ECOMFIN2016: ENERGY & COMMODITY FINANCE CONFERENCE 2016
PROGRAM

Days: Thursday, June 23rd Friday, June 24th

Thursday, June 23rd

View this program: with abstractssession overviewtalk overview

10:30-11:00Coffee Break
11:00-12:30 Session 3A: Commodity Investing I

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Chair:
Ricardo Sousa (Bank for International Settlements, Switzerland)
Location: Room C1
11:00
Tom Erik Henriksen (NMBU, Norway)
Alois Pichler (NTNU, Norway)
Sjur Westgaard (NTNU, Norway)
Stein Frydenberg (HiST, Norway)
Can Commodities Dominate Stock and Bond Portfolios? ( abstract )
Discussant: Parthajit Kayal
11:30
John Cotter (Michael Smurfit Graduate School of Business, University College Dublin, Ireland)
Emmanuel Eyiah-Donkor (Michael Smurfit Graduate School of Business, University College Dublin, Ireland)
Valerio Poti (Michael Smurfit Graduate School of Business, University College Dublin, Ireland)
Predictability and Diversification Benefits of Investing in Commodity and Currency Futures ( abstract )
Discussant: Sławomir Śmiech
12:00
Floris Laly (Université Catholique de Louvain, Belgium)
Mikael Petitjean (Université Catholique de Louvain, Belgium)
On the Risk-Return Contribution of Commodities in Diversified Portfolios ( abstract )
Discussant: Lionel Lecesne
11:00-12:30 Session 3B: Emissions Trading

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Chair:
Luca Taschini (London School of Economics, UK)
11:00
Sascha Kollenberg (University of Duisburg-Essen, Germany)
Luca Taschini (London School of Economics, UK)
Dynamic Supply Adjustment and Banking Under Uncertainty: The Market Stability Reserve ( abstract )
Discussant: Ivan Diaz-Rainey
11:30
Ivan Diaz-Rainey (University of Otago, New Zealand)
Daniel J Tulloch (University of Oxford, UK)
Carbon Pricing in New Zealand’s Emissions Trading Scheme ( abstract )
Discussant: Markus Ulze
12:00
Peter Deeney (Dublin City University, Ireland)
Mark Cummins (Dublin City University, Ireland)
Michael Dowling (ESC Rennes School of Business, France)
Alan F. Smeaton (Insight Centre for Data Analytics, Dublin City University, Ireland)
The Influence of Twitter Sentiment in the EU Emissions Trading Scheme ( abstract )
Discussant: Stefan Trueck
11:00-12:30 Session 3C: Risk Management I

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Chair:
Giovanni Barone Adesi (Università della Svizzera italiana, Switzerland)
11:00
Giovanni Barone-Adesi (Swiss Fiannce Institute, Italy)
WTI Crude oil option implied VaR and CVaR: an empirical application ( abstract )
Discussant: Gianluca Fusai
11:30
Angelica Gianfreda (University Milano-Bicocca, Italy)
Giacomo Scandolo (University of Florence, Italy)
Assessing Model Risk in Financial and Power Markets using Dynamic Conditional VaRs ( abstract )
12:00
Esther Del Brio (University of Salamanca, Spain)
Andrés Mora-Valencia (Universidad de los Andes, Colombia)
Javier Perote (University of Salamanca, Spain)
Risk quantification for Commodity ETFs: Backtesting Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall ( abstract )
Discussant: Chiara Legnazzi
11:00-12:30 Session 3D: Natural Gas Markets I

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Chair:
Mark Cummins (Dublin City University, Ireland)
11:00
Lilian M. de Menezes (Cass Business School, UK)
Marianna Russo (Cass Business School, UK)
Giovanni Urga (Cass Business School, UK)
The volatility of natural gas prices in the United Kingdom market: drivers and spillover effects ( abstract )
Discussant: Yannan Lily Shen
11:30
Yannan Lily Shen (Penn State University, USA)
Kristopher Gerardi (Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, USA)
Chris Cunningham (Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, USA)
Unexpected Wealth Change and Mortgage Default: Evidence from the Shale Gas Boom ( abstract )
Discussant: Olivier Massol
12:00
Hayette Gatfaoui (IESEG School of Management, France)
Capturing Long‐Term Coupling and Short‐Term Decoupling Crude Oil and Natural Gas Prices ( abstract )
Discussant: Mark Cummins
11:00-12:30 Session 3E: Futures Markets I

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Chair:
Sebastian Jaimungal (University of Toronto, Canada)
11:00
A. Can Inci (Bryant University, USA)
Nejat Seyhun (University of Michigan - Ann Arbor, USA)
Degree of Integration between Brent Oil Spot and Futures Markets: Intraday Evidence ( abstract )
Discussant: David Bosch
11:30
Zied Ftiti (EDC Business School, OCRE-EDC and High Institute of Management Tunis, Tunisia, France)
Fredj Jawadi (UNiversity of Evry, France)
Wael Louhichi (ESSECA, France)
Intraday relationship between jumps and trading volume on energy futures markets: A wavelet approach ( abstract )
12:00
Daniel Scheitrum (University of California, Davis, USA)
Colin Carter (University of California, Davis, USA)
Cesar Revoreda-Giha (Scotland's Rural College, UK)
WTI and Brent Futures Pricing Structure ( abstract )
Discussant: Christopher Thiem
11:00-12:30 Session 3F: Crude Oil Markets

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Chair:
Anna Creti (Univeristé Paris Dauphine, France)
11:00
Sung Je Byun (Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, USA)
Speculation in Commodity Futures Markets, Inventories and the Price of Crude Oil ( abstract )
Discussant: Jaime Casassus
11:30
Andrei Kirilenko (Imperial College, UK)
Speculative Floating Oil ( abstract )
Discussant: Vikas Raman
12:00
Christina Sklibosios Nikitopoulos (University of Technology Sydney, Australia)
Matthew Squires (University of Technology Sydney, Australia)
Susan Thorp (The University of Sydney Business School, Australia)
Danny Yeung (University of Technology Sydney, Australia)
Determinants of the Shape of the Oil Futures Curve: Inventory, Consumption and Volatility ( abstract )
Discussant: Dinh Phan
11:00-12:30 Session 3G: Electricity Markets I

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Chair:
Ruediger Kiesel (University of Duisburg-Essen, Germany)
11:00
Derck Koolen (Erasmus University Rotterdam, Netherlands)
Ronald Huisman (Erasmus University Rotterdam, Netherlands)
Wolf Ketter (Erasmus University Rotterdam, Netherlands)
Liangfei Qiu (University of Florida, USA)
Risk and Decision Making for Electricity Forward Markets with Volatile Resources ( abstract )
Discussant: Jakub Nowotarski
11:30
Thomas Wottka (RWE Supply & Trading, Germany)
An Extended Multi-Factor Structural Model for the Electricity Market ( abstract )
Discussant: Tiziano Vargiolu
12:30-13:30Lunch Break
13:30-15:00 Session 4A: Commodity Asset Pricing I

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Chair:
Marcel Prokopczuk (Leibniz University Hannover, Germany)
13:30
Marcel Prokopczuk (Leibniz University Hannover, Germany)
Chardin Wese Simen (ICMA Centre, Henley Business School, UK)
Variance Risk Premia in Commodity Markets ( abstract )
Discussant: Martijn Boons
14:00
Adrian Fernandez-Perez (Auckland University of Technology, New Zealand)
Bart Frijns (Auckland University of Technology, New Zealand)
Ana-Maria Fuertes (Cass Business School, UK)
Joelle Miffre (EDHEC Business School, France)
The Pricing of Skewness in Commodity Futures Markets: Risk or Lottery? ( abstract )
Discussant: Roméo Tedongap
14:30
Andreas Rathgeber (University of Augsburg, Germany)
Benedikt Gleich (Universität Augsburg / Technische Universität München, Germany)
Fabian Lutzenberger (FIM Research Center, Germany)
Herbert Mayer (University of Augsburg, Germany)
Christian Stepanek (1 PLUS i, Germany)
Metals: Resources or Financial Assets? A Multivariate Cross-Sectional Analysis ( abstract )
Discussant: Hipòlit Torró
13:30-15:00 Session 4B: Commodity Comovement

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Chair:
Jaime Casassus (Universidad Catolica de Chile, Chile)
13:30-15:00 Session 4C: Renewable Energy

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Chair:
Juri Hinz (UTS, Australia)
13:30
Juri Hinz (UTS, Australia)
Jeremy Yee (UTS, Australia)
Optimal Control Of Battery Storage For Renewable Electricity Generation ( abstract )
Discussant: Luca Taschini
14:00
Awdesch Melzer (Humboldt-University Berlin, Germany)
Wolfgang Härdle (Humboldt-University Berlin, Germany)
Brenda Lopez Cabrera (Humboldt-University Berlin, Germany)
Wind Energy Risk Modelling in Ultra-High Dimensional Space ( abstract )
Discussant: Juri Hinz
14:30
Paolo Falbo (University of Brescia - Department of Economics and Management, Italy)
Cristian Pelizzari (University of Brescia - Department of Economics and Management, Italy)
Luca Taschini (London School of Economics, UK)
Renewables, Allowances Markets, and Energy Mix in Energy-Only Markets ( abstract )
Discussant: Awdesch Melzer
13:30-15:00 Session 4D: Market Microstructure

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Chair:
Jaime Casassus (Universidad Catolica de Chile, Chile)
13:30
Francis Declerck (ESSEC Business School, France)
Frédéric Lantz (IFP - Energies Nouvelles, France)
Jean-Pierre Indjehagopian (ESSEC Business School, France)
Dynamics and structural breaks between the biofuel, resources and oil prices on the European market ( abstract )
Discussant: Alex Ng
14:00
Soomin Lee (Department of Economics, University of Toronto, Canada)
A Theory of High Frequency Market Making in Fragmented Markets ( abstract )
Discussant: Malte Rieth
14:30
Yves Rannou (University(IAE) of Poitiers CEREGE EA 1722, France)
Order placement strategy and price formation under risk averse investors’ preference: the perspective of European carbon markets ( abstract )
Discussant: Vito Mollica
13:30-15:00 Session 4E: Crude Oil Volatility

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Chair:
Helena Veiga (U. Carlos II de Madrid, Spain)
13:30
Khaled Guesmi (IPAG Business School, France)
Ilyes Abid (ISC Business School, France)
Anna Creti (LeDA, Universtié Paris Dauphine, France & Ecole Polytechnique, France, France)
Julien Chevalier (Université Paris 8(LED) & IPAG Business School , Paris, France)
Oil Risk and Financial Contagion ( abstract )
Discussant: Matteo Bonato
14:00
Jamal Bouoiyour (CATT, University of Pau, France)
Refk Selmi (Tunis Business School, Tunisia)
The infernal couple China-Oil Price and the Responses of G7 Equities: A QQ Approach ( abstract )
Discussant: Thijs Benschop
14:30
Miroslava Zavadska (Dublin Institute of Technology, Ireland)
Lucía Morales (Dublin Institute of Technology, Ireland)
Joseph Coughlan (Maynooth University, Ireland)
Oil Prices Volatility during Crises Periods ( abstract )
Discussant: Iqbal Mansur
13:30-15:00 Session 4F: Commodity Investing II
Chair:
Sofia Ramos (ESSEC, France)
13:30
Lionel Lecesne (University of Paris-Seine Cergy-Pontoise, France)
Andrea Roncoroni (ESSEC Business School, France)
How Should Commodity Funds Decisions and Performance React to Size-Driven Liquidity Frictions? ( abstract )
Discussant: Sofia Ramos
14:00
Jung-Hyun Ahn (NEOMA Business School, France)
Pierre Six (NEOMA Business School, France)
Investing in commodity: why duplicating inventories? ( abstract )
14:30
Nikolas Topaloglou (Athens University of Economics and Business, Greece)
Charoula Daskalaki (University of Piraeus, Greece)
George Skiadopoulos (Queen Mary University of London, UK)
Diversification benefits of commodities: A stochastic dominance efficiency approach ( abstract )
Discussant: Theo Berger
13:30-15:00 Session 4G: Commodity Derivatives
Chair:
Alvaro Cartea (University of Oxford, UK)
13:30
Herbert Mayer (University of Augsburg, Germany)
Markus Ulze (University of Augsburg, Germany)
Andreas Rathgeber (University of Augsburg, Germany)
Markus Wanner (University of Augsburg, Germany)
Financialization of Commodity Markets – Evidence from European Certificates Markets ( abstract )
Discussant: Peter Deeney
14:00
Louis Ederington (University of Oklahoma, USA)
Chitru Fernando (University of Oklahoma, USA)
Kateryna Holland (Purdue University, USA)
Thomas Lee (U.S. Energy Information Administration (U.S. Dept. of Energy), USA)
Scott Linn (University of Oklahoma, USA)
Arbitrage and the Financial-Physical Nexus in Commodity Markets ( abstract )
Discussant: Andrei Kirilenko
14:30
Michail Anthropelos (Univesrity of Piraeus, Greece)
Michael Kupper (University of Konstanz, Germany)
Antonis Papapantoleon (TU Berlin, Germany)
An equilibrium model for spot and forward prices of commodities ( abstract )
Discussant: Lorenz Schneider
13:30-15:00 Session 4H: Electricity Markets II
Chair:
Jakub Nowotarski (Wroclaw University of Technology, Poland)
13:30
Rimvydas Baltaduonis (Gettysburg College/FERC, USA)
Samuel Bonar (FERC, USA)
John Carnes (FERC, USA)
Erin Mastrangelo (FERC, USA)
Abnormal Returns in Markets for Congestion Revenue Rights ( abstract )
Discussant: Kevin Berk
14:00
Juan Ignacio Peña (Universidad Carlos III, Spain)
Rosa Rodriguez (Universidad Carlos III, Spain)
Default supply auctions incentive hedging in power derivatives markets ( abstract )
Discussant: Veronika Lunina
15:00-15:30Coffee Break
15:30-17:00 Session 5A: Commodity Volatility

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Chair:
Tim Verdonck (KU Leuven, Belgium)
15:30
Steve Cochran (Villanova University, USA)
Iqbal Mansur (Widener University, USA)
Babatunde Odusami (Widener University, USA)
Threshold Effects of the Term Spread in Commodity Returns and Return Volatilities: A Double Threshold FIGARCH Approach ( abstract )
Discussant: Tim Verdonck
16:00
Marcel Prokopczuk (Leibniz University Hannover, Germany)
Lazaros Symeonidis (Norwich Business School, University of East Anglia, UK)
On the Economic Sources of Commodity Market Volatility ( abstract )
Discussant: Benedikt Gleich
15:30-17:00 Session 5B: Gold and Silver Markets

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Chair:
Rita Laura D'Ecclesia (Sapienza Università di Roma, Italy)
15:30
Joscha Beckmann (University of Bochum, Germany)
Theo Berger (University of Bremen, Germany)
Robert Czudaj (University of Duisburg-Essen, Germany)
Gold Prices and Uncertainty ( abstract )
Discussant: Soomin Lee
16:00
Celine Kharma (Banking and Finance Institute, University of St Gallen, Switzerland)
Microstructure of gold Exchange Traded Funds ( abstract )
Discussant: Naomi Boyd
16:30
Parthajit Kayal (Institute for Financial Management and Research, India)
S Maheswaran (Institute for Financial Management and Research, India)
A Study of Excess Volatility of Gold and Silver ( abstract )
15:30-17:00 Session 5C: Electricity Markets III

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Chair:
Florentina Paraschiv (University of St. Gallen, ior/cf, Switzerland)
15:30
Rikard Green (E.ON Sweden, Sweden)
Karl Larsson (Statistics Sweden, Sweden)
Veronika Lunina (Lund University, Sweden)
Birger Nilsson (Lund University, Sweden)
Cross-Commodity News Transmission and Volatility Spillovers in the German Energy Markets ( abstract )
Discussant: Genaro Sucarrat
16:00
Kevin Berk (University of Siegen, Germany)
Alfred Müller (University of Siegen, Germany)
Modeling Electricity Load with Inhomogeneous Markov-Switching Models ( abstract )
Discussant: Thomas Wottka
16:30
Jakub Nowotarski (Wroclaw University of Technology, Poland)
Rafal Weron (Wroclaw University of Technology, Poland)
On the importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting ( abstract )
15:30-17:00 Session 5D: Modelling and Derivatives I

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Chair:
Susan Thorp (University of Sydney, Australia)
15:30
Alvaro Cartea (University of Oxford, UK)
Sebastian Jaimungal (University of Toronto, Canada)
Zhen Qin (University of Toronto, Canada)
Model Uncertainty in Electricity Interconnector Markets ( abstract )
Discussant: Andrea Roncoroni
16:00
Jose Da Fonseca (Auckland Unversity of Technology, New Zealand)
Katja Ignatieva (UNSW Australia, Risk and Actuarial Studies, Australia)
Jump Activity Analysis for Affine Jump-diffusion Models: Evidences from the Commodity Market ( abstract )
16:30
Christina Nikitopoulos (University of Technology Sydney, Australia)
Benjamin Cheng (University of Technology Sydney, Australia)
Erik Schlogl (University of Technology Sydney, Australia)
Empirical pricing performance on long-dated crude oil derivatives: Do models with stochastic interest rates matter? ( abstract )
15:30-17:00 Session 5E: Physical Assets

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Chair:
Gianluca Fusai (Cass Business School, City University and DISEI - Piemonte Orientale, Italy)
15:30
Stephania Mosquera-López (Universidad del Valle-School of Industrial Engineering, Colombia)
Diego Manotas-Duque (Universidad del Valle-School of Industrial Engineering, Colombia)
Jorge Uribe (Universidad del Valle-Department of Economics, Colombia)
Risk Asymmetries in Hydrothermal Power Generation Markets ( abstract )
Discussant: Cord Harms
16:00
Cord Harms (University Duisburg Essen, Germany)
Ruediger Kiesel (University Duisburg-Essen, Germany)
Application of Electricity Bid Stack Models for Dynamic Hedging Purposes ( abstract )
16:30
Margherita Stella Grasso (ENGIE, Italy)
Marco Miarelli (ENI, Italy)
How to get the maximum value from your power plant's hedging ( abstract )
15:30-17:00 Session 5F: Commodity Investing III

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Chair:
Hayette Gatfaoui (IESEG School of Management, France)
15:30
Sofia Ramos (ESSEC Business School, France)
Helena Veiga (Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Spain)
Chih-Wei Wang (College of Management, National Sun Yat-sen University, Taiwan)
Energy industry's market value and oil price ( abstract )
Discussant: Hayette Gatfaoui
16:00
Helyette Geman (University of London, UK)
Intraday Pairs Trading Strategies on High Frequency Data: The Case of Oil Companies ( abstract )
Discussant: Pierre Six
16:30
Alex Ng (Thompson Rivers University, Canada)
Di Zheng (Thompson Rivers University, Canada)
Disagreement and Environmental Tastes as Substitutes for Financial Performance in Energy Firms ( abstract )
Discussant: Tom Erik Henriksen
15:30-17:00 Session 5G: Asset Pricing II
Chair:
Joelle Miffre (EDHEC, France)
15:30
Beatriz Martinez (Universitat de València, Spain)
Hipòlit Torró (Universitat de València, Spain)
Anatomy of risk premium in UK natural gas futures ( abstract )
Discussant: Vasilis Dedes
16:00
Vasilis Dedes (Stockholm School of Economics, Sweden)
Romeo Tedongap (ESSEC Business School, France)
The Economic Value of TIPS Arbitrage Mispricing ( abstract )
Discussant: Joelle Miffre
16:30
Martijn Boons (Nova School of Business and Economics, Portugal)
Melissa Prado (Nova School of Business and Economics, Portugal)
Basis-momentum ( abstract )
Discussant: Julien Chevallier
Friday, June 24th

View this program: with abstractssession overviewtalk overview

09:00-10:30 Session 7A: Financialization of Commodities

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Chair:
Ajeyo Banerjee (University of Colorado Denver, USA)
09:00
Vikas Raman (University of Warwick, UK)
Michel Robe (American University, USA)
Pradeep Yadav (University of Oklahoma, USA)
Financialization, e-Trading, and Commodity Market Quality ( abstract )
Discussant: Ajeyo Banerjee
09:30
Ricardo Sousa (Bank for International Settlements, Switzerland)
U.S. equity and commodity futures markets: hedging or financialization? ( abstract )
Discussant: Chardin Wese
10:00
Matteo Bonato (University of Johannesburg, South Africa)
Luca Taschini (London School of Economics, UK)
Comovement and the Financialization of Commodities ( abstract )
Discussant: Giovanni Pagliardi
09:00-10:30 Session 7B: Risk Management II
Chair:
Francis Declerck (ESSEC Business School, France)
09:00
Michael Coulon (University of Sussex, UK)
The Role of Fundamentals as Price Drivers in the Frozen Concentrated Orange Juice (FCOJ) Market ( abstract )
Discussant: Francis Declerck
09:30
Abdullah Mohammed Almansur (King Fahd University of Petroleum and Minerals, Saudi Arabia)
William L. Megginson (University of Oklahoma, USA)
Leo Pugachev (University of Oklahoma, USA)
Hedging Gone Wild: Was Delta Airlines’ Purchase Of Trainer Refinery A Sound Risk Management Strategy? ( abstract )
Discussant: Sung Je Byun
10:00
Olivier Massol (IFP School & City University London, France)
Emmanuel Hache (IFP Energies Nouvelles, France)
Sanctions against Iran: An assessment of their global impact through the lens of international Methanol prices ( abstract )
Discussant: Yves Rannou
09:00-10:30 Session 7C: Financial Econometrics

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Chair:
Roméo Tedongap (ESSEC Business School, France)
09:00
Thijs Benschop (Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Germany)
Brenda Lopez Cabrera (Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Germany)
Realized volatility of CO2 futures ( abstract )
Discussant: Helena Veiga
09:30
Peter Leoni (KU Leuven, Belgium)
Sven Serneels (BASF Corporation, USA)
Tim Verdonck (KU Leuven, Belgium)
Multivariate Constrained Robust M-Regression for Shaping Forward Curves in Energy Markets ( abstract )
Discussant: George Filis
10:00
Stavros Degiannakis (Panteion University of Social and Political Sciences, Greece)
George Filis (Panteion University of Social and Political Sciences, Greece)
Forecasting oil price realized volatility: A new approach ( abstract )
Discussant: Lazaros Symeonidis
09:00-10:30 Session 7D: Modelling and Derivatives II
Chair:
Pierre Six (Neoma Business School, France)
09:00
Gianluca Fusai (Cass Business School, City University and DISEI - Piemonte Orientale, Italy)
Laura Ballotta (Cass Business School, City University London, UK)
Daniele Marazzina (Dep.t of Mathematics, Politecnico di Milano, Italy)
Integrated structural approach to Counterparty Credit Risk of Commodity Swaps ( abstract )
Discussant: Markus Wanner
09:30
John Moriarty (Queen Mary, University of London, UK)
Jan Palczewski (University of Leeds, UK)
Energy imbalance market call options and the valuation of storage ( abstract )
Discussant: Bruno Marque
10:00
Lourdes Gómez-Valle (University of Valladolid, Spain)
Ziba Habibilashkary (University of Valladolid, Spain)
Julia Martínez-Rodríguez (University of Valladolid, Spain)
Pricing commodity futures and options by means of jump-diffusion risk-neutral processes estimation ( abstract )
Discussant: Marianna Russo
09:00-10:30 Session 7E: Corporate Risk Management

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Chair:
Alvaro Cartea (University of Oxford, UK)
09:00
Betty Simkins (Okhlahoma state University, USA)
A Review of the Literature on Commodity Risk Management ( abstract )
Discussant: Monika Papież
09:30
Katsushi Nakajima (Ritsumeikan Asia Pacific University, Japan)
Commodity Spot and Futures Prices with a Firm's Optimal Strategy ( abstract )
Discussant: Betty Simkins
10:00
Andrea Roncoroni (ESSEC Business School, France)
Paolo Guiotto (Università di Padova, Italy)
How Firms Should Hedge Non-Tradable Risk? ( abstract )
Discussant: Alvaro Cartea
09:00-10:30 Session 7F: Electricity Markets IV
Chair:
Juan Ignacio Peña (Universidad Carlos III, Spain)
09:00
Genaro Sucarrat (BI Norwegian Business School, Norway)
Alvaro Escribano (Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Spain)
Modelling the Complex Dynamics of Daily Electricity Price Return Volatility ( abstract )
Discussant: Derck Koolen
09:30
Tiziano Vargiolu (University of Padova, Italy)
Enrico Edoli (Phinergy SRLS, Italy)
Marco Gallana (Phinergy Srls, Italy)
Optimal intra-day power trading with a Gaussian additive process ( abstract )
Discussant: Alfred Müller
10:00
Fred Espen Benth (University of Oslo, Norway)
Florentina Paraschiv (University of St. Gallen, ior/cf, Switzerland)
Structural model for electricity forward prices ( abstract )
Discussant: Juan Ignacio Peña
09:00-10:30 Session 7G: Crude Oil Prices
Chair:
Andrei Kirilenko (Imperial College Business School, UK)
09:00
Paresh Narayan (Deakin University, Australia)
Dinh Phan (Deakin University, Australia)
Can Stale Oil Price News Predict Stock Returns? ( abstract )
Discussant: Marco Lorusso
09:30
Christopher Thiem (University of Duisburg-Essen, Germany)
Oil price uncertainty and the business cycle: Accounting for the influences of global supply and demand within a VAR GARCH-in-mean framework ( abstract )
Discussant: Yosef Bonaparte
10:00
Yosef Bonaparte (University of Colorado at Denver, USA)
Oil Price Uncertainty Index: Capturing Media Information ( abstract )
Discussant: Patrick Gruening
09:00-10:30 Session 7H: Natural Gas Markets II
Chair:
Julien Chevallier (Université Paris 8, France)
09:00
Bernard Murphy (University of Limerick, Ireland)
Greg Kiely (Gazprom, UK)
Mark Cummins (Dublin City University, Ireland)
Gas storage valuation under Lévy processes using the Fast Fourier Transform ( abstract )
Discussant: Tommaso Pellegrino
09:30
Julien Chevallier (Université Paris 8, France)
Yue Jun Zhang (a Business School, Hunan University, Changsha 410082, PR China, China)
Spillover effect of stock market panic on crude oil and natural gas markets ( abstract )
Discussant: Zakaria Moussa
10:00
Greg Kiely (Gazprom, UK)
Mark Cummins (Dublin City University, Ireland)
Bernard Murphy (University of Limerick, Ireland)
Model Risk in Gas Storage Valuation: Joint Calibration-Estimation Risk Measurement ( abstract )
Discussant: Angelica Gianfreda
10:30-11:00Coffee Break
11:00-12:30 Session 8A: Futures Trading

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Chair:
François Longin (ESSEC Business School, France)
11:00
Michael Hachula (DIW Berlin, Germany)
Malte Rieth (DIW Berlin, Germany)
Identifying Demand Shocks in Commodity Futures Markets through Changes in Volatility ( abstract )
Discussant: Daniel Scheitrum
11:30
David Bosch (Humboldt-University Berlin, Germany)
Elina Pradkhan (Humboldt-University Berlin, Germany)
Price Discovery and Trading Activity in Commodity Futures Markets ( abstract )
Discussant: Zied Ftiti
12:00
Alex Frino (Macquarie University, Australia)
Gbenga Ibikunle (University of Edinburgh Business School, UK)
Vito Mollica (Macquarie University, Australia)
Tom Steffen (University of Edinburgh Business School, UK)
Anticipatory Trading in Brent Futures: Evidence from the unregulated Dated Brent Benchmark ( abstract )
Discussant: A. Can Inci
11:00-12:30 Session 8B: Financialization of Commodities II

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Chair:
Scott Linn (University of Oklahoma, USA)
11:00
Nicole Branger (University of Münster, Germany)
Patrick Grüning (Center for Excellence in Finance and Economic Research (CEFER), Bank of Lithuania, and Vilnius University, Lithuania)
Christian Schlag (Research Center SAFE and Goethe University Frankfurt, Germany)
Commodities, Financialization, and Heterogeneous Agents ( abstract )
Discussant: Jung-Hyun Ahn
11:30
Zakaria Moussa (Lemna, university of Nantes, France)
Olivier Darné (Lemna, university of Nantes, France)
Philippe Charlot (Lemna, university of Nantes, France)
Commodity returns co-movements: Fundamentals or “style”? ( abstract )
Discussant: Celine Kharma
11:00-12:30 Session 8C: Modelling and Derivatives III

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Chair:
Christina Nikitopoulos (University of Technology Sydney, Australia)
11:00
Lorenz Schneider (EMLYON Business School, France)
Bertrand Tavin (EMLYON Business School, France)
From the Samuelson Volatility Effect to a Samuelson Correlation Effect: An Analysis of Crude Oil Calendar Spread Options ( abstract )
11:30
Tommaso Pellegrino (Gazprom Marketing & Trading Limited, UK)
A General Closed Form Approximation Pricing Formula for Basket and Multi-Asset Spread Options ( abstract )
Discussant: John Moriarty
12:00
Bruno Marque (EDF (Électricité de France), France)
Pricing and Hedging Three-Market Spread Options for the Management of Thermal Assets ( abstract )
11:00-12:30 Session 8D: Bubbles or Safe Havens?

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Chair:
Jocelyn Martel (ESSEC Business School, France)
11:00
Rita Laura D'Ecclesia (Sapienza Università di Roma, Italy)
Vera Jotanovic (Sapienza Università di Roma, Italy)
Are Diamonds a safe haven. A financial basket index for diamonds. ( abstract )
Discussant: Floris Laly
11:30
Isabel Figuerola-Ferretti (ICADE, Universidad Pontificia de Comillas, Spain)
Rod Mccrorie (School of Economics and Finance, University of St Andrews, UK)
Ioannis Paraskevopoulos (Capital Markets, Bankia, Spain)
Have oil prices really exhibited bubble behavior? pre-crises and recent evidence using OVX adjusted prices suggest not ( abstract )
Discussant: Nikolas Topaloglou
12:00
Sławomir Śmiech (Cracow Univeristy of Economics, Poland)
Monika Papież (Cracow Univeristy of Economics, Poland)
In search of hedges and safe havens: evidence from rolling regression approach ( abstract )
Discussant: Miroslava Zavadska
11:00-12:30 Session 8E: Shipping Freight Markets

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Chair:
Duc Khuong Nguyen (IPAG, France)
11:00
Ioannis Moutzouris (Cass Business School, City University London, UK)
Nikos Nomikos (Cass Business School, City University London, UK)
Vessel Price Formation and Second Hand Market Activity in the Dry Bulk Shipping Industry ( abstract )
Discussant: Nikos Paltalidis
11:30
Nikos Paltalidis (Durham University, UK)
Dimitrios Gounopoulos (University of Sussex, UK)
Determinants of shipping market fluctuations: A Bayesian Markov switching three state approach ( abstract )
Discussant: Thomas Walther
12:00
Philipp Lauenstein (HSBA Hamburg School of Business Administration, Germany)
Thomas Walther (Technische Universität Dresden, Germany)
Forecasting volatility of tanker freight rates based on asymmetric regime-switching GARCH models ( abstract )
Discussant: Ioannis Moutzouris
11:00-12:30 Session 8F: Emissions Trading II
Chair:
Yves Rannou (University(IAE) of Poitiers CEREGE EA 1722, France)
11:00
Paweł Maryniak (Wrocław University of Economics, Poland)
Stefan Trueck (Macquarie University, Sydney, Australia)
Rafal Weron (Wroclaw University of Technology, Poland)
Carbon Pass-Through Rates in Australian Electricity Futures Markets ( abstract )
Discussant: Jiayuan Chen
11:30
Don Bredin (University College Dublin, Ireland)
Jiayuan Chen (University College Dublin, Ireland)
Cal Muckley (University College Dublin, Ireland)
Is information assimilated at announcements in the European Carbon Market? ( abstract )
Discussant: Sascha Kollenberg
11:00-12:30 Session 8G: Crude Oil Markets II
Chair:
Yosef Bonaparte (University of Colorado at Denver, USA)
11:00
Francis Declerck (ESSEC Business School, France)
Jean-Pierre Indjehagopian (ESSEC Business School, France)
Oil and Oil Company Stock Prices: Cointegration with Changing Regimes ( abstract )
Discussant: Jamal Bouoiyour
11:30
Marco Lorusso (Heriot-Watt University, UK)
Luca Pieroni (University of Perugia, Italy)
Causes and Consequences of Oil Price Shocks on the UK Economy ( abstract )
Discussant: Anna Creti
12:00
Jaime Casassus (Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile, Chile)
Freddy Higuera (Universidad Catolica del Norte, Chile)
The Economic Impact of Oil on Industry Portfolios ( abstract )
Discussant: Susan Thorp
11:00-12:30 Session 8H: Commoditiy Investing IV
Chair:
Betty Simkins (Okhlahoma state University, USA)
11:00
Paolo Coghe (Societé Generale, France)
GOINGS ON ABOUT ENERGY COMMODITIES IN EUROPE ( abstract )
11:30
Xavier Veillard (Accenture, France)
The Global Biodiesel Market Financial Commoditization ( abstract )
12:30-13:30Lunch Break
15:00-16:00Transfer from ESSEC Business School to Paris
19:00-22:30Conference Dinner in Paris
22:30-23:00Transfer from Paris to ESSEC