ICEEE-6TH: SIXTH ITALIAN CONGRESS OF ECONOMETRICS AND EMPIRICAL ECONOMICS (ICEEE)
PROGRAM

Days: Wednesday, January 21st Thursday, January 22nd Friday, January 23rd

Wednesday, January 21st

View this program: with abstractssession overviewtalk overview

14:30-16:10 Session 2A: STOCK PRICES
Location: Salone Genovesi
14:30
Network Connectivity and Systematic Risk (abstract)
14:55
Index Stock Return Market Expectations Implied from Options (abstract)
15:20
Herd Behavior in Global Stock Markets During the Recent Crises: Are There More Asymmetries? (abstract)
15:45
Volatility risk premia and financial connectedness (abstract)
14:30-16:10 Session 2B: GLOBALIZATION AND SPILLOVERS
Location: Globus
14:30
An Estimate of the Degree of Interconnectedness between European Regions: A Bayesian Model Averaging Approach (abstract)
14:55
Disentangling Spillovers from Correlated Confounders using GMM (abstract)
15:20
Inequality Accounting for a Large Cross-Section of Countries (abstract)
15:45
Global Dependence and Productivity Catching-up: A Conditional Nonparametric World Frontier Analysis (abstract)
14:30-16:10 Session 2C: CO-INTEGRATION
Location: Auditorium
14:30
IDENTIFICATION CONDITIONS IN SIMULTANEOUS SYSTEMS OF COINTEGRATING EQUATIONS OF HIGHER ORDER (abstract)
14:55
Can you do the wrong thing and still be right? Hypothesis Testing in I(2) and near-I(2) cointegrated VARs (abstract)
15:20
Determining the Co-integration Rank in Heteroskedastic VAR Models of Unknown Order (abstract)
15:45
A small simulation study on the robustness of cointegration methods against local to unity alternatives (abstract)
14:30-16:10 Session 2D: PANEL DATA
Location: Sala Gatto
14:30
PANICCA – PANIC on cross-section averages (abstract)
14:55
Multilateral Resistance and the Euro Effects on Trade Flows (abstract)
15:20
Testing for state dependence in binary panel data with individual covariates by a modified quadratic exponential model (abstract)
15:45
Improving GMM efficiency in dynamic models for panel data with mean stationarity (abstract)
16:40-18:20 Session 3A: VOLATILITY I
Location: Salone Genovesi
16:40
Multivariate Volatility Estimation by Markov Chain Methods (abstract)
17:05
Copula–based Specification of Vector MEMs (abstract)
17:30
Multi-jumps (abstract)
17:55
A Vector Heterogeneous Autoregressive Index Model for Realized Volatilities (abstract)
16:40-18:20 Session 3B: GEOGRAPHY AND SPATIAL ECONOMICS
Location: Globus
16:40
Green Cars Adoption and the Geography of Supply of Alternative Fuels (abstract)
17:05
The effect of local taxes on firm performance: evidence from geo referenced data (abstract)
17:30
Local government cooperation at work: A control function approach (abstract)
17:55
Industrial growth and spatial spillovers in 19th century Italy (abstract)
16:40-18:20 Session 3C: INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
Location: Capodorso
16:40
Trilemma, not Dilemma: Financial Globalisation and Monetary Policy Effectiveness (abstract)
17:05
Risk Diversification, Financial Integration and Foreign Investors' Profile (abstract)
17:30
Judiciary efficiency and trade in tasks (abstract)
17:55
Higher order beliefs and the dynamics of exchange rates (abstract)
16:40-18:20 Session 3D: EXPERIMENTS AND POLICY EVALUATION
Location: Auditorium
16:40
Female employment and pre-kindergarten: on the unintended effects of an Italian reform (abstract)
17:05
An evaluation of the policies on repayment of Government's trade debt in Italy (abstract)
17:30
The ban of Batasuna: effects on Local Government Spending (abstract)
17:55
Identication and Estimation of Outcome Response with Heterogeneous Treatment Externalities (abstract)
16:40-18:20 Session 3E: VAR MODELS
Location: Sala Gatto
16:40
Granger-Causal Priority and Choice of Variables in Vector Autoregressions (abstract)
17:05
Marginal distribution and higher-order moments in Markov-switching VAR models (abstract)
17:30
Bayesian Sparse Graphical Multivariate Autoregressions (abstract)
17:55
Structure-based SVAR identification (abstract)
Thursday, January 22nd

View this program: with abstractssession overviewtalk overview

08:50-10:30 Session 4A: DYNAMIC FACTOR MODELS
Location: Salone Genovesi
08:50
EIGENVALUE RATIO ESTIMATORS FOR THE NUMBER OF DYNAMIC FACTORS (abstract)
09:15
A Dynamic Test of Conditional Factor Models (abstract)
09:40
A spectral EM algorithm for dynamic factor models (abstract)
10:05
A dynamic factor model of health and medical treatment (abstract)
08:50-10:30 Session 4B: HEAVY TAILS
Location: Globus
08:50
Testing for (in)finite moments (abstract)
09:15
Sieve-Based Inference for Infinite-Variance Stationary Linear Processes (abstract)
09:40
Adaptive Models and Heavy Tails (abstract)
10:05
Least squares estimation for GARCH (1,1) model with heavy tailed errors (abstract)
08:50-10:30 Session 4C: INCENTIVES
Location: Capodorso
08:50
The Adverse Incentive Effects of Heterogeneity in Tournaments-Empirical Evidence from The German Bundesliga (abstract)
09:15
Should I Stay or Should I go? Sibling spillover effects in household formation (abstract)
09:40
Publish or Perish? Incentives and Careers in Italian Academia (abstract)
08:50-10:30 Session 4D: EMPIRICAL MACROECONOMICS 1
Location: Sala Gatto
08:50
Expectation-Driven Cycles: Time-varying Effects (abstract)
09:15
Uncertainty and Monetary Policy in the US: A Journey into Non-Linear Territory (abstract)
09:40
Sentiments in the Times of Crisis (abstract)
10:05
Financial regimes and uncertainty shocks (abstract)
08:50-10:30 Session 4E: TRADE AND EXPORT
Location: Auditorium
08:50
Family Firms, Corporate Governance, and Export (abstract)
09:15
Trade Liberalization and Domestic Suppliers: Evidence from Chile (abstract)
09:40
Islands as 'Bad Geography' - Insularity, Connectedness, Trade Costs and Trade (abstract)
10:05
Innovative capacity and export performance: Exploring heterogeneity along the export intensity distribution (abstract)
11:00-13:00 Session 5: PLENARY SESSION - ICEEE 6th KEYNOTE TALKS
Location: Salone Genovesi
11:00
Consumption Network Effects (abstract)
12:00
Should we care about unemployment risk? (abstract)
14:30-16:10 Session 6A: VOLATILITY II
Location: Salone Genovesi
14:30
Forecasting crude oil volatility by GARCH-MIDAS model (abstract)
14:55
Whittle estimation of multivariate exponential volatility models (abstract)
15:20
A Time-varying Mixture Memory Multiplicative Error Model (abstract)
15:45
Dynamic Principal Components: a New Class of Multivariate GARCH Models (abstract)
14:30-16:10 Session 6B: SPATIAL ECONOMETRICS
Location: Globus
14:30
Indirect Inference in Spatial Autoregression (abstract)
14:55
Reconciling ML and TSLS Estimators in Spatial Models (abstract)
15:20
A spatial econometric model for productivity and innovation in the manufacturing industry: the role played by geographical and sectorial distances between firms (abstract)
15:45
Adjusted MLE for the Spatial Autoregressive Parameter (abstract)
14:30-16:10 Session 6C: EMPIRICAL MACROECONOMICS II
Location: Sala Gatto
14:30
The financial and macroeconomic effects of the OMT announcements (abstract)
14:55
ICT and Non-ICT investments: short and long run macro dynamics (abstract)
15:20
The Expectation Hypothesis of the Term Structure of Very Short-Term Rates: Evidence from a New Testing Approach (abstract)
15:45
The empirical assessment of debt ratio dynamics in the light of heterogeneity and non stationarity (abstract)
14:30-16:10 Session 6D: DISCRETE CHOICE
Location: Capodorso
14:30
Does the letter matter (and for everyone)? Quasi-experimental evidence on the effects of home invitation on mammography uptake (abstract)
14:55
Who should be Treated? Empirical Welfare Maximization Methods for Treatment Choice (abstract)
15:20
Nonparametric Welfare Analysis for Discrete Choice (abstract)
15:45
Modelling Heaped Duration: An Application to Neonatal Mortality (abstract)
14:30-16:10 Session 6E: LARGE DIMENSIONAL MODELS AND DATASETS
Location: Auditorium
14:30
How to measure the quality of financial tweets (abstract)
14:55
Clustering complex time series databases by using periodical components (abstract)
15:20
Gaussian processes and Bayesian moment estimation (abstract)
16:40-18:20 Session 7A: HEALTH ECONOMICS
Location: Globus
16:40
Free patient mobility is not a free lunch. Lessons from a decentralised NHS. (abstract)
17:05
War and Obesity: The Role of Eating Habits (abstract)
17:30
The Effects of Hospital Competition and Patient Choice on Mortality for AMI, Hip Fracture and Stroke Patients (abstract)
16:40-18:20 Session 7B: EDUCATION
Location: Capodorso
16:40
Barriers to College Investment and Aggregate Productivity (abstract)
17:05
Is it What You Know or What you Do?The effect of teachers’ digital skills and practices on student achievement. (abstract)
17:30
Beyond the Average: Peer Heterogeneity and Intergenerational Transmission of Education (abstract)
17:55
Childhood Skills, Signals and Dynamic Contagion in Socioeconomic Adulthood Outcomes for Disadvantaged Youth (abstract)
16:40-18:20 Session 7C: UNIT ROOTS AND CO-INTEGRATED MODELS
Location: Sala Gatto
16:40
Optimal hedging with the cointegrated vector autoregressive model (abstract)
17:05
Adaptive testing for a unit root with nonstationary volatility (abstract)
17:30
Monitoring Stationarity and Cointegration (abstract)
17:55
Inversion of analytic matrix functions by local rank factorization (abstract)
16:40-18:20 Session 7D: RISK MEASUREMENT
Location: Salone Genovesi
16:40
Tail Risk and the Macroeconomy (abstract)
17:05
Fund Ratings: The method reconsidered (abstract)
17:30
The Impact of Uncertainty in the Oil and Gold Market on the Cross-Section of Stock Returns (abstract)
17:55
Tailing Tail Risk in the Hedge Fund Industry (abstract)
16:40-18:20 Session 7E: LABOUR AND WAGES
Location: Auditorium
16:40
Voluntary work and wages (abstract)
17:05
The wage premiumto supervision: evidence from an international comparison (abstract)
17:30
Finite mixture modeling of unemployment duration (abstract)
17:55
Labor supply factors and economic fluctuations (abstract)
Friday, January 23rd

View this program: with abstractssession overviewtalk overview

08:50-10:30 Session 8A: FORECASTING METHODS
Location: Globus
08:50
Density forecasts with MIDAS models (abstract)
09:15
Testing and Selecting Local Proper Scoring Rules (abstract)
09:40
Short-term forecasting with mixed-frequency data: A MIDASSO approach (abstract)
10:05
Alternative Tests for Correct Specification of Conditional Predictive Densities (abstract)
08:50-10:30 Session 8B: TOPICS IN MICROECONOMICS
Location: Salone Genovesi
08:50
When the baby cries at night. Inelastic buyers in non-competitive markets (abstract)
09:15
Financial Risk Taste, Business Cycles and Perceived Risk Exposure (abstract)
09:40
The relationship between panel and synthetic control estimators of the effect of civil war. (abstract)
10:05
The Consumption and Wealth Effects of an Unanticipated Change in Lifetime Resources (abstract)
08:50-10:30 Session 8C: STRUCTURAL VAR
Location: Sala Gatto
08:50
Identifying Noise Shocks: a VAR with Data Revisions (abstract)
09:15
Misspecification and Quasi-Rational Expectations in DSGE models (abstract)
09:40
Bayesian Graphical Models for Structural Vector Autoregressive Processes (abstract)
10:05
Identification in Structural Vector Autoregressive models with structural changes, with an application to U.S. monetary policy (abstract)
08:50-10:30 Session 8D: CREDIT MARKETS
Location: Auditorium
08:50
Spillover effects of credit demand and supply shocks in the EU countries: Evidence from a structural GVAR (abstract)
09:15
State dependence in access to credit (abstract)
09:40
Does credit crunch investment down? New evidence on the real effects of the bank-lending channel. (abstract)
11:00-12:40 Session 9A: DIFF-IN-DIFF
Location: Sala Gatto
11:00
Shake me the money! (abstract)
11:25
Does housing tenure affect the response of claimants to stricter job search requirements? Evidence from the UK Jobseeker's Allowance (abstract)
11:50
The Impact of Markup Regulation on Prices (abstract)
12:15
Regulation and the Crisis: Assessing Bank Efficiency through a Difference-in-Difference Approach (abstract)
11:00-12:40 Session 9B: TOPICS IN TIME SERIES
Location: Globus
11:00
Neglected serial correlation tests in UCARIMA models (abstract)
11:25
A General Theory of Rank Testing (abstract)
11:50
Generalised Linear Cepstral Models for the Spectrum of a Time Series (abstract)
12:15
Autocorrelation robust inference using the Daniell kernel with …fixed bandwidth (abstract)
11:00-12:40 Session 9C: MACROECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL FORECASTS
Location: Salone Genovesi
11:00
Modeling and Forecasting Corporate Default Counts with Poisson Intensity AR-X (PARX) Models (abstract)
11:25
Optimal Portfolio Choice under Decision-Based Model Combinations (abstract)
11:50
Forecast robustness in macroeconometric models (abstract)
12:15
Inflation Expectations and the Two Forms of Inattentiveness (abstract)
11:00-12:40 Session 9D: MIGRATION
Location: Capodorso
11:00
Mr. Rossi, Mr. Hu and Politics: The Role of Immigration in Shaping Natives’ Political Preferences (abstract)
11:25
Average partial effects in multivariate probit models with an application to immigrants' ethnic identity and economic performance (abstract)
11:50
Length of stay in the host country and educational achievement of immigrant students: the Italian case (abstract)
12:15
“Who Migrates and Why? Evidence from Italian Administrative Data.” (abstract)
11:00-12:40 Session 9E: QUANTILE METHODS AND APPLICATIONS
Location: Auditorium
11:00
Distributional vs. quantile regression (abstract)
11:25
Dynamic Model Averaging for Quantile Regression (abstract)
11:50
Lifetime Income Inequality: quantile treatment effect of retirement on the distribution of lifetime income. (abstract)
12:15
Quantile aggregation of density forecasts (abstract)