEA/USP, Brazil)
Rafael Costa Lima (UFPE, Brazil)
Compulsory Voting and TV News Consumption: Evidence from Brazil ( abstract )
14:10
Jessica Gagete Miranda (Bocconi University, Italy)
Luis Meloni (FGV/EESP, Brazil)
Education, Information Consumption and Strategic Voting:Evidence from Brazil ( abstract )
14:35
Bruno Ottoni (FGV/IBRE, Brazil)
Claudio Ferraz (PUC-Rio, Brazil)
A Recompensa nas Urnas Resultante do Controle da Violência: Evidência da Política de Pacificação ( abstract )
13:45-15:30 Session 13E: Sessão Especial Bradesco: Prêmio SBE Teoria
Chair:
Alexandre B. Cunha (UFRJ, Brazil)
Discussants:
Alexandre B. Cunha (UFRJ, Brazil)
Daniel Monte (FGV/EESP, Brazil)
Rodrigo Raad (UFMG, Brazil)
Location: Ipê II
13:45
Lucas Maestri (FGV/EPGE, Brazil)
Optimal Mirrleesian Taxation in Non-competitive Labor Markets ( abstract )
14:10
Marcos Yamada Nakaguma (FEA/USP, Brazil)
Andrea Mattozzi (European University Institute, Italy)
Public versus Secret Voting in Committees ( abstract )
15:45-17:30 Session 14A: Prêmio SBE Macro Aplicada
Chair:
Mauro Rodrigues (FEA/USP, Brazil)
Discussants:
Mauro Rodrigues (FEA/USP, Brazil)
Marcelo Santos (Insper, Brazil)
Rafael Santos (FGV e BCB, Brazil)
Location: Cedro
15:45
Marcio Garcia (PUC-Rio, Brazil)
Marcos Chamon (IMF, USA)
Laura Pitta (Itau-Unibanco, Brazil)
FX Interventions in Brazil: A Synthetic Control Approach ( abstract )
16:10
Heron Rios (FGV/EPGE, Brazil)
Pedro Cavalcanti Ferreira (FGV/EPGE, Brazil)
Alberto Trejos (INCAE, Costa Rica)
Trade Policy in a Dynamic Heckscher-Ohlin Model ( abstract )
15:45-17:30 Session 14B: Sessão Especial FGV-CLEAR & OVE-IDB

Produtividade das Firmas Brasileiras: Avaliação de Programas e Perspectivas

Chair:
Lycia Lima (FGV/EESP, Brazil)
Location: Araucária
15:45
José Cláudio Linhares Pires (OVE/BID, USA)
André Portela de Souza (FGV/EESP, Brazil)
Pedro de Miranda (Ministério da Fazenda, Brazil)
Paulo Mol (CNI, Brazil)
presenters ( abstract )
15:45-17:30 Session 14C: Sessão Especial Instituto Unibanco

Pesquisa econômica translacional para o aprimoramento de políticas públicas educacionais

Chair:
Mirela de Carvalho (Instituto Unibanco, Brazil)
Location: Ipê I
15:45
Mirela de Carvalho (Instituto Unibanco, Brazil)
Sergio Firpo (Insper, Brazil)
Ricardo Madeira (FEA/USP, Brazil)
Ricardo Paes de Barros (Instituto Ayrton Senna e Insper, Brazil)
presenters ( abstract )
15:45-17:30 Session 14D: Inference
Chair:
Nathalie Gimenes (FEA/USP, Brazil)
Location: Alecrim
15:45
Bruno Ferman (FGV/EESP, Brazil)
Cristine Pinto (FGV/EESP, Brazil)
Inference in Differences-in-Differences with Few Treated Groups and Heteroskedasticity ( abstract )
16:10
Bruno Ferman (FGV/EESP, Brazil)
Cristine Pinto (FGV/EESP, Brazil)
Revisiting the Synthetic Control Estimator ( abstract )
16:35
Bruno Ferman (FGV/EESP, Brazil)
Cristine Pinto (FGV/EESP, Brazil)
Vitor Augusto Possebom (Yale University, Brazil)
Cherry Picking with Synthetic Controls ( abstract )
15:45-17:30 Session 14E: Applied Economics I
Chair:
Flávia Chein (UFJF, Brazil)
Location: Ipê II
15:45
Dimitri Szerman (PUC-Rio, Brazil)
Juliano Assunção (PUC-Rio, Brazil)
Francisco Costa (FGV/EPGE, Brazil)
Local Socioeconomic Impacts of Brazilian Hydroelectric Power Plants ( abstract )
16:10
Arilton Teixeira (Ibmec, Brazil)
Andrew Horowitz (University of Arkansas, USA)
Andrea Civelli (Univerity of Arkansas, USA)
Measurement of the regional economic impact of aid projects in Uganda using satellite data ( abstract )
16:35
Flávia Chein (UFJF, Brazil)
Cristine Pinto (FGV/EESP, Brazil)
Roads, Urbanization and Development: some empirical evidences from Brazilian experience ( abstract )
17:30-17:45Coffee Break
17:45-19:30 Session 15A: Minicurso FIPE (aula 2)
Chair:
Dimitri Szerman (PUC-Rio, Brazil)
Location: Ipê I
17:45
Dimitri Szerman (PUC-Rio, Brazil)
Introduction to Data Science for Economists: Harvesting data from the Web ( abstract )
17:45-19:30 Session 15B: Sessão Especial IPEA

Gasto Tributário: Diagnóstico e Avaliação

Chair:
Daniel Da Mata (IPEA, Brazil)
Location: Araucária
17:45
Pedro Calhman de Miranda (SEAE/Ministério da Fazenda, Brazil)
Gastos Tributários da União ( abstract )
18:10
Gastos Tributários: Legislação e Evolução ( abstract )
19:55
Daniel Da Mata (IPEA, Brazil)
Gastos Tributários e Federalismo ( abstract )
20:20
Gabriel Ulyssea (PUC-Rio, Brazil)
Rudi Rocha (UFRJ, Brazil)
Laísa Rachter (FGV/EPGE, Brazil)
Do Lower Taxes Reduce Informality? Evidence from Brazil ( abstract )
Friday, December 16th

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08:30-10:15 Session 18A: Industrial Organization
Chair:
Marcelo Sant'Anna (FGV/EPGE, Brazil)
Location: Araucária
08:30
Amanda Motta Schutze (PUC-Rio, Brazil)
Juliano Assunção (PUC-Rio/CPI, Brazil)
Leonardo Rezende (PUC-Rio, Brazil)
Elasticidade Preço da Demanda Industrial de Energia Elétrica no Brasil ( abstract )
08:55
Nathalie Gimenes (FEA/USP, Brazil)
Emmanuel Guerre (Queen Mary University of London, United Kingdom)
Quantile regression methods for fi…rst-price auction: a signal approach ( abstract )
09:20
Marcelo Sant'Anna (FGV/EPGE, Brazil)
Empirical Analysis of Scoring Auctions for Oil and Gas Leases ( abstract )
08:30-10:15 Session 18B: Labor II
Chair:
Andrea Lepine (FEA/USP, Brazil)
Location: Ipê I
08:30
Cristiano Carvalho (FEA/USP, Brazil)
Renata Narita (FEA/USP, Brazil)
Efeitos adversos da legislação do seguro-desemprego: Evidência sobre o Brasil. ( abstract )
08:55
Priscila Zeraik de Souza (CPI/PUC-Rio, Brazil)
Stephane Straub (Toulouse School of Economics, France)
Margaret Leighton (University of St Andrews, United Kingdom)
Social Promotion in Primary School: Immediate and Cumulated Effects on Attainment ( abstract )
09:20
Luis Felipe Oliveira (IPEA e UnB, Brazil)
Rafael Terra (UnB, Brazil)
Impacto do Programa Mais Educação em indicadores educacionais. ( abstract )
09:45
Andrea Lepine (FEA/USP, Brazil)
Teacher Incentives and Student Performance: Evidence from Brazil ( abstract )
08:30-10:15 Session 18C: Applied Economics II
Chair:
Guilherme Amorim (UFPE, Brazil)
Location: Alecrim
08:30
Marcelo Castro (FGV/EESP, Brazil)
Enlinson Mattos (FGV/EESP, Brazil)
Fernanda Patriota (Fundação Lemann, Brazil)
Measuring Spillovers in a Decentralized Health System ( abstract )
08:55
Angelo Marcantonio (UFRJ, Brazil)
Rudi Rocha (UFRJ, Brazil)
Francisco Costa (FGV/EPGE, Brazil)
Economic Downturns and Pentecostal Upsurge in Brazil ( abstract )
09:20
Weily Toro (UNEMAT, Brazil)
Guilherme Amorim (UFPE, Brazil)
Lucas Emanuel (UFPE, Brazil)
Breno Sampaio (UFPE, Brazil)
Sleep Deprivation and Diabetes: A Regression-Discontinuity Approach ( abstract )
08:30-10:15 Session 18D: Macroeconomic Theory
Chair:
Rodrigo Raad (UFMG, Brazil)
Location: Cedro
08:30
Rafael Santos (FGV e BCB, Brazil)
Marcia Leon (BCB, Brazil)
Aloisio Araujo (FGV e IMPA, Brazil)
Bargained Haircuts and Debt Policy Implications ( abstract )
08:55
Alexandre B. Cunha (UFRJ, Brazil)
Capital Taxation in a Many-Sector Economy ( abstract )
09:20
Rodrigo Raad (UFMG, Brazil)
Recursive Equilibrium and Optimal Taxation ( abstract )
10:15-10:30Coffee Break
10:30-12:15 Session 19A: Sessão Especial Instituto Escolhas

Economia e Meio Ambiente

Chair:
Rudi Rocha (UFRJ, Brazil)
Location: Ipê II
10:30
Lígia Vanconcellos (Instituto Escolhas, Brazil)
Lançamento do Programa de bolsas da Cátedra Economia e Meio Ambiente ( abstract )
10:55
Timo Goeschl (University of Heidelberg, Germany)
Johannes Diederich (University of Heidelberg, Germany)
To Mitigate or Not to Mitigate: The Price Elasticity of Pro-Environmental Behavior ( abstract )
11:20
Eduardo Souza-Rodrigues (University of Toronto, Canada)
Juliano Assunção (PUC-Rio, Brazil)
Robert McMillan (University of Toronto, Canada)
Joshua Murphy (University of Toronto, Canada)
Measuring the Effects of Priority Status on Deforestation in the Amazon ( abstract )
10:30-12:15 Session 19B: Education
Chair:
Ana Ribeiro (FEA/USP, Brazil)
Location: Ipê I
10:30
Roberta Biondi (FGV/EESP, Brazil)
Sérgio Firpo (Insper, Brazil)
Efeito do Ensino Técnico Profissionalizante nos salários: uma avaliação com controle das habilidades cognitivas dos trabalhadores ao final do ensino médio ( abstract )
10:55
Jose Carvalho (CAEN/UFC, Brazil)
Diego André (UFRN e CAEN/UFC, Brazil)
Peer Effects and Academic Performance in Higher Education: A Regression Discontinuity Design Approach ( abstract )
11:20
Ana Ribeiro (FEA/USP, Brazil)
Affirmative Action Outcomes: Evidence from a Law School in Brazil ( abstract )
10:30-12:15 Session 19C: Macroeconomics II
Chair:
Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia (University of Warwick, United Kingdom)
Location: Cedro
10:30
Alexandre Castro (IPEA, Brazil)
Judicial indicators and business cycles in Brazil ( abstract )
10:55
Eduardo Zilberman (PUC-Rio, Brazil)
Carlos Carvalho (PUC-Rio e BCB, Brazil)
Germany 7-1 Brazil: A Political Shock ( abstract )
11:20
Augusto Carvalho (FGV/EESP, Brazil)
Bernardo Guimaraes (FGV/EESP, Brazil)
State-controlled companies and political risk: Evidence from the 2014 Brazilian election ( abstract )
11:45
Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia (University of Warwick, United Kingdom)
News Shocks and the Slope of the Term Structure of Interest Rates: Comment ( abstract )
10:30-12:15 Session 19D: Finance II
Chair:
Elias Cavalcante Filho (FEA/USP, Brazil)
Location: Araucária
10:30
Cristiano Costa (Unisinos, Brazil)
Fernando Galdi (FUCAPE, Brazil)
Roberto Pinheiro (Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Brazil)
Fabio Motoki (FUCAPE, Brazil)
Payout decisions and families: a study of Brazilian listed firms ( abstract )
10:55
Jefferson Colombo (UFRGS, Brazil)
João Caldeira (UFRGS, Brazil)
The Role of Taxes and the Interdependence Among Corporate Financial Policies: Evidence from a Natural Experiment ( abstract )
11:20
Elias Cavalcante Filho (FEA/USP, Brazil)
Bruno Cara Giovannetti (FEA/USP, Brazil)
Fernando Daniel Chague (FEA/USP, Brazil)
Rodrigo De Losso Silveira Bueno (FEA/USP, Brazil)
Risk premia estimation in Brazil: wait until 2041 ( abstract )
10:30-12:15 Session 19E: Estimation and Forecasting
Chair:
Márcio Laurini (FEA-RP/USP, Brazil)
Location: Alecrim
10:30
João Caldeira (UFRGS, Brazil)
Guilherme Moura (UFSC, Brazil)
Andre Santos (UFSC, Brazil)
Economically motivated forecast combinations ( abstract )
10:55
Márcio G.P. Garcia (PUC-Rio, Brazil)
Marcelo C. Medeiros (PUC-Rio, Brazil)
Gabriel F. R. Vasconcelos (PUC-Rio, Brazil)
Real-time inflation forecasting with high-dimensional models: The case of Brazil ( abstract )
11:20
Marcio Laurini (FEA-RP/USP, Brazil)
The Spatio-Temporal Dynamics of Ethanol/Gasoline Price Ratio in Brazil ( abstract )
11:45
Thaís Fonseca (UFRJ, Brazil)
Vinícius Cerqueira (IPEA, Brazil)
Helio Migon (UFRJ, Brazil)
Cristian Torres (UFRJ, Brazil)
Full Bayesian inference for Asymmetric GARCH models with Student-t Innovations ( abstract )
12:15-13:45Lunch