PROGRAM
Days: Thursday, June 23rd Friday, June 24th
Thursday, June 23rd
View this program: with abstractssession overviewtalk overview
10:30-11:00Coffee Break
11:00-12:30 Session 3A: Commodity Investing I
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Chair:
Ricardo Sousa (Bank for International Settlements, Switzerland)
Location: Room C1
11:00 | Can Commodities Dominate Stock and Bond Portfolios? ( abstract ) Discussant: Parthajit Kayal |
11:30 | Predictability and Diversification Benefits of Investing in Commodity and Currency Futures ( abstract ) Discussant: Sławomir Śmiech |
12:00 | On the Risk-Return Contribution of Commodities in Diversified Portfolios ( abstract ) Discussant: Lionel Lecesne |
11:00-12:30 Session 3B: Emissions Trading
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Chair:
Luca Taschini (London School of Economics, UK)
11:00 | Dynamic Supply Adjustment and Banking Under Uncertainty: The Market Stability Reserve ( abstract ) Discussant: Ivan Diaz-Rainey |
11:30 | Carbon Pricing in New Zealand’s Emissions Trading Scheme ( abstract ) Discussant: Markus Ulze |
12:00 | The Influence of Twitter Sentiment in the EU Emissions Trading Scheme ( abstract ) Discussant: Stefan Trueck |
11:00-12:30 Session 3C: Risk Management I
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Chair:
Giovanni Barone Adesi (Università della Svizzera italiana, Switzerland)
11:00 | WTI Crude oil option implied VaR and CVaR: an empirical application ( abstract ) Discussant: Gianluca Fusai |
11:30 | Assessing Model Risk in Financial and Power Markets using Dynamic Conditional VaRs ( abstract ) Discussant: Andrés Mora-Valencia |
12:00 | Risk quantification for Commodity ETFs: Backtesting Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall ( abstract ) Discussant: Chiara Legnazzi |
11:00-12:30 Session 3D: Natural Gas Markets I
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Chair:
Mark Cummins (Dublin City University, Ireland)
11:00 | The volatility of natural gas prices in the United Kingdom market: drivers and spillover effects ( abstract ) Discussant: Yannan Lily Shen |
11:30 | Unexpected Wealth Change and Mortgage Default: Evidence from the Shale Gas Boom ( abstract ) Discussant: Olivier Massol |
12:00 | Capturing Long‐Term Coupling and Short‐Term Decoupling Crude Oil and Natural Gas Prices ( abstract ) Discussant: Mark Cummins |
11:00-12:30 Session 3E: Futures Markets I
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Chair:
Sebastian Jaimungal (University of Toronto, Canada)
11:00 | Degree of Integration between Brent Oil Spot and Futures Markets: Intraday Evidence ( abstract ) Discussant: David Bosch |
11:30 | Intraday relationship between jumps and trading volume on energy futures markets: A wavelet approach ( abstract ) Discussant: Sebastian Jaimungal |
12:00 | WTI and Brent Futures Pricing Structure ( abstract ) Discussant: Christopher Thiem |
11:00-12:30 Session 3F: Crude Oil Markets
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Chair:
Anna Creti (Univeristé Paris Dauphine, France)
11:00 | Speculation in Commodity Futures Markets, Inventories and the Price of Crude Oil ( abstract ) Discussant: Jaime Casassus |
11:30 | Speculative Floating Oil ( abstract ) Discussant: Vikas Raman |
12:00 | Determinants of the Shape of the Oil Futures Curve: Inventory, Consumption and Volatility ( abstract ) Discussant: Dinh Phan |
11:00-12:30 Session 3G: Electricity Markets I
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Chair:
Ruediger Kiesel (University of Duisburg-Essen, Germany)
11:00 | Risk and Decision Making for Electricity Forward Markets with Volatile Resources ( abstract ) Discussant: Jakub Nowotarski |
11:30 | An Extended Multi-Factor Structural Model for the Electricity Market ( abstract ) Discussant: Tiziano Vargiolu |
12:30-13:30Lunch Break
13:30-15:00 Session 4A: Commodity Asset Pricing I
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Chair:
Marcel Prokopczuk (Leibniz University Hannover, Germany)
13:30 | Variance Risk Premia in Commodity Markets ( abstract ) Discussant: Martijn Boons |
14:00 | The Pricing of Skewness in Commodity Futures Markets: Risk or Lottery? ( abstract ) Discussant: Roméo Tedongap |
14:30 | Metals: Resources or Financial Assets? A Multivariate Cross-Sectional Analysis ( abstract ) Discussant: Hipòlit Torró |
13:30-15:00 Session 4B: Commodity Comovement
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Chair:
Jaime Casassus (Universidad Catolica de Chile, Chile)
13:30-15:00 Session 4C: Renewable Energy
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Chair:
Juri Hinz (UTS, Australia)
13:30 | Optimal Control Of Battery Storage For Renewable Electricity Generation ( abstract ) Discussant: Luca Taschini |
14:00 | Wind Energy Risk Modelling in Ultra-High Dimensional Space ( abstract ) Discussant: Juri Hinz |
14:30 | Renewables, Allowances Markets, and Energy Mix in Energy-Only Markets ( abstract ) Discussant: Awdesch Melzer |
13:30-15:00 Session 4D: Market Microstructure
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Chair:
Jaime Casassus (Universidad Catolica de Chile, Chile)
13:30 | Dynamics and structural breaks between the biofuel, resources and oil prices on the European market ( abstract ) Discussant: Alex Ng |
14:00 | A Theory of High Frequency Market Making in Fragmented Markets ( abstract ) Discussant: Malte Rieth |
14:30 | Order placement strategy and price formation under risk averse investors’ preference: the perspective of European carbon markets ( abstract ) Discussant: Vito Mollica |
13:30-15:00 Session 4E: Crude Oil Volatility
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Chair:
Helena Veiga (U. Carlos II de Madrid, Spain)
13:30 | Oil Risk and Financial Contagion ( abstract ) Discussant: Matteo Bonato |
14:00 | The infernal couple China-Oil Price and the Responses of G7 Equities: A QQ Approach ( abstract ) Discussant: Thijs Benschop |
14:30 | Oil Prices Volatility during Crises Periods ( abstract ) Discussant: Iqbal Mansur |
13:30-15:00 Session 4F: Commodity Investing II
Chair:
Sofia Ramos (ESSEC, France)
13:30 | How Should Commodity Funds Decisions and Performance React to Size-Driven Liquidity Frictions? ( abstract ) Discussant: Sofia Ramos |
14:00 | Investing in commodity: why duplicating inventories? ( abstract ) Discussant: Emmanuel Eyiah-Donkor |
14:30 | Diversification benefits of commodities: A stochastic dominance efficiency approach ( abstract ) Discussant: Theo Berger |
13:30-15:00 Session 4G: Commodity Derivatives
Chair:
Alvaro Cartea (University of Oxford, UK)
13:30 | Financialization of Commodity Markets – Evidence from European Certificates Markets ( abstract ) Discussant: Peter Deeney |
14:00 | Arbitrage and the Financial-Physical Nexus in Commodity Markets ( abstract ) Discussant: Andrei Kirilenko |
14:30 | An equilibrium model for spot and forward prices of commodities ( abstract ) Discussant: Lorenz Schneider |
13:30-15:00 Session 4H: Electricity Markets II
Chair:
Jakub Nowotarski (Wroclaw University of Technology, Poland)
13:30 | Abnormal Returns in Markets for Congestion Revenue Rights ( abstract ) Discussant: Kevin Berk |
14:00 | Default supply auctions incentive hedging in power derivatives markets ( abstract ) Discussant: Veronika Lunina |
15:00-15:30Coffee Break
15:30-17:00 Session 5A: Commodity Volatility
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Chair:
Tim Verdonck (KU Leuven, Belgium)
15:30 | Threshold Effects of the Term Spread in Commodity Returns and Return Volatilities: A Double Threshold FIGARCH Approach ( abstract ) Discussant: Tim Verdonck |
16:00 | On the Economic Sources of Commodity Market Volatility ( abstract ) Discussant: Benedikt Gleich |
15:30-17:00 Session 5B: Gold and Silver Markets
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Chair:
Rita Laura D'Ecclesia (Sapienza Università di Roma, Italy)
15:30 | Gold Prices and Uncertainty ( abstract ) Discussant: Soomin Lee |
16:00 | Microstructure of gold Exchange Traded Funds ( abstract ) Discussant: Naomi Boyd |
16:30 | A Study of Excess Volatility of Gold and Silver ( abstract ) Discussant: Isabel Figuerola-Ferretti |
15:30-17:00 Session 5C: Electricity Markets III
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Chair:
Florentina Paraschiv (University of St. Gallen, ior/cf, Switzerland)
15:30 | Cross-Commodity News Transmission and Volatility Spillovers in the German Energy Markets ( abstract ) Discussant: Genaro Sucarrat |
16:00 | Modeling Electricity Load with Inhomogeneous Markov-Switching Models ( abstract ) Discussant: Thomas Wottka |
16:30 | On the importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting ( abstract ) Discussant: Florentina Paraschiv |
15:30-17:00 Session 5D: Modelling and Derivatives I
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Chair:
Susan Thorp (University of Sydney, Australia)
15:30 | Model Uncertainty in Electricity Interconnector Markets ( abstract ) Discussant: Andrea Roncoroni |
16:00 | Jump Activity Analysis for Affine Jump-diffusion Models: Evidences from the Commodity Market ( abstract ) Discussant: Ziba Habibi Lashkary |
16:30 | Empirical pricing performance on long-dated crude oil derivatives: Do models with stochastic interest rates matter? ( abstract ) Discussant: Antonios Papapantoleon |
15:30-17:00 Session 5E: Physical Assets
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Chair:
Gianluca Fusai (Cass Business School, City University and DISEI - Piemonte Orientale, Italy)
15:30 | Risk Asymmetries in Hydrothermal Power Generation Markets ( abstract ) Discussant: Cord Harms |
16:00 | Application of Electricity Bid Stack Models for Dynamic Hedging Purposes ( abstract ) Discussant: Margherita Stella Grasso |
16:30 | How to get the maximum value from your power plant's hedging ( abstract ) Discussant: Stephania Mosquera-López |
15:30-17:00 Session 5F: Commodity Investing III
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Chair:
Hayette Gatfaoui (IESEG School of Management, France)
15:30 | Energy industry's market value and oil price ( abstract ) Discussant: Hayette Gatfaoui |
16:00 | Intraday Pairs Trading Strategies on High Frequency Data: The Case of Oil Companies ( abstract ) Discussant: Pierre Six |
16:30 | Disagreement and Environmental Tastes as Substitutes for Financial Performance in Energy Firms ( abstract ) Discussant: Tom Erik Henriksen |
15:30-17:00 Session 5G: Asset Pricing II
Chair:
Joelle Miffre (EDHEC, France)
15:30 | Anatomy of risk premium in UK natural gas futures ( abstract ) Discussant: Vasilis Dedes |
16:00 | The Economic Value of TIPS Arbitrage Mispricing ( abstract ) Discussant: Joelle Miffre |
16:30 | Basis-momentum ( abstract ) Discussant: Julien Chevallier |
Friday, June 24th
View this program: with abstractssession overviewtalk overview
09:00-10:30 Session 7A: Financialization of Commodities
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Chair:
Ajeyo Banerjee (University of Colorado Denver, USA)
09:00 | Financialization, e-Trading, and Commodity Market Quality ( abstract ) Discussant: Ajeyo Banerjee |
09:30 | U.S. equity and commodity futures markets: hedging or financialization? ( abstract ) Discussant: Chardin Wese |
10:00 | Comovement and the Financialization of Commodities ( abstract ) Discussant: Giovanni Pagliardi |
09:00-10:30 Session 7B: Risk Management II
Chair:
Francis Declerck (ESSEC Business School, France)
09:00 | The Role of Fundamentals as Price Drivers in the Frozen Concentrated Orange Juice (FCOJ) Market ( abstract ) Discussant: Francis Declerck |
09:30 | Hedging Gone Wild: Was Delta Airlines’ Purchase Of Trainer Refinery A Sound Risk Management Strategy? ( abstract ) Discussant: Sung Je Byun |
10:00 | Sanctions against Iran: An assessment of their global impact through the lens of international Methanol prices ( abstract ) Discussant: Yves Rannou |
09:00-10:30 Session 7C: Financial Econometrics
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Chair:
Roméo Tedongap (ESSEC Business School, France)
09:00 | Realized volatility of CO2 futures ( abstract ) Discussant: Helena Veiga |
09:30 | Multivariate Constrained Robust M-Regression for Shaping Forward Curves in Energy Markets ( abstract ) Discussant: George Filis |
10:00 | Forecasting oil price realized volatility: A new approach ( abstract ) Discussant: Lazaros Symeonidis |
09:00-10:30 Session 7D: Modelling and Derivatives II
Chair:
Pierre Six (Neoma Business School, France)
09:00 | Integrated structural approach to Counterparty Credit Risk of Commodity Swaps ( abstract ) Discussant: Markus Wanner |
09:30 | Energy imbalance market call options and the valuation of storage ( abstract ) Discussant: Bruno Marque |
10:00 | Pricing commodity futures and options by means of jump-diffusion risk-neutral processes estimation ( abstract ) Discussant: Marianna Russo |
09:00-10:30 Session 7E: Corporate Risk Management
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Chair:
Alvaro Cartea (University of Oxford, UK)
09:00 | A Review of the Literature on Commodity Risk Management ( abstract ) Discussant: Monika Papież |
09:30 | Commodity Spot and Futures Prices with a Firm's Optimal Strategy ( abstract ) Discussant: Betty Simkins |
10:00 | How Firms Should Hedge Non-Tradable Risk? ( abstract ) Discussant: Alvaro Cartea |
09:00-10:30 Session 7F: Electricity Markets IV
Chair:
Juan Ignacio Peña (Universidad Carlos III, Spain)
09:00 | Modelling the Complex Dynamics of Daily Electricity Price Return Volatility ( abstract ) Discussant: Derck Koolen |
09:30 | Optimal intra-day power trading with a Gaussian additive process ( abstract ) Discussant: Alfred Müller |
10:00 | Structural model for electricity forward prices ( abstract ) Discussant: Juan Ignacio Peña |
09:00-10:30 Session 7G: Crude Oil Prices
Chair:
Andrei Kirilenko (Imperial College Business School, UK)
09:00 | Can Stale Oil Price News Predict Stock Returns? ( abstract ) Discussant: Marco Lorusso |
09:30 | Oil price uncertainty and the business cycle: Accounting for the influences of global supply and demand within a VAR GARCH-in-mean framework ( abstract ) Discussant: Yosef Bonaparte |
10:00 | Oil Price Uncertainty Index: Capturing Media Information ( abstract ) Discussant: Patrick Gruening |
09:00-10:30 Session 7H: Natural Gas Markets II
Chair:
Julien Chevallier (Université Paris 8, France)
09:00 | Gas storage valuation under Lévy processes using the Fast Fourier Transform ( abstract ) Discussant: Tommaso Pellegrino |
09:30 | Spillover effect of stock market panic on crude oil and natural gas markets ( abstract ) Discussant: Zakaria Moussa |
10:00 | Model Risk in Gas Storage Valuation: Joint Calibration-Estimation Risk Measurement ( abstract ) Discussant: Angelica Gianfreda |
10:30-11:00Coffee Break
11:00-12:30 Session 8A: Futures Trading
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Chair:
François Longin (ESSEC Business School, France)
11:00 | Identifying Demand Shocks in Commodity Futures Markets through Changes in Volatility ( abstract ) Discussant: Daniel Scheitrum |
11:30 | Price Discovery and Trading Activity in Commodity Futures Markets ( abstract ) Discussant: Zied Ftiti |
12:00 | Anticipatory Trading in Brent Futures: Evidence from the unregulated Dated Brent Benchmark ( abstract ) Discussant: A. Can Inci |
11:00-12:30 Session 8B: Financialization of Commodities II
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Chair:
Scott Linn (University of Oklahoma, USA)
11:00 | Commodities, Financialization, and Heterogeneous Agents ( abstract ) Discussant: Jung-Hyun Ahn |
11:30 | Commodity returns co-movements: Fundamentals or “style”? ( abstract ) Discussant: Celine Kharma |
11:00-12:30 Session 8C: Modelling and Derivatives III
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Chair:
Christina Nikitopoulos (University of Technology Sydney, Australia)
11:00 | From the Samuelson Volatility Effect to a Samuelson Correlation Effect: An Analysis of Crude Oil Calendar Spread Options ( abstract ) Discussant: Christina Nikitopoulos |
11:30 | A General Closed Form Approximation Pricing Formula for Basket and Multi-Asset Spread Options ( abstract ) Discussant: John Moriarty |
12:00 | Pricing and Hedging Three-Market Spread Options for the Management of Thermal Assets ( abstract ) Discussant: Giovanni Barone Adesi |
11:00-12:30 Session 8D: Bubbles or Safe Havens?
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Chair:
Jocelyn Martel (ESSEC Business School, France)
11:00 | Are Diamonds a safe haven. A financial basket index for diamonds. ( abstract ) Discussant: Floris Laly |
11:30 | Have oil prices really exhibited bubble behavior? pre-crises and recent evidence using OVX adjusted prices suggest not ( abstract ) Discussant: Nikolas Topaloglou |
12:00 | In search of hedges and safe havens: evidence from rolling regression approach ( abstract ) Discussant: Miroslava Zavadska |
11:00-12:30 Session 8E: Shipping Freight Markets
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Chair:
Duc Khuong Nguyen (IPAG, France)
11:00 | Vessel Price Formation and Second Hand Market Activity in the Dry Bulk Shipping Industry ( abstract ) Discussant: Nikos Paltalidis |
11:30 | Determinants of shipping market fluctuations: A Bayesian Markov switching three state approach ( abstract ) Discussant: Thomas Walther |
12:00 | Forecasting volatility of tanker freight rates based on asymmetric regime-switching GARCH models ( abstract ) Discussant: Ioannis Moutzouris |
11:00-12:30 Session 8F: Emissions Trading II
Chair:
Yves Rannou (University(IAE) of Poitiers CEREGE EA 1722, France)
11:00 | Carbon Pass-Through Rates in Australian Electricity Futures Markets ( abstract ) Discussant: Jiayuan Chen |
11:30 | Is information assimilated at announcements in the European Carbon Market? ( abstract ) Discussant: Sascha Kollenberg |
11:00-12:30 Session 8G: Crude Oil Markets II
Chair:
Yosef Bonaparte (University of Colorado at Denver, USA)
11:00 | Oil and Oil Company Stock Prices: Cointegration with Changing Regimes ( abstract ) Discussant: Jamal Bouoiyour |
11:30 | Causes and Consequences of Oil Price Shocks on the UK Economy ( abstract ) Discussant: Anna Creti |
12:00 | The Economic Impact of Oil on Industry Portfolios ( abstract ) Discussant: Susan Thorp |
11:00-12:30 Session 8H: Commoditiy Investing IV
Chair:
Betty Simkins (Okhlahoma state University, USA)
11:00 | GOINGS ON ABOUT ENERGY COMMODITIES IN EUROPE ( abstract ) |
11:30 | The Global Biodiesel Market Financial Commoditization ( abstract ) |
12:30-13:30Lunch Break
15:00-16:00Transfer from ESSEC Business School to Paris
19:00-22:30Conference Dinner in Paris
22:30-23:00Transfer from Paris to ESSEC