PROGRAM
Friday, March 27th
View this program: with abstractssession overviewtalk overview
08:05-08:40 Session 1: Poster Session
| 08:05 | Modeling the Potential Impacts of African Swine Fever on Chinese Whey Demand (abstract) |
| 08:05 | Is More Always Better? Evidence of Preference Heterogeneity in the 1994 EITC Expansion (abstract) |
| 08:05 | Telework and Time Use in the United States (abstract) |
| 08:05 | Brazilian and Argentine Agricultural Policies in the Oilseed and Grain Sectors: Impact on Production and Trade (abstract) |
| 08:05 | The Impact of an Increasing Housing Supply on Housing Prices: The Case of the District of Columbia, 2000-2018 (abstract) |
| 08:05 | Rubber Stamping Opportunity Zones (abstract) |
| 08:05 | The Effectiveness of EC Policies to Move Freight from Road to Rail: Evidence from CEE Grain Markets (abstract) |
| 08:05 | Merger Remedies: Complications to the Traditional Thinking (abstract) |
| 08:05 | Out-of-Pocket Medical Expenditures in the Redesigned Current Population Survey: Evaluating Improvements to Data Processing (abstract) |
| 08:05 | Racial Disparities in Poverty Status and Early Childhood Education Enrollment (abstract) |
| 08:05 | On the Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy in the Presence of Supply-Side Effects (abstract) |
| 08:05 | Measuring the Health Component of Employee Compensation (abstract) |
| 08:05 | The Impact of Referral-Networks on Sectoral Reallocation (abstract) |
| 08:05 | The Migration Cost-Remittance-Consumption Pathway: Implications of High Migration Costs for Human Capital Investment in Nepal and Pakistan (abstract) |
| 08:05 | Examining Poor Household’s Economic Deprivation through Financial Exclusion (abstract) |
| 08:05 | An aspiring friend is a friend indeed: school peers and college aspirations in Brazil (abstract) |
| 08:05 | The Impact of Macroeconomic Variables on Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from India (abstract) |
| 08:05 | The Effects of Designated Homeless Housing Sites on Local Communities: Evidence from Los Angeles County (abstract) |
08:40-08:55 Presidential Address and SGE Election Results
Chair:
Susan Fleck (U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, United States)
09:00-10:30 Session 2A: Poverty Tax Credits and Tax Data
Chair:
Liana Fox (U.S. Census Bureau, United States)
Discussant:
David Johnson (University of Michigan, United States)
| 09:00 | Do Older Americans Still Have More Income Than We Think? (abstract) |
| 09:20 | Incorporating Administrative Data in Survey Weights for the Survey of Income and Program Participation (abstract) |
| 09:40 | Presence and Persistence of Poverty in Tax Data (abstract) |
| 10:00 | The Antipoverty Impact of the EITC: New Estimates from Survey and Administrative Tax Records (abstract) |
09:00-10:30 Session 2B: Local Labor Markets and Income Inequality
Chair:
Laura Dodson (Economic Research Service, USDA, United States)
Discussant:
Thomas Hertz (Internal Revenue Service, United States)
| 09:00 | Does Female Breadwinning Make Partnerships Less Healthy or Less Stable? (abstract) |
| 09:20 | Using Linked Survey and Administrative Data to Understand Subnational Income Inequality and Mobility (abstract) |
| 09:40 | The Increasing Geographic Concentration of Business Growth (abstract) |
| 10:00 | Recessions and Local Labor Markets (abstract) |
09:00-10:30 Session 2C: Disparities in Access to Higher Education and Costs
Chair:
Breno Braga (Urban Institute, United States)
Discussant:
Anuj Gangopadhyaya (Urban Institute, United States)
| 09:00 | Hope for the Family: The Effects of College Costs on Parental Labor Supply (abstract) |
| 09:20 | Admissions Policies, Cohort Composition, and Academic Success: Evidence from California (abstract) |
| 09:40 | Closing the Gap: The Effect of Reducing Complexity and Uncertainty in College Pricing on the Choices of Low-income Students (abstract) |
| 10:00 | Understanding Equity Gaps in College Graduation (abstract) |
09:00-10:30 Session 2D: Capital Energy and Materials
Chair:
Cathy Greene (Economic Research Service, USDA, United States)
| 09:00 | Bundled Purchases and the Inseparability of Measured Investment and Consumption: Case Studies using the Vehicle Industry (abstract) Discussant: Leo Sveikauskas |
| 09:20 | Natural Resources and Inequality: Evidence from the United States (abstract) Discussant: Daniel Hellerstein |
| 09:40 | The Impact of New Farmer Entry on Farm Capital and Federal Program Participation: Evidence from the Land Contract Guarantee Program (abstract) Discussant: Daniel Hellerstein |
| 10:00 | Energy Efficiency in General Equilibrium with Input-Output Linkages (abstract) Discussant: Leo Sveikauskas |
09:00-10:30 Session 2E: International Trade Topics
Chair:
Susan Fleck (U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, United States)
Discussant:
J. Bradford Jensen (Georgetown University, United States)
| 09:00 | Industry-Specific Models for Analyzing Trade Policy (abstract) |
| 09:20 | Using International Trade Data for Price Indexes –Opportunities and Obstacles (abstract) |
| 09:40 | Globalization and Inequality in Innovation: A Perspective from U.S. R&D Tax Credits (abstract) |
| 10:00 | Rising Import Tariffs, Falling Export Growth: When Modern Supply chains Meet Old-Style Protectionism (abstract) |
10:40-11:50 Session 3A: Informal Transfer: The Role of Social Networks in Reducing Inequality
Chair:
Jake Schild (U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, United States)
Discussant:
John Creamer (U.S. Census Bureau, United States)
| 10:40 | Informal Transfers in Comparisons of Income Distributions: Lessons from Rich and Middle-Income Countries (abstract) |
| 11:00 | Altruism, Insurance, and Costly Solidarity Commitments (abstract) |
| 11:20 | Insurance and Propagation in Village Networks (abstract) |
10:40-11:50 Session 3B: Economic Measurement and the Use of Administrative Records
Chair:
Misty L. Heggeness (U.S. Census Bureau, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, United States)
Discussant:
Brett Matsumoto (U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, United States)
| 10:40 | The Administrative Income Statistics (AIS) Project: Research on the Use of Administrative Records to Improve Income and Resource Estimates (abstract) |
| 11:00 | Using Administrative Records Data to Produce Business Statistics: The Non-Employer Statistics by Demographic Series (NES-D) (abstract) |
| 11:20 | Using Administrative Records to Estimate the Contribution of Labor-Market Experience to the Gender Wage Gap (abstract) |
10:40-11:50 Session 3C: Forecasting
Chair:
Gianna Short (Economic Research Service, USDA, United States)
Discussant:
Fred Joutz (George Washington University, United States)
| 10:40 | Evaluating and Improving Government Forecasts (abstract) |
| 11:00 | Forecast Accuracy Matters for Hurricane Damages (abstract) |
| 11:20 | Decadent Agricultural Sectors: US Export Outlook in Japan & South Korea (abstract) |
10:40-11:50 Session 3D: New evaluation methods for government policy
Chair:
Austin Nichols (Abt Associates, United States)
| 10:40 | Covariate Selection in Experiments (Randomized Clinical Trials or RCTs) for Policy Evaluation (abstract) |
| 11:00 | When Do Non-Experimental Methods Recover Average Treatment Effects for Compliers in a Job Training Program? (abstract) |
| 11:20 | How Do Tax Returns Respond to a 30,000% Marginal Tax Rate? (abstract) |
10:40-11:50 Session 3E: National Security and Veterans Affairs
Chair:
Elizabeth Bass (Congressional Budget Office, United States)
Discussant:
Jerry Pannullo (Veterans Administration, United States)
| 10:40 | Potential Spending on Veterans’ Health Care Spending (abstract) |
| 11:00 | The Cost of Supporting Military Bases (abstract) |
| 11:20 | Approaches to Changing Military Compensation (abstract) |
12:40-13:30 Session 4: Keynote Address: Gita Gopinath
Gita Gopinath, Chief Economist at IMF and John Zwaanstra Professor of International Studies and Economics at Harvard University
13:40-14:50 Session 5A: Impact of Medicaid Expansion on Labor Markets
Chair:
Elizabeth Bass (Congressional Budget Office, United States)
Discussant:
Breno Braga (Urban Institute, United States)
| 13:40 | Health Insurance and the Supply of Entrepreneurs: Evidence from the ACA Medicaid Expansion (abstract) |
| 14:00 | The Impact of ACA Medicaid Expansions on Fertility, Composition of Recent Mothers, and School Enrollment and Labor Supply of Women of Reproductive Age (abstract) |
| 14:20 | How Did Workers Fare Under the ACA? (abstract) |
13:40-14:50 Session 5B: Migration
Chair:
Danielle H. Sandler (U.S. Census Bureau, United States)
| 13:40 | Moving to Better Health Care? Evidence from the Impact of Medicaid Expansion on Homeless Individuals in the US (abstract) Discussant: Marta Murray Close |
| 14:00 | Economic Growth and the Spatial Distribution of the Population (abstract) Discussant: Danielle H. Sandler |
| 14:20 | Disparate Outcomes from U.S. Migration (abstract) Discussant: J. David Brown |
13:40-14:50 Session 5C: Climate Change Brexit and Farmer’s Markets: Does Standard Price Determination Still Apply?
Chair:
Brian Sloboda (University of Phoenix and Department of Labor, United States)
| 13:40 | An Economic Impact Analysis of Farmers Markets in the Washington DC Metropolitan Area (abstract) Discussant: Steve Vogel |
| 14:00 | Brexit Trade Impact on the East European Members of EU (abstract) Discussant: Steven Zahniser |
| 14:20 | Future Generations and Climate Change: Climate Change, Coasts, and Communities (abstract) |
13:40-14:50 Session 5D: Expenditures
Chair:
Sabrina Pabilonia (U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, United States)
Discussant:
Young Jo (Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, United States)
| 13:40 | A Decomposition Analysis of US Food Expenditure (abstract) |
| 14:00 | Are Consumers Becoming More Price Sensitive? An Alternative View to Recent Household Spending Habits (abstract) |
| 14:20 | How Do Mortgage Rate Resets Affect Consumer Spending and Debt Repayment? Evidence from Canadian Consumers (abstract) |
13:40-14:50 Session 5E: New methods
Chair:
Wendy Martinez (U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, United States)
Discussant:
Andrew Martinez (U.S. Treasury, United States)
| 13:40 | Heterogeneous Treatment Effects of Medicaid and Efficient Policies (abstract) |
| 14:00 | What is the appropriate index formula to estimate producer price change? (abstract) |
| 14:20 | Measurement of Nominal Wages and Payroll Schedules in Administrative Earnings Data (abstract) |
15:00-16:30 Session 6A: Potential Improvements to the Supplemental Poverty Measure for 2021
Chair:
Thesia Garner (U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, United States)
Discussant:
George Carter (U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, United States)
| 15:00 | Re-estimating Commuting Expenses using the American Housing Survey (abstract) |
| 15:20 | Fixing Errors in a SNAP: Addressing SNAP Under-reporting to Evaluate Poverty (abstract) |
| 15:40 | The Promises and Challenges of Linked Rent Data from the Consumer Expenditure Survey and Housing and Urban Development (abstract) |
| 16:00 | Using ACS Earnings Data to Adjust Supplemental Poverty Measure Thresholds (abstract) |
15:00-16:30 Session 6B: Firms
Chair:
Richard Schwinn (Small Business Administration, United States)
Discussant:
Elizabeth Handwerker (U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, United States)
| 15:00 | Small Banks Financing Small Businesses (abstract) |
| 15:20 | The Evolution of U.S. Retail Concentration (abstract) |
| 15:40 | The Wider Product Variety of Multinational Firms (abstract) |
15:00-16:30 Session 6C: Productivity
Chair:
Lucia Foster (U.S. Census Bureau, United States)
Discussant:
Matthew Russell (U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, United States)
| 15:00 | U.S. Agricultural Productivity: Measurement and Sources of Growth (1948-2017) (abstract) |
| 15:20 | Measuring Multifactor Productivity for the U.S. Fisheries: A Case Study Using the New England Regional Data (abstract) |
| 15:40 | Measuring Cross-Country Differences in Misallocation (abstract) |
| 16:00 | Can Services Trade Restrictions Explain Productivity Differences Between Foreign and Domestic Firms in the Services Sector? (abstract) |
15:00-16:30 Session 6D: Housing
Chair:
Peter Han (Housing and Urban Development, United States)
Discussant:
Daniel Teles (Urban Institute, United States)
| 15:00 | Impacts of the Broadband Initiatives Program on Broadband Availability and House Sale Prices (abstract) |
| 15:20 | The Effect of Green Buildings on Housing Rental Prices and Affordability in the District of Columbia (abstract) |
| 15:40 | U.S. Housing as a Global Safe Asset: Evidence from China Shocks (abstract) |
| 16:00 | Tax Reform, Homeownership Costs, and House Prices (abstract) |
15:00-16:30 Session 6E: Career Roundtable
Claudia Sahm, Center for Equitable Growth (formerly Federal Reserve Board of Governors)
Gbenga Ajilore, Center for American Progress (formerly University of Toledo)
Jevay Grooms, Howard University
Dani Sandler, U.S. Census Bureau
Chair:
Gray Kimbrough (American University, United States)
16:45-18:00 Happy Hour - Thunder Grill Restaurant at Union Station
Join us for a happy hour social after the conference. Location: Thunder Grill Restaurant. Ground floor bar area. Street level, Eastside Main Hall, Union Station. Happy hour specials run 5-7pm.