ICEEE-7TH: SEVENTH ITALIAN CONGRESS OF ECONOMETRICS AND EMPIRICAL ECONOMICS
PROGRAM

Days: Wednesday, January 25th Thursday, January 26th Friday, January 27th

Wednesday, January 25th

View this program: with abstractssession overviewtalk overview

14:30-16:10 Session 2A: Forecasting
Location: Room IV
14:30
An inflation-predicting measure of the output gap in the euro area ( abstract )
14:55
Improved Tests for Robust Forecast Comparison ( abstract )
14:30-16:10 Session 2B: Volatility and covariance matrix
Location: Room VI
14:30
Adding overnight to the Daily Covariance ( abstract )
14:55
News Measures for Volatility Modelling and Forecasting ( abstract )
15:20
Asymmetric semi-volatility spillover effects in the EMU stock markets ( abstract )
14:30-16:10 Session 2C: Estimation I
Location: Room VII
14:30
Weighted-average least squares estimation of generalized linear models ( abstract )
14:55
Dynamic vector mode regression ( abstract )
15:20
Consistent non-Gaussian pseudo maximum likelihood estimators ( abstract )
14:30-16:10 Session 2D: Social and behavioral economics
Location: Room VIII
14:30
Freedom, Diversity, and the Taste for Revolt ( abstract )
14:55
Social Interactions Through Space and Time: Evidence from college enrollment and academic mobility ( abstract )
15:20
The effect of police on crime: Evidence from the 2014 World Cup in São Paulo ( abstract )
16:40-18:20 Session 3A: Regression models for binary dependent variables: theory and application
Location: Room IV
16:40
A deeper analysis on pharmaceutical submarket Concentration: the US market in 1987-1998 ( abstract )
17:05
Pseudo-Conditional inference in binary short panels with predetermined covariates ( abstract )
17:30
Incorporating Preference axioms in Discrete Choice Experiment design ( abstract )
16:40-18:20 Session 3B: Uncertainty
Location: Room VI
16:40
Monetary policy, uncertainty and gross capital flows: A mixed frequency approach ( abstract )
17:05
Measuring economic uncertainty using news-media textual data ( abstract )
17:30
Uncertainty Through the Lenses of A Mixed-Frequency Bayesian Panel Markov Switching Model ( abstract )
16:40-18:20 Session 3C: Microeconometrics
Location: Room VII
16:40
Wealth Effects and the Consumption of Italian Households in the Great Recession ( abstract )
17:05
Political Contributions and Public Procurement: Evidence from Lithuania ( abstract )
17:30
Persuadable perceptions: The effect of exposure to media on corruption measures ( abstract )
17:55
The Effect of Unexpected Inheritances on Wealth Accumulation: Precautionary Savings or Liquidity Constraints? ( abstract )
16:40-18:20 Session 3D: Cointegration
Location: Room VIII
16:40
An Integrated Modified OLS RESET Test for Cointegrating Regressions ( abstract )
17:05
Co-integration rank determination in partial systems using information criteria ( abstract )
17:30
General representation theorems for cointegration ( abstract )
Thursday, January 26th

View this program: with abstractssession overviewtalk overview

08:50-10:30 Session 4A: Financial econometrics I
Location: Room IV
08:50
Jump risk and pricing implications ( abstract )
09:15
The predictive density of a GARCH process ( abstract )
09:40
Bootstrapping non-causal autoregressions: with an application to tests for bubbles ( abstract )
10:05
Combining Markov Switching and Smooth Transition in Modeling Volatility: A Fuzzy Regime MEM ( abstract )
08:50-10:30 Session 4B: Applied microeconometrics
Location: Room VI
08:50
Early Childcare and Child Non Cognitive Outcomes ( abstract )
09:15
Economic effects of Venice Carnivals: An ex-post econometric verification approach ( abstract )
09:40
Balanced variable addition in linear models, with an application to the long-term health effects of childhood circumstances ( abstract )
08:50-10:30 Session 4C: Identification and estimation
Location: Room VII
08:50
Inferring Cognitive Heterogeneity from Aggregate Choices ( abstract )
09:15
Risk Aversion: Differential Conditions for the Concavity in Transformed Two-Parameter Distributions ( abstract )
09:40
Uncertain Identification ( abstract )
10:05
Estimation and model-based combination of causality networks ( abstract )
08:50-10:30 Session 4D: Credit
Location: Room VIII
08:50
An Assessment of the Access to Credit – Welfare Nexus: Evidence from Mauritania ( abstract )
09:15
Credit demand and supply shocks in Italy ( abstract )
09:40
Specialisation in mortgage risk under Basel II ( abstract )
08:50-10:30 Session 4E: Macroeconomics I
Chair:
Location: Room IX
08:50
The Italian GDP at t+30 days: model estimation, real time analysis and performance evaluation ( abstract )
09:15
Do Seasonal Adjustments Induce Noncausal Dynamics in Inflation Rates? ( abstract )
14:30-16:10 Session 6A: Panel data
Location: Room IV
14:30
Indirect inference estimation of nonlinear dynamic panel data models ( abstract )
14:55
Estimation of Nonlinear Panel Models with Multiple Unobserved Effects ( abstract )
15:20
A diagnostic criterion for approximate factor structure ( abstract )
15:45
Asymmetric Macroeconomic Volatility in European Regions ( abstract )
14:30-16:10 Session 6B: Parametric and nonparametric estimation
Location: Room VI
14:30
Market credit risk in Europe ( abstract )
14:55
Parametric and Semiparametric IV Estimation of Network Models with Selectivity ( abstract )
15:20
Bayesian Tensor Regression ( abstract )
15:45
Bayesian nonparametric sparse seemingly unrelated regression models (SUR) ( abstract )
14:30-16:10 Session 6C: Fiscal policy
Location: Room VII
14:30
The Effect of Audits on Tax Compliance: Evidence from Italy ( abstract )
14:55
Dynamic quantile regression models and capital structure: heterogeneous reaction to tax incentives and profitability ( abstract )
15:20
Audit publicity and tax compliance: a quasi-natural experiment ( abstract )
15:45
Politics and Budget of the Regional Government ( abstract )
14:30-16:10 Session 6D: Banking and financial crises
Location: Room VIII
14:30
Bank performance and financial stability. How does the manager handle risk-taking in different market structures? ( abstract )
14:55
End of the Sovereign-Bank Doom Loop in the European Union? The Bank Recovery and Resolution Directive ( abstract )
15:20
Full Disclosure and Financial Stability: How Does the Market Digest the Transparency Shock? ( abstract )
15:45
Banks, firms and jobs ( abstract )
14:30-16:10 Session 6E: Structural and rational expectation models
Chair:
Location: Room IX
14:30
Nonparametric Estimation for Regulation Models ( abstract )
14:55
The Linear Systems Approach to Linear Rational Expectations Models ( abstract )
15:20
Proxy-SVAR as a Bridge between Mixed Frequencies ( abstract )
16:40-18:20 Session 7A: Macroeconomics II
Location: Room IV
16:40
The response of asset prices to monetary policy shocks: stronger than thought ( abstract )
17:05
The Financial Stability Dark Side of Monetary Policy ( abstract )
17:30
Bootstrapping DSGE models ( abstract )
17:55
On the Identification of Interdependence and Contagion of Financial Crises ( abstract )
16:40-18:20 Session 7B: Nonlinear models
Location: Room VI
16:40
Adaptive state space models with applications to the business cycle and financial stress ( abstract )
17:05
Sign restricted Smooth Transition VAR models ( abstract )
17:30
Dynamic Adaptive Mixture Models ( abstract )
17:55
Understanding the Sources of Macroeconomic Uncertainty ( abstract )
16:40-18:20 Session 7C: Microeconomics
Location: Room VII
16:40
The Convergence of the Gender Pay Gap. An Alternative Estimation Approach ( abstract )
17:05
Transgenerational effects of war: Evidence from WWII in Europe ( abstract )
17:30
Quality Time with Parents: Reconsidering Equality Concerns among Families with an Ill Child ( abstract )
17:55
WHO SHOULD MONITOR JOB SICK LEAVE? ( abstract )
16:40-18:20 Session 7D: Casuality and cointegration
Location: Room VIII
16:40
Granger causality between vectors of time series: A Puzzling Property ( abstract )
17:05
Fully Modified OLS Estimation of Spatially Correlated Cointegrated Relationships ( abstract )
17:30
Does threshold cointegration matter for short-term interactions between US commodity prices and inflation? A historical perspective ( abstract )
17:55
FORMULA I(1): Circuits for Likelihood Maximization Algorithms in I(1) and I(2) VAR models ( abstract )
16:40-18:20 Session 7E: Session SIS - Measuring financial and banking systems risks
Location: Room IX
16:40
Mending the broken link: heterogeneous bank lending and monetary policy pass-through ( abstract )
17:05
Bank distress in news and numerical financial data ( abstract )
17:30
Bail-in or Bail-out? The Atlante example from a systemic risk perspective ( abstract )
17:55
Measuring contagion risk in international banking flows ( abstract )
Friday, January 27th

View this program: with abstractssession overviewtalk overview

08:50-10:30 Session 8A: Risk evaluation
Location: Room IV
08:50
Tree based methods for classifying risky financial institutions ( abstract )
09:15
Estimating Risk Premia Using Large Cross-Sections ( abstract )
09:40
Asset Allocation Strategies Based on Penalized Quantile Regression ( abstract )
10:05
Conditional alphas and realized betas ( abstract )
08:50-10:30 Session 8B: Testing
Location: Room VI
08:50
A test for monotonicity of the investment-cash flow sensitivity ( abstract )
09:15
Normality tests for latent variables ( abstract )
09:40
Wald tests when restrictions are locally singular ( abstract )
10:05
Testing for Serial Correlation in Spatial Panels ( abstract )
08:50-10:30 Session 8C: Firm dynamics and business cycle
Location: Room VII
08:50
Offshoring and firm overlap ( abstract )
09:15
Firm Dynamics and Employment Protection: Evidence from Sectoral Data ( abstract )
08:50-10:30 Session 8D: Financial econometrics II
Location: Room VIII
08:50
The seasonal heterogeneous INGARCH model ( abstract )
09:15
New Insights into Financial Markets Efficiency: A Present Value Approach ( abstract )
09:40
Comparing multivariate volatility forecasts by direct and indirect approaches ( abstract )
10:05
Semiparametric Estimation of Multivariate GARCH Models ( abstract )
08:50-10:30 Session 8E: Productivity and business cycle
Location: Room IX
08:50
Cross-Section Dependence and Latent Heterogeneity to Evaluate the Impact of Human Capital on Country Performance: a Robust Nonparametric Frontier Model ( abstract )
09:15
Natives and Migrants in Home Production: The Case of Germany ( abstract )
09:40
State dependence and unobserved heterogeneity in a double hurdle model for remittances: evidence from immigrants to Germany ( abstract )
11:00-12:40 Session 9A: Estimation II
Location: Room IV
11:00
Is a matrix exponential specification suitable for the modeling of spatial correlation structures? ( abstract )
11:25
Copula-Based Random Effects Models for Clustered Data ( abstract )
11:50
On the Estimation of Structural Gravity Models ( abstract )
12:15
Bootstrap inference under random distributional limits ( abstract )
11:00-12:40 Session 9B: Choice model
Location: Room VI
11:00
Swine Flu, Class Attendance, and Exam Performance: Should we force students to go to class? ( abstract )
11:25
Hospital Choice in the NHS ( abstract )
11:50
Intertemporal discrete choice ( abstract )
12:15
Do free choice and control affect individual preferences for redistribution? Evidence from a sample of 74 countries ( abstract )
11:00-12:40 Session 9C: Factor models
Location: Room VII
11:00
Interpreting latent dynamic factors by threshold FAVAR model ( abstract )
11:25
Unstable Diffusion Indexes: With an Application to Bond Risk Premia ( abstract )
11:50
Evaluating Restricted Common Factor models for non-stationary data ( abstract )
12:15
Estimating Stable Latent Factor Models by Indirect Inference ( abstract )
11:00-12:40 Session 9D: Monetary policy
Location: Room VIII
11:00
Changing Monetary Regime: Does It Improve Macroeconomic Performance? ( abstract )
11:25
Forecast uncertainty in the neighborhood of the effective lower bound: How much asymmetry should we expect? ( abstract )
11:50
Macroeconomic responses to an independent monetary policy shock: a (more) agnostic identification procedure ( abstract )
11:00-12:40 Session 9E: Session SIE - Measuring crime and politics in economics
Location: Room IX
11:00
The Legacy of Political History 1000-1800 for Attitudes Towards the State: Disaggregated Analysis for Italy ( abstract )
11:25
War of the Waves: Radio Propaganda, Violence and Political Polarization ( abstract )
11:50
The Political Cost of Being Soft on Crime: Evidence from a Natural Experiment ( abstract )