There is an increased interest in managed aquifer recharge projects in California after the implementation of SGMA. Understanding and modeling subsurface heterogeneity is essential for determining areas of efficient recharge. The goal of this project is to determine how to statistically account for the stochastic nature of geostatistical modeling. Using 100 generated geologic realizations of our study site, statistical analysis of preliminary recharge results will be used to determine confidence in results of these preliminary recharge calculations.