PROGRAM FOR WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 11TH
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08:30-10:00 Session 4A: Econometrics 1
Location: 602
08:30 | Forecasting Industrial Production in high dimensional environment, and interpreting the variable selection from machine learning methods PRESENTER: Eduardo Marinho |
09:00 | Classe de modelos Nelson-Siegel com parâmetros variando no tempo: ajuste e previsão da estrutura a termo da taxa de juros PRESENTER: Werley Cordeiro |
09:30 | Macroeconomic Forecasting with Dynamic Factor Model: A Sparse Principal Components Approach PRESENTER: Igor Martins |
08:30-10:00 Session 4B: Micro 3
Location: 910
08:30 | Political Survival and Politicians’ Enrichment after Anti-Corruption Audits |
09:00 | Do campaign donations facilitate access to public funds and favorable financing terms? Evidence from Brazil PRESENTER: Joao Ricardo Pereira |
09:30 | Electoral rules and candidates decisions on campaign strategy: negative advertising in Brazil PRESENTER: Danilo Souza |
08:30-10:00 Session 4C: Macro 3
Location: 1104
08:30 | Interação entre políticas fiscal e monetária: o caso das regras fiscais brasileiras PRESENTER: Luís Sávio Barbosa Dantas |
08:52 | Uncertainty Shocks and Business Cycles in Brazil: A DSGE Approach PRESENTER: Melo |
09:14 | Optimal Environmental Policy and Business Cycles: An analysis using an E-DSGE model PRESENTER: Yuri Silva |
09:36 | Government Spending Multipliers in GoodTimes and Bad Times: The Case of Emerging Markets PRESENTER: Gian Paulo Soave |
08:30-10:00 Session 4D: Micro 4
Location: 908
08:30 | Political Career Building and the Electoral Effect of Incumbency: Evidence from Brazil |
09:00 | Judicial Subversion: Evidence from Brazil PRESENTER: Guilherme Lambais |
09:30 | Selection at the Top: Admission Exams Predict Judge Performance in Brazil PRESENTER: Thiago de Gouvea Scot de Arruda |
08:30-10:00 Session 4E: Finance 2
Location: 1207
08:30 | Law Change in a Regulated Sector Impacts Other Regulated Sectors: Evidence from Brazil PRESENTER: Felipe Sande Cruz Mattos Filgueiras |
08:52 | Labor is the superior of capital: evidence from a supply-side shock to labor markets PRESENTER: Orlando Vilar |
09:14 | Bank relationship and firms' cost of hedging PRESENTER: Sergio Leão |
09:36 | Housing Lotteries, Consumption and Wealth Effect: Evidence from credit registry data PRESENTER: Lucas Iten Teixeira |
10:30-12:00 Session 5A: Special Session - World Bank
Chair:
Location: 1104
10:30-12:00 Session 5B: EESP-FGV Prize Session - Econometrics
Location: 1207
10:30 | Homophily in preferences or meetings? Identifying and estimating an iterative network formation model PRESENTER: Luis Alvarez |
11:15 | Microfounded Forecasting PRESENTER: João Victor Issler |
10:30-12:00 Session 5C: Prize Session - Applied Micro
Location: 910
10:30 | Does Credit Boost Agriculture? Impacts on Brazilian Rural Economy and Deforestation PRESENTER: Priscila Zeraik de Souza |
11:15 | The unintended consequences of public school subsidies on educational markets |
10:30-12:00 Session 5D: Special Session - IPEA
Location: 908
12:00-13:45Lunch Break
13:45-15:15 Session 6: Keynote Lecture ANPEC/SBE - Penny Goldberg
Chair:
Location: Salão Nobre
13:45 | Informality, Development, and the New Economy |
15:15-15:45Coffee Break
15:45-17:15 Session 7A: Theory 1
Location: 602
15:45 | The effect of exit rights on cost-based procurement contracts PRESENTER: Humberto Moreira |
16:15 | Workers or retirees? Who should bear the risk of economic growth? PRESENTER: Rafael Berriel |
16:45 | Permitting prohibitions in a model of statutory interpretation PRESENTER: Bernardo Guimaraes |
15:45-17:15 Session 7B: Macro 4
Location: 1104
15:45 | Home bias in the equities portfolio: the Brazilian case PRESENTER: Franciane Dal Col |
16:15 | Capital Controls in Emerging Market Economies: Stylized Facts, Optimality and Welfare Analysis PRESENTER: Vitor de Holanda Jo |
16:45 | The perils of crossing borders: The financial constraints of Brazilian exporters during the 2009 Global Trade Collapse PRESENTER: Marcio Nakane |
15:45-17:15 Session 7C: Micro 5
Location: 1207
15:45 | Heat, Health, and Care: A Tale of a Tropical City PRESENTER: Vinicius Rodrigues Pecanha |
16:15 | Water and Birth Outcomes: Lessons from a Policy Intervention in a Climate Vulnerable Area PRESENTER: Daniel Da Mata |
16:45 | Long-Run Effects of Iodine Supplementation on Education and Labor Market Outcomes in Tanzania PRESENTER: Daniel Araujo |
15:45-17:15 Session 7D: Special Session - FIPE-USP: EconomistAs
Chair:
Location: 910
17:45-19:15 Session 8B: Invited Session - Econometrics
Location: 910
17:45 | The Wild Bootstrap with a Small Number of Large Clusters |
18:30 | Generic Machine Learning Inference on Heterogeneous Treatment Effects in Randomized Experiments |
19:30-20:30 Session 9: Tribute Session- Marcelo Paiva Abreu
Chair:
Location: Salão Nobre
19:30 | Protecionismo no Brasil: Doença Secular |