Program for Monday, September 4th: Talk View

PROGRAM FOR MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 4TH: TALK VIEW

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9:00

9:30

10:00

10:30

11:00

11:30

12:00

12:30

13:00

13:30

14:00

14:30

15:00

15:30

16:00

16:30

17:00

17:30

18:00

18:30

19:00

19:30

20:00

09:00-10:00 Opening Session

10:00-10:40 Plenary session - Professor Anne Barros- Resilience analysis and optimization for interconnected or distributed systems: use cases and methodological contributions from the chair RRSC

11:10-11:25

Optimizing Preventive Maintenance Policies: A Hydroelectric Power Plant Case Study

Pereira, Melani, Rosa, Kashiwagi, Coque Junior, Souza, Salles

11:25-11:40

Predictive maintenance planning using renewal reward processes and probabilistic RUL prognostics - analyzing the influence of accuracy and sharpness of

Mihaela Mitici, Ingeborg de Pater, Anne Barros, Zhiguo Zeng

11:40-11:55

Joint optimization of condition-based operation and maintenance for continuous process manufacturing systems under imperfect

Zhaoxiang Chen, Zhen Chen, Di Zhou, Ershun Pan

11:55-12:10

Condition-based maintenance model for a single component subject to fixed maintenance opportunities and lead

Abu Md Ariful Islam, Jørn Vatn

12:10-12:25

Predictive Strategy and Technology for Operation & Maintenance Decision Making

D.B.K. Winarno, R. Rizcanofana, H. Nugraha, M.P. Dirgantara

11:10-11:25

Advanced Situation Awareness: Perspectives Toward Enhancing Future Officers' Psychological Resilience Under Perceived Stress

Svajone Bekesiene, Rosita Kanapeckaitė

11:25-11:40

Remote supervision of autonomous ships: principles for interaction display graphics

Alf Ove Braseth, Jon Bernhard Høstmark, Magnhild Kaarstad

11:40-11:55

Analysis of risk factors in motorcycle riding and distribution of attention using eye-tracking, interview and video – Preliminary

Jan Petter Wigum, Isabelle Roche Cerasi, Petter H. Bogfjellmo, Dagfinn Moe

11:55-12:10

Cognitive Workload when Novices and Experts Supervise Autonomous Ships – Findings from Empirical

Magnhild Kaarstad, Alf Ove Braseth, Gudbrand Strømmen, Jon Bernhard Høstmark

12:10-12:25

A Study on Quantification of Operator Manual Action for Fire PSA

Sun Yeong Choi, Da Il Kang, Yong Hun Jung

11:10-11:25

Estimation of inherent risks for five hydrogen transport scenarios produced in the ocean

Kwangu Kang, Hyonjeong Noh, Youngkyun Seo

11:25-11:40

Numerical modelling of liquid hydrogen tanks performance during fire engulfment

Alice Schiaroli, Giordano Emrys Scarponi, Valerio Cozzani, Federico Ustolin

11:40-11:55

Green Hydrogen Production and Storage: A Review of Safety Standards and Guidelines with a focus on Safety Instrumented System

Siyuan Liu, Sujith Panikkar, Ivan Siang Meng Sin, Tzu Yang Loh

11:55-12:10

Analyzing Hydrogen-Related Undesired Events: A Systematic Database for Safety Assessment

Alessandro Campari, Elena Stefana, Diletta Ferrazzano, Nicola Paltrinieri

12:10-12:25

Evaluation of the Factors Determining Hydrogen Embrittlement in Pipeline Steels: an Artificial Intelligence

A. Subedi, A. Campari, A. Alvaro, B. Singh Thapa, N. Paltrinieri

11:10-11:25

Assessment of Coal Handling Facility using the Swiss Cheese Model: A Case Study of Fire Incident in Coal-Fired Power

H. Affandi, R. Hermawan, T. Alviannanda, R. Eko Prasetyo, A. Eri Trianto

11:25-11:40

Involvement of the Central Administrative Authorities of the Czech Republic in crisis management

Katerina Göghova, Alena Oulehlova

11:40-11:55

Ship allision risk analysis for the 28-year-old Nordhordland bridge in Norway

Mathias Egeland Eidem, Yanyan Sha, Roger Flage, Ida Moen

11:55-12:10

The proportion and the impact of human factor in the causes of laboratory accidents

Jinchao Zhang, Lu Meng, Sisi Chen, Zihan Zhao, Renyou Zhang, Shengtong Zhang

12:10-12:25

Normal maritime accidents in the Navy – analyzing the collisions of US Navy J. S. McCain and US Navy

Stig Ole Johnsen

11:10-11:25

Natural disasters management support models: a hybrid approach focused on humanitarian logistics

de Albuquerque, da Silva, Alencar, Ferreira, de Almeida, Morais

11:25-11:40

FLAME FRONT SPREAD MODEL OF FOREST FIRE IN STEEP CANYON TERRAIN

Longhao Li, Tzu Yang Loh

11:40-11:55

A risk-based multicriteria approach for assessing and monitoring flood disasters under heavy

L. da Silva, M.C. Fava, M. Alencar, R. Ferreira, A. de Almeida, D. Morais

11:55-12:10

Disaster management performance under behavior changes: exploring scenarios using agent-based

Nicolas Albuquerque, Lucas da Silva, Marcelo Alencar, Adiel De Almeida

12:10-12:25

Flood risk assessment for pressure equipment

A. Muratore, G. Giannelli, V. Nastasi, G. Grillone, C. Delle Site

11:10-11:25

JURIDICAL SIDE OF ALARP: THE MONTE BIANCO TUNNEL

Emin Alakbarli, Noemi Sara Gentile, Massimo Guarascio

11:25-11:40

Research on Construction method of Change Risk Database in Chemical Industry

Yuan Zhang, Xiaoyan Guo, Kun Liu

11:40-11:55

Dangerous Goods in Maritime Transport: Assessment of Container Scanning as Means of Risk Mitigation

Martine Djuka, Arto Niemi, Nicola Wendt-Lucas, Uwe Arens, Frank Sill Torres

11:55-12:10

Asymmetries in the electrical power supply dominating PSA results for nuclear power plants

Florian Berchtold, Jan Stiller

12:10-12:25

Risk Assessment of Domino effects, Approaches and Methods Analysis in European Union and Slovak

Katarina Holla

11:10-11:25

Risk assessment of cryogenic fuels in marine transportation

Olga Aneziris

11:25-11:40

Adopt or adapt? Seafaring communities of practices faced with increased automation

Asbjørn Lein Aalberg, Aud Marit Wahl, Gunnar Lamvik

11:40-11:55

Agent-based modelling and analysis of search and rescue (SAR) operations in the Barents Sea

B. Ashrafi, G. Kim, S. Dhar, S. Baek, M. Naseri, G. Heo, J. Barabady

11:55-12:10

Managing the Hazards of Ammonia in Seaports as a Potential Alternative Fuel for Green Shipping

Georgi Hrenov, Karin Reinhold, Marina Järvis, Gunnar Klaus Prause, Piia Tint

11:10-11:22

Fatigue damage prediction and reliability modeling of subsea wellhead system based on multi-factor

Shengnan Wu, Bin Li

11:22-11:34

Probabilistic finite element-based reliability of corroded pipelines

Abraham Mensah, Srinivas Sriramula

11:34-11:46

MITIGATING THE RISKS OF ENERGETIC FACILITIES BY CLEANING INTERNAL SURFACES

Jiri Kuchar, Viktor Kreibich, Dana Prochazkova, Nikol Bachurova

11:46-11:58

Segmenting without Annotating: Crack Segmentation and Monitoring via Post-hoc Classifier

Florent Forest, Hugo Porta, Devis Tuia, Olga Fink

11:58-12:10

A New Approach for Fault Diagnosis of Rolling Bearings Based on Adaptive Batch Normalization and Attention

Jingwen Hu, Yashun Wang, Xun Chen

11:10-11:25

Bayesian inference for the bounded transformed gamma process

Massimiliano Giorgio, Fabio Postiglione, Gianpaolo Pulcini

11:25-11:40

Analysis of the use of field data under variable conditions to develop lifetime models for electrical distribution

Roman Mukin, Lorenzo Privitera, Kai Hencken

11:40-11:55

Remaining useful life estimation of gamma degrading units characterized by a bathtub-shaped degradation rate in the presence of random effect and measurement

Antonio Piscopo, Nicola Esposito, Bruno Castanier, Massimiliano Giorgio

11:55-12:10

Application of Probabilistic Risk Analysis in the Overhaul of Aero-engines using a combination of Bayesian Networks and Fuzzy Set Theory - A Case

A.M.F. de Paula, G. Quadrelli, J.C. Pereira, F.L.S. de Almeida, F. Esperança

12:10-12:25

Analysis of Efficiency in Response Surface Designs Considering Orthogonality Deviations and Cost

Marco Arndt, Martin Dazer

13:45-14:25 Plenary talk: Stephen Porter - VWay, Silver Sponsor

14:30-14:45

A phase-type maintenance model considering condition-based inspections and delays before the repairs

Tianqi Sun, Jørn Vatn, Yixin Zhao, Yiliu Liu

14:45-15:00

Fault Prediction in a Smart Building Lighting System

Anas Hossini, Leïla Kloul, Benjamin Cohen Boulakia

15:00-15:15

An adaptive prescriptive maintenance policy for a gamma deteriorating unit

Nicola Esposito, Bruno Castanier, Massimiliano Giorgio

15:15-15:30

Integrated Planning of Usage-Based Maintenance and Load-Sharing under Resource Dependence

Halit Metehan Dilaver, Alp Akcay, Geert-Jan van Houtum

15:30-15:45

Dependencies and resource constraints in opportunistic maintenance modeling: a systematic literature

Lucas Equeter, Phuc Do, Pierre Dehombreux, Benoit Iung

15:45-16:00

A new maintenance efficiency model and inference method for interval censored failure data

Theo Cousino, Florent Brissaud, Leïla Marle, Laurent Doyen, Olivier Gaudoin

16:00-16:15

MAINTENANCE METHODE EVALUATION OF CASING ALIGNEMENT USING LASER MEASUREMENT TECHNIQUE: A CASE STUDY OF GAS TURBINE GENERATOR 100 MW

Andika Eri Trianto, Rachmat Hermawan, Moch Padang Dirgantara

16:15-16:30

Imperfect maintenance policy in a degrading system with two dependent components

L. Bautista Bárcena, C. Bérenguer, I. T. Castro, L. Doyen, O. Gaudoin

14:30-14:45

THE EFFECTIVENESS OF ADAPTIVE AUTOMATION IN HUMAN-TECHNOLOGY INTERACTION

Saghafian, Thordarson Moltubakk, Bertheussen, Vatn, Johnsen, Alsos

14:45-15:00

Evaluation of workload for operators in the aeronautical sector

S. F. S. Borges, P. Morais, M. G. Bovo, D. S. Castilho, M. M. Cardoso Jr.

15:00-15:15

Assessment of Soldiers' Resilience to Cognitive Attacks of Russian Hybrid Warfare

Svajone Bekesiene, Darius Leliūnas

15:15-15:30

Is the education of driver instructors in Norway in line with technological development

J.P. Wigum, G.B. Sætren, R. Helde, J.R. Vaag, M. Saghafian

15:30-15:45

Development of detailed questions for investigating the status of human and organizational factor (HOF) issue identifications from event analysis

Jinkyun Park, Elizabeth Solberg

15:45-16:00

On The Use Of Simulators To Gather Human Performance Data Of Remote Maritime Operations

Danilo Taverna Martins Pereira de Abreu, Marcos Coelho Maturana, Marcelo Martins

16:00-16:15

Commentary driving: exploring a method for operative safety reflections

Petter Helmersen Bogfjellmo, Fred Størseth

16:15-16:30

The design of effective safety training courses and differences in practice: an Italian study

Gaia Vitrano, Guido J.L. Micheli

14:30-14:45

Risk management at various stages of project management of a Hydrogen facility

Sharmin Sultana

14:45-15:00

Task Analysis and Human Error Identification to Improve the Liquid Hydrogen Bunkering Process in the Maritime

Federica Tamburini, Fabio Sgarbossa, Valerio Cozzani, Nicola Paltrinieri

15:00-15:15

Calculation of the Damage Factor for the Hydrogen-Enhanced Fatigue in the RBI Framework

Alessandro Campari, Antonio Alvaro, Federico Ustolin, Nicola Paltrinieri

15:15-15:30

Resilience of Net-Zero Energy Systems and Infrastructure: Metrics and Measurement Methods

Mahmood Shafiee

15:30-15:45

Comparative Accident Risk Assessment of Energy System Technologies for the Energy Transition in OECD

Matteo Spada, Peter Burgherr

15:45-16:00

Rule-based deep reinforcement learning for optimal control of electrical batteries in an energy

R. Rocchetta, L. Nespoli, V. Medici, M. Derboni, M. Salani, S. Basso

16:00-16:15

Requirements for quantitative risk assessment of hydrogen facilities: An Irish use case

H.D. Estrada-Lugo, M.C. Leva, S. Treanor, G. Stapleton, L. Roe

14:30-14:45

On the Impact of Epistemic Uncertainty in Scenario Likelihood on Security Risk Analysis

Dustin Witte, Daniel Lichte, Kai-Dietrich Wolf

14:45-15:00

STRATEGIC DECISIONS UNDER UNCERTAINTY: A ROLE FOR REQUISITE RISK MODELS?

Lesley Walls

15:00-15:15

Scenario-based Failure Analysis of Product Systems and their Environment

Tim Maurice Julitz, Nadine Schlüter, Manuel Löwer

15:15-15:30

Selecting combinations of reinforcement actions to improve the reliability of distribution grids in the face of external

Joaquín de la Barra, Ahti Salo

15:30-15:45

Risk Adjusting of Scoring-based Metrics in Physical Security Assessment

Thomas Termin, Daniel Lichte, Kai-Dietrich Wolf

15:45-16:00

Value personas based quantitative decision support: An approach to multi-facetted decision problems

Ingo Schönwandt, Jens Kahlen, Daniel Lichte

16:00-16:15

Propagation process of information physical attack in oil and gas intelligent pipeline system based on

Yuhuan Li, Jinqiu Hu, Laibin Zhang

14:30-14:45

Implications of Climate Change in Life Cycle Cost Analysis of Railway Infrastructure

Soleimani Chamkhorami, Kasraei, Garmabaki, Odelius, Mayowa Famurewa, Kumar

14:45-15:00

Climate change and its weather hazard on the reliability of railway infrastructure

A. Kasraei, A. Garmabaki, J. Odelius, K. Soleimani Chamkhorami, A. Thaduri

15:00-15:15

Vulnerability Scenario Characterization in an Industrial Context using a Natech Indicator and a Territorial Multi-risk

Castro Rodriguez, Demichela, Beltramino, Scalas, Brunetta, Barresi

15:15-15:30

Vegetation: a risk influencing factor for Natech scenarios

D. Tzioutzios, M.F. Pacevicius, A.M. Cruz, N. Paltrinieri

15:30-15:45

Topography-based Fuzzy Assessment of Burning Area in Wildfire Spread Simulation

Clément Iphar, Laurence Boudet, Jean-Philippe Poli

15:45-16:00

Uncertainty Management at Atmospheric Icing Management in Power Line

Mohsen Vahhabi, Abbas Barabadi, Javad Barabady, Ali Nouri Qarahasanlou

14:30-14:45

Optimized inspection plans for subsea equipment

Rossi, Fiuza, Malta, Barros, Orlowski, Schleder, Martins, Tamasi

14:45-15:00

Risk identification and Bowtie analysis for risk management of subsea pipelines

Marcelo Alencar, Utkarsh Bhardwaj, Lis Silva, Carlos Guedes Soares

15:00-15:15

Hybrid and Information Warfare: Challenging Topics for Risk Communication

Christine Große

15:15-15:30

Dynamic and Classic PSA Model Comparison for a Plant Internal Flooding Scenario

Florian Berchtold, Tanja Eraerds

15:30-15:45

Logics of justification within communication of risks

Christian Foussard, Wim Van Wassenhove, Cédric Denis-Rémis

15:45-16:00

An uncertain risk concept? Perceptions of uncertainty among risk professionals in Norwegian petroleum

Standal, Holen, Hansen, Haavik, Vigen, Rasmussen Skogstad

16:00-16:15

Understanding risk-taking propensity. An investigation examining differences between members of the general population and

Yassmin Ebrahim, Brett Molesworth, Olkesandra Molloy

14:30-14:45

Method for FTA (Fault Tree Analysis) combined with FMECA (Failure Mode and Criticality Analysis) on vessels focused on improving Reliability in Pneumatic Equipment Maintenance – A Case

Namir Furtado Vieira Júnior, José Cristiano Pereira

14:45-15:00

O&M of Crew Transfer Vessels against Floating Wind Turbines – modelling the water run-up effect during personnel transfer in waves with short

Laurent Barthelemy

15:00-15:15

Challenges and Opportunities of Implementing the Operators' Perspective: Experiences from Automated Drilling

Siri Mariane Holen, Asbjørn Lein Aalberg, Stig Ole Johnsen

15:15-15:30

A New Model for Fuel Transfer Leak Frequencies

John Spouge, Bert Wolting

15:30-15:45

Including the human factor and environmental conditions in the reliability estimation of an LNG bunkering operation

Antonio Miranda, Sebastian Martorell, Isabel Martón-Lluch, Ana Sánchez

14:30-14:45

Stochastic Analysis of RC Rectangular Shear Wall Considering Material Properties Uncertainty

Ali Ibrahim, Doaa Makhloof, Xiaodan Ren

14:45-15:00

Probabilistic Analysis of RC Doubly Curved Shells under strong ground motions

Doaa Makhloof, Ali Ibrahim, Xiaodan Ren

15:00-15:15

Reliability analysis of the ancient Nezahualcoyotl’s dike: Investigating failure due to overflow using an improved hydrological

Miguel Angel Mendoza-Lugo, Gina Alexandra Torres-Alves, Oswaldo Morales-Napoles

15:15-15:30

Main Factors that Compromise Resilience in Concrete Structures

Robson Gaiofatto, Raquel Gomes, Carlos Souza, Luiz Souza Junior

15:30-15:45

Risk Assessment in the manufacture and transportation of concrete products and precast products using

Saulo Marinho, JosÉ Cristiano Pereira Cristiano

15:45-16:00

Management of health and safety across supply chain in construction industry

Karin Reinhold, Marina Järvis

16:00-16:15

New guidelines for the quality control of risk analyses of critical hydraulic structures

Alexander Bakker, Tycho Busnach, Leslie Mooyaart, Laurie van Gijzen

14:30-14:45

A new efficient method to find a suboptimal allocation of components in a series-parallel structure

Jacek Malinowski

14:45-15:00

Development of a Bio-Mathematical Crew Fatigue Model for Business Aviation Operators

L. Baldo, M. Giardino, A. Floriani, M. Gajetti, P. Maggiore

15:00-15:15

Exact and asymptotic results for connected (r,2)-out-of-(m,n):F systems

Christian Tanguy, Jacek Malinowski

15:15-15:30

On the Use of Control Theory to Enhance Systems Towards Resilience

Tobias Demmer, Jens Kahlen, Daniel Lichte, Kai-Dietrich Wolf

15:30-15:45

Inferring Piping and Instrumentation Diagrams from Fault Tree Models

Wouter Bos, Matthias Volk, Mariëlle Stoelinga, Marc Bouissou, Pavel Krčál

15:45-16:00

A Formal Verifcation Framework for Model Checking Safety Requirements of a Simulink Landing Gear Case

T. Gonschorek, H. Stützer, F. Ortmeier, L. Wehmeier, M. Oppermann

16:00-16:15

Failure domain analysis using Sliced-Normal distributions

James Hammond, Luis Crespo, Francesco Montomoli

16:15-16:30

Safety of Complex Technical System Impacted by Its Operation Process

Krzysztof Kołowrocki

16:45-17:00

A Study on the Estabishment of Virtual System for Efficient Operation of OWC Wave Power Generator

Jung Hee Lee, Jaewon Oh, Kilwon Kim

17:00-17:15

Optimisation of maintenance by PDMPs under conditions of population heterogeneity.

Sabrine Dachraoui, Bruno Castanier, Mohamed Anis Ben Abdessalem, Alex Kosgodagan

17:15-17:30

Condition-based maintenance optimization of a large-scale system with a POMDP formulation: evaluation of a heursitic

Matthieu Roux, Yiping Fang, Anne Barros

17:30-17:45

Data-Driven Condition-Based Maintenance Optimization: Application of Bootstrap in Conservative Maintenance Decisions with Limited

Yue Cai, Ruud Teunter, Bram de Jonge

17:45-18:00

Preventive Risk-based Maintenance Scheduling using Discrete-Time Markov Chain Models

Joachim Grimstad, Tamas Ruppert, Janos Abonyi, Andrey Morozov

18:00-18:15

Joint Optimization of Reallocation and Maintenance for 1-out-of-2 Pairs: G Balanced System

Xiaofei Chai, Onur A. Kilic, Ruud H. Teunter, Jasper Veldman, Xian Zhao

16:45-17:00

Human Performance Improvement Tools and Situation Awareness in Nuclear Power Plant Outage Work

Elizabeth Solberg, Prosper A. Kwei-Narh

17:00-17:15

Which human reliability analysis methods are most used in industrial practice? A preliminary systematic

Caroline Morais, Marilia Ramos, Raphael Moura

17:15-17:30

Evaluation of human performance in the operation of a UAV in a joint operation scenario with troops on the

Gomes Pereira Sarmento et.al

17:30-17:45

Combining control room operator task load analysis and subjective workload assessment

Asgeir Drøivoldsmo, Espen Nystad, Jan Erik Farbrot

17:45-18:00

Natural Language Processing Tool for Identifying Influencing Factors in Human Reliability Analysis and Summarizing Accident

Karl Johnson, Caroline Morais, Edoardo Patelli

16:45-17:00

MBSA model to evaluate and analyze the production availability of an offshore wind farm

Baptiste Bougoüin, Maïder Estécahandy, Guillaume Clément

17:00-17:15

Wind Turbine Installation Vessel Mission Reliability Modelling Using Petri Nets

Rundong Yan, Sarah Dunnett, Lisa Jackson

17:15-17:30

Bearing Health and Safety Analysis to improve the reliability and efficiency of Horizontal Axis Wind Turbine

Ali Nawaz, Sajawal Gul Niazi, Tudi Huang, Hong-Zhong Huang, S. A. Shah

17:30-17:45

Modeling the Effect of Environmental and Operating Conditions on Power Converter Reliability in Wind Turbines with Time-Dependent

Karoline Pelka, Katharina Fischer

17:45-18:00

Knowledge and Data Fusion-driven for Offshore Wind Turbine Gearbox Fault Diagnosis

Qingqing Xu, Hao Liu, Yingchun Ye, Laibin Zhang, Taotao Zhou

18:00-18:15

Wind turbine bearing diagnostics using deep learning approach

Eduardo Menezes, Márcio Moura, Isis Lins

16:45-17:00

The joint application of Functional Resonance Analysis Method (FRAM) with the Perceptual Cycle Model (PCM) supporting the safety analysis of an

I.N.M.d. Silva, G.M. Siviero, F.A. Pereira, M.M.C. Junior

17:00-17:15

Bibliometric analysis applied to the analysis and investigation of accidents in high risk industries

Francisco Silva, Moacyr Cardoso

17:15-17:30

A concept of information-based strategy for accident prevention

Tiantian Zhu, Masoud Naseri, Yiliu Liu

17:30-17:45

A risk model for recreational craft accidents

Thieme, Bye, Aalberg, Linløkken, Johansen, Aasland Torgersen

16:45-17:00

Evaluating resilience in a holistic and quantitative manner in an evolving power supply system

Kris Schroven, Benjamin Lickert, Corinna Köpke, Alexander Stolz

17:00-17:15

Operational Response to extreme weather events

Ricky Campion, Vincent Ganthy

17:15-17:30

Reducing coastal flood risk by improving closure reliability of storm surge barriers

Leslie Mooyaart, Alexander Bakker, Johan van den Bogaard, Sebastiaan Jonkman

17:30-17:45

Estimating Tropical Cyclone induced Power Outages in Future Climate Scenarios

Zaira Pagan Cajigas, Seth Guikema, Charles Fant, Brent Boehlert, Xavier Maier

17:45-18:00

Return Periods of Extreme Events in the Changing Climate: LEYP Model

Mahesh Pandey, Sophie Mercier

16:45-17:00

Extreme External Event Probabilistic Safety Assessment Framework

Hyungjun Kim, Seungjun Lee

17:00-17:15

Forecasting risks using the competence of experts

Vugar Aliyev, Zurab Gasitashvili, Merab Pkhovelishvili, Natela Archvadze

17:15-17:30

Process hazard analysis: Proposing a structured procedure based on Multilevel Flow Modelling

Ruixue Li, Jing Wu, Xinxin Zhang, Ole Ravn

17:30-17:45

Feasibility Study on Integration of Operator Modelling in DICE

Dohun Kwon, Gyunyoung Heo

17:45-18:00

Forecasting Risks Using the Competence of Experts

Vugar Aliyev, Zurab Gasitashvili, Merab Pkhovelishvili, Natela Archvadze

18:00-18:15

Uncertainty quantification in portfolio optimization

Xiang Zhao, Selin Ahipasaoglu

18:15-18:45

Surrogate modelling of risk measures for use in probabilistic safety analysis applications

Sara Asensio, Isabel Martón, Ana Isabel Sánchez, Sebastián Martorell

16:45-17:00

Real-time risk monitoring of ship pilotage operations: Automating BN risk model development

Sunil Basnet, Ahmad Bahootoroody, Victor Bolbot, Osiris A. Valdez Banda

17:00-17:15

A Bayesian inference and metaheuristics model for estimating the frequency maritime accidents: the case of Fernando de

Siqueira, Campos Lucas, Lima, Gois, Chagas Moura, Duarte, Didier Lins

17:15-17:30

Availability study of an installation dedicated to CO2 capture, optimization of the design and of the injection strategy via Petri

Céline Vinuesa, Maider Estécahandy, Nicolas ClavÉ

17:30-17:45

A copula-based Bayesian Network to model wave climate multivariate uncertainty in the Alboran sea

P. Mares-Nasarre, J. García-Maribona, M.A. Mendoza-Lugo, O. Morales-Napoles

16:45-17:00

Environmental contours and time dependence

Arne Bang Huseby

17:00-17:15

Reliability analysis of flexural subassemblies under ultra-high and low cycle fatigue based on Monte-Carlo

Yongtao Bai, Cheng Xie, Julio Flórez-López

17:15-17:30

Reliability analysis for overturning and sliding of lacustrine dikes: The Nezahualcoyotl dike case

Gina Alexandra Torres-Alves, Patricia Mares-Nasarre, Oswaldo Morales-Nápoles

17:30-17:45

Improving the diagnostic reliability of AE-based failure mode detection and distinction in CFRP

Jonathan Liebeton, Stella Soon, Dirk Söffker

17:45-18:00

Probabilistic Analysis of Interaction of Atmospheric Icing with Wind on Structures

Jana Markova, Milan Holicky, Karel Jung, Miroslav Sykora

18:00-18:15

AN ASSESSMENT OF THE TRADE-OFF BETWEEN ENERGETIC EFFICIENCY AND STRUCTURAL INTEGRITY IN WAVE ENERGY

María L. Jalon, Juan Chiachio, Manuel Chiachio

16:45-17:00

Failure On Demand Analysis in the Case of Score Based Binary Classifiers: Method and Application

Alexander Günther, Peter Liggesmeyer

17:00-17:15

A New Method for Reliability Evaluation of Two-Terminal Multistate Networks in Terms of d-MCs

Shuai Zhang, Yun Huang, Guanghan Bai, Junyong Tao

17:15-17:30

Safety Performance Analysis of High Pressure Wellhead Based on Thermodynamic Coupling Model

Bin Li, Shengnan Wu, Qiao Zhang, Laibin Zhang, Tianhao Liu

17:30-17:45

Importance analysis in the evaluation of input attributes of classifiers

Elena Zaitseva, Vitaly Levashenko, Sergey Stankevich

17:45-18:00

Schematizing rainfall events with multivariate depth-duration dependence

Guus Rongen, Ben Throssell

18:10-20:00 ESRA Annual General Meeting

10:40-11:10 Coffee Break

12:40-13:40 Lunch Break

16:15-16:45 Coffee Break