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09:00 | Understanding Daily Demand Flows in the Era of Big Data SPEAKER: Francesco Viti ABSTRACT. The next decades will be characterized by greater investments on sensor technologies and Intelligent Transportation Systems, to facilitate the paradigm shift towards full automation and connectivity in transport and mobility. If intelligent vehicles and the smart mobility services will partly mitigate the random nature of human factors, not everything in the future will be predictable. Demand flows will still unavoidably be driven by personal mobility needs, and travel choices will, on the contrary, become more complex and ill predictable due to an increasing number of multimodal and interacting sharing options. This talk will provide an overview of the current and future challenges in capturing and modeling daily mobility patterns from various sources of (big) data (GSM, floating car data, smartphones, etc.), and proposes a list of ingredients in both models and technologies, which are deemed necessary to estimate dynamic demand flows that are consistent with the observed daily activity-travel behavior. |
10:30 | Transit Link Transmission Model SPEAKER: Guido Gentile ABSTRACT. Modelling the within-day dynamic of public transport systems is crucial for optimal real-time operations and predictive passenger information, as well as for off-line planning of the service. |
11:00 | User assignment in a smart vehicles’ network: dynamic modelling as an agent-based model SPEAKER: Alexis Poulhès ABSTRACT. Demand-responsive transport systems diversify local public transport with providing more flexibility of routing and scheduling and maximizing vehicles’ occupancy. The classical Dial-a-ride problem is often resolved as the minimization of a cost function. However, the projected itinerary of the vehicles is calculated on a global approach considering automatically each new users independently and a dispatcher test a match with all available service vehicles. This research proposes the conception of a mobility system based on transit vehicles and station infrastructures with exogenous constraints on the route. The vehicles are shared dynamically and make extra-stops to collect travelers with various destinations. In addition, the users of the service have not any transfer and are transported to their destination stations. We constructed an agent-based model which maximizes the utility of each vehicle while satisfying the main constraints: minimum travel time and waiting time of the users and maximum occupancy of vehicles. We propose then a new formulation of the problem. Passengers’ assignment to vehicles is controlled directly by the vehicle drivers on an aggregated level by origin destination pair. A case study illustrates the theoretical model and examines the effectiveness of the hypothesis through a sensitive analyze on operating choice as vehicle speed or on the demand ratio. |
11:30 | Notes on the use of simulation-optimization techniques in traffic simulation SPEAKER: Lídia Montero ABSTRACT. Mathematical and simulation models of systems lay at the core of decision support systems, and their role become more critical when more complex is the system object of decision. The decision process usually encompasses the optimization of some utility function that evaluates the performance indicators that measure the impacts of the decisions. An increasing difficulty directly related to the complexity of the system arises when the associated function to be optimized is a not analytical, non-differentiable, nonlinear function which can only be evaluated by simulation. Simulation-optimization techniques are especially suited in these cases and its use is becoming increasingly used in traffic models, an archetypic case of complex, dynamic systems exhibiting highly stochastic characteristics. In this approach simulation is used to evaluate the objective function, and a non-differentiable optimization technique to solve the optimization problem. Stochastic Perturbation Stochastic Approximation (SPSA) is one of the most used of these techniques. |
12:00 | Real Time Microservices Based Environmental Sensors System for Hazmat Transportation Networks Monitoring SPEAKER: Ghyzlane Cherradi ABSTRACT. The transportation of dangerous goods represents one of the most critical risk particularly in urban area. For example, every day large quantities of hazardous substances have transported by roads or railways inside areas with high density of population. Thus, to ensure urban and public safety the first challenge that we tackle is to find an environmental information system which is able to provide risk management and monitoring. Moreover, it can capture urban transportation dynamics and offer specific services, visualization, analyses and evaluation of the hazmat risk in various high risk zones. In addition, due to wireless technologies and real time intelligent sensors, the risk of dangerous goods can be carried out in real time. |
10:30 | Congestion Pricing Implementation in Taksim Zone: A Stated Preference Study SPEAKER: Müge Özgenel ABSTRACT. Implementation of Congestion Pricing, which is one the mechanisms of transportation demand management, has so far been successfully used throughout the world. In this study, it was aimed to measure the applicability of Congestion Pricing concept in Istanbul, Turkey. Taksim district of Istanbul was proposed as the implementation area. This is because high levels of congestion are being observed in Taksim. To understand Responses of residents living in Yesilkoy district of Istanbul were collected using stated preference surveys. Yesilkoy is chosen because it is close to the Istanbul Ataturk International Airport and hence is considered as a transfer point between the airport and Taksim. Many trips between the airport and Taksim involve the usage of the express jitneys between Yesilkoy and Taksim. Moreover, Yesilkoy is mainly a residential area and generate frequent trips of the aforementioned jitneys. Travel patterns and behavior of people living in Yesilkoy and taking trips to Taksim and attitudes towards Congestion Pricing are investigated. |
11:00 | The Economic Account of Travel Passes in Public Transport SPEAKER: Daniel Hörcher ABSTRACT. Travel passes offer unlimited access to public transport services within a given geographic area and time period, after the payment of a subscription-type entry fee. These tariff products are widely used in urban public transport networks for various reasons, generally supported by public opinion. There is no consesus, nevertheless, on whether the availability of travel passes is favourable for society as a whole, from an economic efficiency point of view. Microeconomic theory suggests that the welfare maximising price of a service equals to the marginal external social cost of using that service. In line with this principle, the literature normally associates subscription style nonlinear pricing systems with a profit maximising objective, which is certainly not acceptable for a monopolist public transport operator. It is not obvious, therefore, that travel passes cannot be replaced with more efficient usage-dependent pricing tools. |
11:30 | The Cost of Transportation : Spatial Analysis of Fuel Prices in the US SPEAKER: Juste Raimbault ABSTRACT. The geography of fuel prices has many various implications, from its significant impact on accessibility to being an indicator of territorial equity and transportation policy. In this paper, we study the spatio-temporal patterns of fuel price in the US at a very high resolution using a newly constructed dataset collecting daily oil prices for two months, on a significant proportion of US gas facilities. These data have been collected using a specifically-designed large scale data crawling technology that we describe. We study the influence of socio-economic variables, by using complementary methods: Geographically Weighted Regression to take into account spatial non-stationarity, and linear econometric modeling to condition at the state and test county level characteristics. The former yields an optimal spatial range roughly corresponding to stationarity scale, and significant influence of variables such as median income or wage per job, with a non-simple spatial behavior that confirms the importance of geographical particularities. On the other hand, multi-level modeling reveals a strong state fixed effect, while county specific characteristics still have significant impact. Through the combination of such methods, we unveil the superposition of a governance process with a local socio- economical spatial process. We discuss one important application that is the elaboration of locally parametrized car-regulation policies. |
12:00 | Dakar Toll Road: Moving People to help People move SPEAKER: Pierre Graftieaux ABSTRACT. The 24-km Dakar Toll Road was inaugurated in 2013 on schedule and below budget. It has reduced travel times by two thirds between downtown and the outskirts and is spurring the development of the conurbation. Long recognized to be an urgent priority, it took however about 30 years to eventuate, mainly because decision makers were deterred by the magnitude of the resettlement plan needed to insert this infrastructure into densely populated informal settlements. The paper explains (i) how the relocation of 48,000 people has been mitigated through a comprehensive compensation scheme combined with the construction of a new town to accommodate some of those relocated, and the upgrading of low-income settlements along the Road and (ii) how this US$800 million project, first greenfield toll road in Sub-Saharan Africa (excluding South Africa), and structured as a PPP, materialized through funding from multilaterals, government, commercial banks and the private sector. |
10:30 | On-street parking search time estimation using FCD data SPEAKER: Umberto Crisalli ABSTRACT. In urban areas parking search is a considerable problem, which affects car travel time, especially in city centres where on-street parking lots are usually few compared with demand. The literature in this field mostly investigates this problem from a strategic point of view studying the impacts assessment of parking policies neglecting the problem of reproduction user behaviour in park search and the relative time spent to find a parking place at destination, which can deeply affect car travel time modelling and estimation. Nowadays, this failure plays a key role fro user information, both real-time and off-line, because the underestimation of car travel times leads to overestimate car mode attractiveness with respect to others. Moreover, ignoring parking search time implies considerable approximations in assessing transfer times and waiting for public transport in multimodal journeys, especially in case of low-frequency services. |
11:00 | Ramp metering for flow maximisation and emission reduction – a set-based multi-objective design approach SPEAKER: Alfréd Csikós ABSTRACT. A set-theoretical approach is presented for a multi-objective control design of the local ramp metering problem. Two control objectives are specified: first, the optimization of traffic performance, by the minimization of total time spent. Second, the emission factor of CO2 is minimized. The optimal state for traffic emission however lies in the unstable domain of the dynamic system. To dissolve this inconsistency, the control problem is formalized by using set-theoretical methods. For this purpose, the non-linear model METANET is rewritten in a shifted coordinate frame with a parameter-varying, polytopic representation. Bounds on state-, input- and disturbance variables are expressed by convex polytopes. These sets are then used for the design of an interpolated H∞ controller that is capable of improving traffic conditions according to the prescribed multi-objective criteria. Different control allocation methods are compared with non-linear model predictive control stategy, in order to illustrate the proposed methodology. |
11:30 | A two-level urban traffic control for autonomous vehicles to improve network-wide performance SPEAKER: István Varga ABSTRACT. In the near future, autonomous vehicles will face with new challenges in several fields. One of the most exciting changes will be represented by the network-wide optimal traffic control. When driverless vehicles take over the road, classical road signalization schemes will become superfluous. Accordingly, the paper’s aim is to propose a control design methodology for autonomous vehicles in urban traffic network by considering the network-wide performance. The proposed two-level control strategy solves a tractable optimization problem for a network wide traffic control. On the one hand, a local intersection controller is designed which ensures safe crossings of vehicles and aims to reduce traffic emission in the junction area. On the other hand, the local controllers also optimize the network performance by minimizing the queues in all road links. The traffic is therefore modeled in a two-level fashion. A microscopic dynamics is considered in junctions and macroscopic model is applied for the whole traffic network. The control strategy is tested and evaluated based on microscopic traffic simulation. |
12:00 | Traffic State Estimation Per Lane in Highways with Connected Vehicles SPEAKER: Nikolaos Bekiaris-Liberis ABSTRACT. A model-based traffic state estimation approach is developed for per-lane density estimation as well as on-ramp and off-ramp flows estimation for highways in presence of connected vehicles, namely, vehicles that are capable of reporting information to an infrastructure-based system. Three are the basic ingredients of the developed estimation scheme: (1) a data-driven version of the conservation-of-vehicles equation (in its time- and space-discretized form); (2) the utilization of position and speed information from connected vehicles' reports, as well as total flow measurements obtained from a minimum number (sufficient for the observability of the model) of fixed detectors, such as, for example, at the main entry and exit of a given highway stretch; and (3) the employment of a standard Kalman filter. The performance of the estimation scheme is evaluated for various penetration rates of connected vehicles utilizing real microscopic traffic data collected within the Next Generation SIMulation (NGSIM) program. It is shown that the estimation performance is satisfactory, in terms of a suitable metric, even for low penetration rates of connected vehicles. The sensitivity of the estimation performance to variations of the model parameters (two in total) is also quantified, and it is shown that, overall, the estimation scheme is little sensitive to the model parameters. |
10:30 | Analysis of Stated Preferences for Accessible Services and Commerce in a Walkable Distance from Home SPEAKER: Michael Olitsky ABSTRACT. Walkable neighborhoods allow a variety of activities and opportunities for social encounters, through improved accessibility to commerce, public services and other facilities. Non-motorized mode choices (walking and cycling) have been promoted by governments and cities due to the substantial body of evidence on their contributions to environmental, social and economic aspects of urban sustainability. However, non-motorized transport has not been promoted in the planning and design of many cities in Israel. In light of this, and in the context of the crisis condition of the Israeli housing market, it is of interest to examine the housing preferences for walking distance to land uses in Israeli neighborhoods. A stated-preference analysis was conducted using a choice-based conjoint analysis, based on data collected from 184 respondents of a cross-sectional, online survey. The results indicate an overall preference toward apartments that are in a walkable distance from a commercial street, rather than a shopping mall. Similarly, apartments in a walkable distance from education facilities were preferred over apartments in a walkable distance from medical clinics. Ultimately, apartment location and its price affect choice in a similar magnitude. Based on the findings, the paper provides some policy recommendations, and discusses generalization of these findings to other countries. |
11:00 | Identifying driving behaviour patterns and its impacts in energy efficiency SPEAKER: Marta Faria ABSTRACT. Taking into consideration the role of the transportation sector in terms of energy consumption and environmental impacts, the characterization of vehicle use and driver behavior opens new opportunities for energy and emissions savings. The use of information and communication technologies can potentially be a powerful driver to promote change in this sector. |
11:30 | Modeling Driver Behaviour in Dilemma Zone under Mixed Traffic Conditions SPEAKER: Bharat Kumar Pathivada ABSTRACT. When signal changes from green to yellow at a signalized intersection, often drivers are caught in two minds whether to cross the intersection or stop at the stop line. Which might lead to right angle collision or rear end collision, when a driver makes an erroneous decision. The area in which the driver is caught in two minds is termed as dilemma zone or indecision zone. Understanding the driver behaviour within the indecisive zone can help in improving the efficiency and safety at the intersections. Most of the studies in the literature have investigated the dilemma zone driving behaviour in homogeneous traffic conditions. Traffic in developing countries like India is heterogeneous containing various vehicle types, where vehicles vary in their physical dimensions and dynamic characteristics. Heterogeneity results in the variability of approach speeds among vehicle types and the acceleration/deceleration capability of the vehicles. Driver behaviour is much more complex in mixed traffic conditions and the research findings cannot be transferred/applied directly. Study on the existence and distribution of the indecision zone at heterogeneous traffic conditions can give great insights into developing various engineering countermeasures. This study analyzes the stop/go behaviour of the drivers at the signalized intersection under mixed traffic conditions from a video based field study. The study findings will be useful in enhancing the safety and efficiency of the signalized intersections. |
12:00 | How drivers’ characteristics can affect driving style SPEAKER: Giuseppe Pungillo ABSTRACT. Driving style concerns the way a driver chooses to drive, and depends on physical and emotional conditions of the driver while driving. In order to validate this hypothesis, we propose a SEM aimed to investigate on the relationship between among driving style and drivers’ characteristics such as somatic, behavioural and emotional conditions. Drivers’ conditions include tiredness, sleepiness, sickness, gloom, worry, nervousness, boredom, and anger. In the proposed model, driving style is considered as an endogenous latent construct, while drivers’ characteristics were considered as exogenous. Driving style is defined by means of a judgement expressed by the driver on a scale ranged from aggressive to cautious. In addition, a more reliable definition of the driving style is determined through an objective measure derived from cinematic parameters. We addressed to a sample of drivers a questionnaire aimed to collect information about their conditions while driving and the judgement about their driving style. Each driver registered the same path run in different days (more than thirty paths for each driver, in average), and complete the questionnaire for each path. This permits to observe the possible changes of drivers’ driving style as a function of the different physical and emotional states that drivers present in different days. |
10:30 | Obtaining the intercity bus travel matrix in turkey and analysing it in GIS environment SPEAKER: Yasar Vitosoglu ABSTRACT. Decision makers need appropriate information systems to carry out spatial analyses related to transportation. Hence, Geographical Information Systems (GIS) are one of the effective tools used for realizing spatial analyses. Therefore, GIS were also used in this study for evaluating the information about intercity bus travels in Turkey. For this purpose, the intercity bus travel matrix obtained is transferred to GIS environment. Thus, it was possible to evaluate the intercity bus travel matrix in a visual environment. |
11:00 | Bicycle network design: model and solution algorithm SPEAKER: Antonio Mauttone ABSTRACT. We propose an optimization framework for urban bicycle network design. The model takes into account interests of the users (who travel along shortest paths) and the planners (available budget). An underlying network composed by street segments suitable to build cycling infrastructure is taken as input. Each network link has construction and user cost, both proportional to the distance. A network link without cycling infrastructure which is part of a path followed by users, has a larger user cost. A multi-commodity network flow mixed-integer mathematical program is proposed and applied to small-sized problem instances to validate the model. The formulation considers the discontinuities of the bicycle network, i.e. the users' paths which include segments without cycling infrastructure. Sensitivity analysis are performed with respect to budget levels and to penalization of user's cost in links without cycling infrastructure. A metaheuristic is proposed to handle large-sized instances. As an additional feature (difficult to formulate in the exact model), the metaheuristic also minimizes the total number of discontinuities by including them into the objective function. The accuracy of the metaheuristic is estimated by comparing with exact results when possible. The methodology is tested using data from the city of Montevideo, Uruguay, including a large-sized underlying street network and origin-destination trips estimated from a household survey. Computational results are obtained with and without minimization of discontinuities, and they are compared with the current bicycle network of the city. |
11:30 | Measuring the quality of traffic flow on urban streets with high pedestrian crossing demand SPEAKER: Federico Pascucci ABSTRACT. The planning of pedestrian crossings in urban environments could benefit from the use of microsimulation tools, which can reproduce the movement of road users and estimate the Level of Service of all traffic modes. With regard to pedestrian motion, the LOS is usually assumed as a function of the delay time to cross the road – HCM has identified threshold values of delay time to assess LOS. However, this approach may be inadequate in areas where pedestrian motion has to be promoted, like in the proximity of pedestrian zones and squares where recreational activities are possible. |
12:00 | Roundabout capacity in heterogenous traffic condition: Modification of HCM equation and calibration SPEAKER: Ashish Dhamaniya ABSTRACT. The highway capacity manual of US (HCM-2010) is widely referred document around the globe for planning and design of roads. However, the transferability of HCM recommendations for heterogeneous traffic conditions represents a major research issue as they are often not suitable to properly explain the traffic complexities of a mixed-traffic condition. This research investigates the suitability of HCM equations for determining the entry capacity of a four-legged roundabout under mixed traffic condition and proposes a methodology for validating and calibrating HCM equations for performance evaluation. Data corresponding to traffic composition, traffic volume, critical gap and follow-up time have been extracted from the video records collected at two roundabouts. The relationship between entry flow and circulatory flow has been plotted from the observed data when there is a complete saturation in the approach leg and depicted that it follows a negative exponential behavior. It implies that the entry capacity reduces exponentially with the increase in circulating flow. The critical gap has been estimated by various methods such as Maximum Likelihood Method (MLM), Root Mean Square (RMS) method and Probability Equilibrium Method (PEM). Further, a stream equivalent critical gap of 1.60 seconds and stream equivalent follow-up time of 1.24 seconds have been derived due to the mixed traffic scenario at the study location. A multiplicative adjustment factor of 1.1 is suggested for the use of HCM 2010 equation directly to estimate entry capacity under heterogeneous traffic condition. The study results may use for planning and designing of roundabout under mixed-traffic flow condition. |
13:30 | Route planning methodology with four-step model and dynamic assignments SPEAKER: Márton Tamás Horváth ABSTRACT. Nowadays plenty of navigation and route guidance methodologies are available, based on real-time traffic information collected from technologies that have not been originally developed to measure road traffic parameters, for example, cellular and GPS data of users’ mobile phones and their current travel demands. Traditional traffic estimation methodologies, such as the four-step model, are ignored. This way, reliable traffic data can be obtained only from those areas where there are enough users. |
14:00 | Fixed point states of day-to-day assignment processes with state-dependent route choice SPEAKER: Paolo Delle Site ABSTRACT. Stochastic User Equilibrium (SUE) has been proposed to overcome the limitations of the perfect knowledge assumption of Wardrop’s user equilibrium. Imperfect knowledge of the network and the associated heterogeneity in the perception of travel times, as it occurs in the absence of Advanced Traveller Information Systems (ATIS), justifies SUE providing strictly positive flows for all routes. SUE is at the same time the steady state of a day-to-day assignment process under the assumption of state independent route choice, i.e. choice independent of the previously chosen route. Still in a context of absence of ATIS, state-dependent route choice represents a more realistic assumption: users exhibit inertia to change. Experimental evidence supports the assumption. The paper investigates the fixed-point states of Markov assignment processes with state-dependent route choice. These fixed points characterise a new concept of network equilibrium, referred to as State-Dependent Stochastic User Equilibrium (SDSUE), where if each user shifts from her current route to her newly chosen route the observed route flows do not change. The existence of SDSUE is guaranteed under usually satisfied conditions. A method of successive averages is proposed for computing SDSUE. An example related to the Braess network with logit route choice illustrates the model. Numerical evidence is provided of a symmetry property of SDSUE transition flows whereby, at equilibrium, the number of users shifting from route i to route j equals the number of those shifting from route j to route i. |
14:30 | Calibration of the demand structure for dynamic traffic assignment using flow and speed data: exploiting the advantage of distributed computing in derivative-free optimization algorithms SPEAKER: Bojan Kostic ABSTRACT. Stochastic optimization algorithms have been proposed in the recent literature as a preferred way for calibrating Dynamic Traffic Assignment (DTA) models, because the computation of explicit gradient is numerically too cumbersome on real networks. However, early experiences based on SPSA have shown convergence issues when the number of variables becomes large. |
15:00 | Analysis of road urban transport network capacity through a dynamic assignment model SPEAKER: Vincenza Torrisi ABSTRACT. Network capacity in a transportation system becomes an important measurement for transport planning and management because it addresses its capability to satisfy an efficient network traffic flow reducing the inefficiency of congestion phenomena. |
13:30 | Identification of communities in urban mobility networks using multi-layer graphs of network traffic SPEAKER: Mehmet Yildirimoglu ABSTRACT. This paper proposes a novel approach to investigate the community structure in a city mobility network using multi-layer graphs of network traffic that represent the flow of different movement entities (i.e. private vehicles, buses and passengers) in the network. Given a city network and link weights that define the strength of connection between different parts of the city, we partition the area into smaller regions at each layer. The partitioning algorithm returns surprisingly compact and connected regions in all layers. In addition, we define a similarity measure that compares community structures across the layers and quantifies the level of interaction between them. |
14:00 | Zone estimation in public transport planning with data mining SPEAKER: Viktor Nagy ABSTRACT. Nowadays, data sets are spreading continually, generated by different devices and systems. The modern GPS based tracking systems and the electronic tickets are producing lots of data, and we could use them, for improving the service level. These data are processable with the modern devices and methods, and we can use them for obtaining information. Thanks to the spread of data mining, these tools are not appearing only in marketing research, but also in the most various kind of scientific areas and they are advertising a new scientific revolution. Although the importance of these data sources is essential it is not widespread in transport planning except in some specific areas. |
14:30 | Data-driven transfer inference for public transport journeys during disruptions SPEAKER: Menno Yap ABSTRACT. Disruptions in public transport have major impact on passengers and disproportional effects on passenger satisfaction. The availability of smart card data gives opportunities to better quantify disruption impacts on passengers’ experienced journey travel time and comfort. For this, accurate journey inference from raw transaction data is required. Several rule-based algorithms exist to infer whether a passenger alighting and subsequent boarding is categorized as transfer or final destination where an activity is performed. Although this logic can infer transfers during undisrupted public transport operations, these algorithms have limitations during disruptions: disruptions and subsequent operational rescheduling measures can force passengers to travel via routes which would be non-optimal or illogical during undisrupted operations. Therefore, applying existing algorithms can lead to biased journey inference and biased disruption impact quantification. We develop and apply a new transfer inference algorithm which infers journeys from raw smart card transactions in an accurate way during both disrupted and undisrupted operations. In this algorithm we incorporate the effects of denied boarding, transferring to a vehicle of the same line (due to operator rescheduling measures as short-turning), and the use of public transport services of another operator on another network level as intermediate journey stage during disruptions. This results in an algorithm with an improved transfer inference performance compared to existing algorithms. |
15:00 | Advanced demand data collection technologies for multi modal strategic modelling SPEAKER: Csaba Kelen ABSTRACT. New data collection technologies have all, but replaced traditional, site-based data collection methods for trip matrix development in the UK. Event data produced by Mobile Network Operators provides adequate information to identify time and location of trip origin and destination (OD), but only limited information on transport mode, vehicle type or trip purpose. In addition, GPS-based data provides another source of OD and user data. |
13:30 | Evaluation of Alternative Paths for Reliable Routing in City Logistics SPEAKER: Patrick-Oliver Groß ABSTRACT. Due to varying traffic volumes and limited traffic infrastructure in urban areas, travel times are uncertain and differ during the day. In this environment, city logistics service providers (CLSP) have to fulfill deliveries in a cost-efficient and reliable manner. To ensure cost-efficient routing while satisfying promised delivery dates, information on the expected travel times between customers needs to be considered appropriately. |
14:00 | Stochastic Route Planning in Public Transport SPEAKER: Alpár Jüttner ABSTRACT. Journey planning is a key process in public transport, where travelers get informed how to make the best use of a given public transport system for their individual travel needs. For a given journey request, the now ubiquitous journey planner applications usually offer one or several routes, which are linear sequences of legs forming the itinerary. A common trait is that they assume a deterministic environment. However, vehicles in public transport often deviate from their schedule. |
14:30 | Bayesian route choice inference using Bluetooth technology SPEAKER: Francisco Garrido-Valenzuela ABSTRACT. Bluetooth technologies can be used to track specific vehicles by their MAC address; this can be done by installing Bluetooth detectors in selected intersections of a study area. Based on the detections, it could be possible to track vehicles equipped with this technology. However, an equipped vehicle is not necessarily detected at every intersection as detection probabilities depend on many factors such as weather conditions, nearby infrastructure or vehicles speeds. Given the lack of perfect information, it is necessary to infer the most likely routes chosen by the vehicles. |
15:00 | Adapting the A* algorithm for park spot routing SPEAKER: Mareike Hedderich ABSTRACT. Major cities encounter traffic problems every day, whereby studies showed that cars looking for a parking spot have a large impact on urban traffic. |
13:30 | Statistical Analysis of the Occurrence and Severity of Crashes Involving Vulnerable Road Users: Portugal Experience SPEAKER: Mariana Vilaça ABSTRACT. Cities have been often organized in terms of planning with special attention to motor vehicles and not well prepared for pedestrians and cyclists. In order to privilege active modes, there is the need to ensure the safety of these vulnerable road users. |
14:00 | Estimating an Injury Crash Rate Prediction Model based on severity levels evaluation: the case study of single-vehicle run-off-road crashes on rural context SPEAKER: Francesca Russo ABSTRACT. The research aims to calibrate Injury Crash Rate Prediction Model ICRPM for two-lane rural roads focusing on single-vehicle run-off-road crashes happened on the study network during an 8-year period. Five years of crash information were considered to calibrate ICRPM while the remaining 3 years were used to validate the results. A wide variety of factors appear to influence or be associated with the crash dynamic investigated: gender, age and number of drivers, horizontal curvature indicator, mean lane width, daylight/nighttime conditions, road surface conditions, Annual Average Daily Traffic, mean speed. Before moving to the calibration phase, a mixed logit model aiming to estimate the injury severity ranging from no injury to fatality considering also other intermediate values, was calibrated. This model is particularly advantageous in terms of accounting for unobserved heterogeneity (unobserved factors across crash observations may be considered still in case of limited data). Most dangerous scenarios that can affect the severity of the study crash types were identified and adopted for calibrating generalized estimating equations with a negative binomial distribution that predict crash rate. Akaike information criterion and Bayesian information criterion were used for checking the reliability of the results. The validation procedure succeeded: the diagram of cumulated squared residuals confirmed the reliability of the model. The construction of final risk type density diagrams to thoroughly identify all possible combinations of existing explicative variables likely to produce hazardous circumstances on the road have been plotted for identifying unsafe and safe scenarios. |
14:30 | Evaluation of Bicycle Sharrows within the Norwegian Context SPEAKER: Miroslav Vasilev ABSTRACT. Sharrows are a type of lane marking used on shared-use streets to indicate that cyclists have the right to, and can be expected to cycle on the roadway. These markings are widely used in countries such as USA, Canada and Australia but have only recently been implemented in Norway. It is important to determine how sharrows function within the Norwegian context, including investigating how Norwegians understand sharrows and whether their behavior is influenced by the markings. To examine this, behavioral data was registered manually on-site before and after the implementation of the new marking. Additionally, surveys were distributed to both cyclists and drivers who use the street, in order to learn more about the users’ perceptions of the sharrows and their effect. A decrease in sidewalk cycling among adult cyclists was observed, but no significant changes in cyclists’ positioning in the roadway |were found. However, the results of the survey showed that the majority of the users understood the purpose of the new measure. Also, it was found that 69% of the cyclists reported a higher degree of perceived safety and 70% of the drivers felt that the sharrows has influenced the traffic safety along the street in a positive way. While the results of this study are not entirely conclusive, and specific to the location and conditions of the implementation, no detrimental effects were observed. |
15:00 | Comparing different black spot identifying methods SPEAKER: Maen Ghadi ABSTRACT. The identification of road sections characterized by high risk accidents is the first step for any successful road safety management process, considering the limited available resources. Although researchers started to study black spot decades ago, there are many un-clarified questions in this field. In the identification process of black spots three main methods can be used: screening methods, clustering methods and crash prediction methods. Many literatures and case studies were written describing each method pros or cons. These literatures concentrate mostly on one type of road each time, although road characteristics (i.e. speed, ADT) can highly affect the success and precision of the applied method. Therefore, the most important question to be answered is which method for which road?. This question can be answered by comparing different applied methods for different road types. However the comparison of different methods is still not adequately explored area. This article aims to compare different methods used in identifying black spot; the sliding window and the spatial autocorrelation for two types of roads differ in their average speed, where speed is one of the important road characteristics which is still not adequately explored. The result shows a preference to use the sliding window for identifying black spot in high speed roads and the lack of preference to use it in low speed roads, and vice versa for spatial autocorrelation method, following accidents distribution pattern. And a result of a weakness in applying Empirical Bayesian in high speed road is also included. |
13:30 | Airline Re-fleeting Managing Revenues and Maintenance Operations SPEAKER: Luis Cadarso ABSTRACT. Airline re-fleeting, also known as Demand driven dispatch, is the reassignment of aircraft to flights close to departure in order to improve operating profitability. It swaps aircraft of different sizes on flight legs to change capacity in response to demand. With schedules fixed many months ahead of the departure date, revenue management operates with the assumption of fixed capacity to maximize revenue. Demand driven dispatch makes capacity flexible again, changing aircraft assignments nearer to departure. Using more detailed and reliable demand information to better match capacity supplied with quantity demanded, revenues may be increased and operating costs decreased. Previous research on demand driven dispatch have not incorporated or significantly simplified key issues such as revenue management and maintenance operations; making changes few days in advance to the day of operations may dramatically influence aircraft airworthiness if available flying hours until maintenance are not taken into account. The focus of this paper is on the integration of demand driven dispatch, revenue management and maintenance operations in an airline network environment. A stochastic mixed integer model is proposed in order to solve the fleet re-assignment problem while considering aircraft maintenance requirements and revenue management. Stochastic demand is considered in order to model demand predictions and to decide on seat inventory control, i.e., so as to decide how many seats to protect at each fare class and market. Realistic computational experiments drawn from IBERIA, the major Spanish airline, are presented. |
14:00 | The use of UAV and geographic information systems for facility location in a pos-disaster scenario SPEAKER: Renata Albergaria M. Bandeira ABSTRACT. Immediately after a natural disaster, there is the need for several assistance activities in order to help the victims in the affected areas. The challenges faced in this response operation are numerous, given the lack of centralized coordination, limited resources, lack of infrastructure and personnel. The logistics process is initiated by the assessment of the local situation after the emergency alert (relief) given by the authorities in the affected country, or by the international community, depending on the scale and severity of the disaster or crisis, in a period up to 24 hours after the disaster strikes. Therefore, to support this initial assessment, the use of real-time mapping and research technologies, such as Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAV), is important to increase logistic efficiency in the distribution processes. In this context, the objective of this article is to present a procedure to help in the decision-making process of designing an aid distribution network with the use of UAV technologies and geographic information systems (GIS). The procedure also helps in the location of points of distribution and in vehicle routing in the distribution problem. The procedure is applied in a real crisis situation, taking as a basis the characteristics of the disaster response operation occurred after the floods in the municipality of Duque de Caxias in Brazil in 2013. The results of the association of UAV and GIS enabled the evaluation of the amplitude of the disaster in region and identifying possible service facilities within the affect region as supply centers. |
14:30 | Airport Ground Access Reliability: Resilience of Transit Networks SPEAKER: Caterina Malandri ABSTRACT. Airport ground access is one of the key determinants influencing air travellers’ airport choice. The improvement of transportation facilities serving airports could represent a strong strategic action to enlarge the catchment area and increase airports’ market position. |
15:00 | Priority rules as a concept for the usage of scarce airport capacity SPEAKER: Erik Grunewald ABSTRACT. The limited capacity available at airports regularly leads to an imbalance between supply and demand at busier airports. It is the runway systems at such airports which often set limitations on the number of possible flight clearances. In addition, existing systems of regulation sometimes use strategic resource allocation as a condition for access to specific infrastructure, as for instance the airport slot allocation in accordance with EU Regulation 95/93 and its amendments in Europe. |
16:00 | Combinatorial Connectivity’s and spectral graph analytics for urban public transportation system SPEAKER: Zineb Besri ABSTRACT. Spatial structural analytics have increased importance in recent years as a helpful tool for decision making as well as public operators’ commitment in integrated transport planning and land use. Analysis of complex systems remains the domain of excellence to grasp for control complexity. The public transportation transit system assessment targets two important aspects of public transport network: the organizational diagnosis and the technical diagnosis. Theoretical foundations derived from order theory (combinatorial connectivity, spectral graphs analysis) provide interesting solutions to study exchanges and flows in a system. These are systemic tools well suited to big linked data analytics. Various applications exist in the areas of computer networks, social networks analysis, economic analysis and, knowledge discovery. This paper involves simplicial algebra and centrality based on spectral graphs for the discovery of the organization and the existing linkage between transport supply given by the routes served by transport (bus, tram, metro, train) and demand resulted in attractive spatial zones (stop stations generators). The case study concerns the analysis of urban transportation systems of the city of Valenciennes (France). However, the approach remains valid for other networks without any alterations or modifications. |
16:30 | A tool for supporting the design of BRT and LRT services SPEAKER: Marcos Schlickmann ABSTRACT. When public authorities face the need to improve a transportation system, they normally have to make a difficult choice among a set of technological and operational alternatives. To help the correct evaluation of each alternative and its impacts, costs and benefits, it would be useful to have a decision support tool based on approaches such as Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) and/or Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA). Among the many impacts caused by a public transportation system, typically those on the land use are not adequately considered in the decision-making processes, mainly because they are hard to monetize, they are often considered as value transfer instead of value creation, and they are too complex to be assessed by traditional transport modelling tools. To overcome these weaknesses, the objectives of this research are to identify and measure the impacts of transit systems on land use and accessibility, and to consider those impacts in decision-making processes, along with more traditional financial and transport related impacts. For this purpose, a decision support tool, combining a land use and transport model with a MCDA model, was developed and assessed in a small case study. In future work, sensitivity and risk analysis will be incorporated, to more accurately and realistically reflect uncertainties and exogenous conditions that may significantly affect the costs and the benefits of a project. Finally, this decision support tool will be fully assessed in a study of the Green Line extension project in Boston, USA. |
17:00 | Spatial Accessibility Analysis and Location-Allocation of Healthcare Service using Geospatial Techniques SPEAKER: Nisha Radhakrishnan ABSTRACT. Health care is one of the most important facility and it helps to improve the quality of life and social welfare of modern society. Recent advances in the field of health geography have greatly improved our understanding of the role played by geographic distribution of health services in population health maintenance. This study presents a two stage methodology to evaluate the existing locations of health care facilities in Tiruchirappalli city of Tamil Nadu, India and includes to identify the optimal site for new healthcare facility. Firstly, the Spatial Accessibility index to healthcare facilities are measured using three Step Floating Catchment Area (3SFCA) in a geospatial framework, considering three variables; namely, attractiveness of healthcare facilities, travel time or distance between the locations of the service centre and the residence, and population demand for healthcare facilities. This index would define the disparity region in healthcare accessibility in the city. Secondly, the Location-Allocation model would be developed to find optimal sites for new healthcare facility in the deprived area. The analysis also includes road network analysis, to determine the closest facility and shortest route to these health care facilities from the population. The study is thus, recommended as a spatial decision support system for urban policy makers regarding accessibility of healthcare facilities in the urban area. |
16:00 | Identifying irregularity sources by Automated Location Vehicle Data SPEAKER: Benedetto Barabino ABSTRACT. In high frequency transit services, regularity is a key element, as it represents a qualifying measure of service-quality in terms of time reliability. Irregularity problems are unavoidable due to the stochastic context where bus services are operated. Therefore, characterizing the regularity and identifying irregularity causes and sources provides an opportunity to maintain planned headways. |
16:30 | Reactive model for ambulance dispatching using real-time data SPEAKER: Marco Amorim ABSTRACT. In an era of fast technology improvements and easy access to real-time data from various sources, intelligent transport systems emerge. Emergency medical services (EMS) response is one of the transport systems that can take advantage of technological advances. Moreover, cities present themselves as dynamic environments where traffic flows change during the day as well as people’s location. Therefore, a static EMS response is inappropriate and unable to give a proper response at every period of a day with a reasonable ambulance fleet size. |
16:00 | Joint analysis of intermodal long distance-last mile trips using urban interchanges in EU cities. SPEAKER: Andrea Alonso ABSTRACT. This paper provides an analysis of long-short distance passenger interconnectivity in the European context. The analysis is based on the results of the project HERMES (7th FP). The information about connecting trips surveys were carried out to stakeholders and travellers. Their outputs show weakness and strengths of four intermodal stations: Gothenburg Central Station (Sweden), Avenida de America Interchange in Madrid (Spain), Lleida-Zaragoza railway stations (Spain), and Part Dieu Intermodal Station in Lyon (France). |
16:30 | The role of consumers in the logistics system SPEAKER: Andrii Galkin ABSTRACT. Nowadays, one of the main functions of logistics is material flow distribution from the producer to the final consumer. Modern scientific methods and models pay attention to numerous tasks at different stages of the logistics system. But, simultaneously, the efficiency of interaction of logistics systems considered in isolated form from the problems of improving the whole society efficiency. Meanwhile, there is a connection between the current expenses of trade organizations, industrial producers and consumer spending. All this lead to necessary of include consumer’s component into logistics system. The development of logistics approach based on consumer’s cost-benefit opens new opportunities to improve their service and the efficiency of the logistics system. The article examined influence of consumer on the logistics system efficiency functioning; Defined interaction of logistics system and consumer; Revealed prerequisites that determine necessity of considering consumers in logistics system; Proposed models that describe integrated efficiency evaluation of the logistics system and customers. |
17:00 | Developing a micro-simulation tool for autonomous connected vehicle platoons used in city logistics SPEAKER: Inbal Haas ABSTRACT. The future holds great promise for the use of autonomous vehicles. Many daily activities which require the use of extensive manpower, will soon be performed with much less human interference, if at all. City logistics is an example of one such arena, which will be highly affected by the introduction of autonomous vehicles. Autonomous vehicles will replace human dispatchers in the near future, and conduct delivery tasks. However, this process will be gradual. Until granting full autonomy, autonomous vehicles will be integrated in the general traffic in the form of platoons, led by a human driver. |
16:00 | On passenger traffic along a transit line: a stochastic model of station waiting and in-vehicle crowding under distributed headways SPEAKER: Fabien Leurent ABSTRACT. Traffic along a transit line involves two kinds of mobile entities: passengers versus vehicles. The paper develops a stochastic model to deal with: headways between successive runs serving stations, wait times at boarding stations, passenger flows per vehicle and by leg (i.e. pair of entry-exit stations), in-vehicle comfort differentiating between seated and standing places. The “Rank conservation” postulate of Leurent et al. (2012a,b) is used to establish analytical formulae for the expectation and variance of every traffic variable of interest: leg flows, link flows, wait times, leg physical times, generalized times at waiting and in-vehicle. The linkage between waiting prior to boarding and in-vehicle crowding is modeled: each user is concerned individually, conditionally to the headway during which he waits for the vehicle. A computation scheme is provided to deliver the statistical summaries of the array of traffic variables. |
16:30 | Visualisation of train punctuality – illustrations and cases SPEAKER: Andreas Dypvik Landmark ABSTRACT. The purpose of this paper is to show relevant dimensions for presenting railway punctuality data. We discuss alternatives for visualisation and analysis and show principles and practical examples. The study has benefitted from access to a complete database of Norwegian punctuality data including all data that have been automatically stored since the system was introduced in 2005. The applied data include information about train number, scheduled departure and arrival to each of the stations, as well as actual departure and arrival times. In addition, we have had access to infrastructure data from the Norwegian railway authority. Based on the available data, we developed a set of visualisations and analysis options. The tools were first implemented as a prototype, and then transferred to the Norwegian Railway Authority to be hosted on their web pages. This paper describes the principles applied in the tools, as gives a wide range of illustrations of actual implementation of the analyses. Three key dimensions in punctuality analysis are related to the line, time and selected trains. We use several tools that combine the time and line perspectives, including heat maps and correlations analysis between punctuality on different locations or points in time. Both experience-based knowledge and literature indicate a need for a practical method designed for use by practitioners in the railway sector. The main outcome of this research is the creation of an analysis tool case to meet these needs. The visualisations support informed and efficient identification of punctuality improvement measures. |
16:00 | Commercial actions management for railway companies SPEAKER: José Carlos García García ABSTRACT. Nowadays, the railway control and planning methods incorporate the robustness and recoverability as strategies to improve the fault tolerance of the system. However, the disruptions continue to appear in the railway network causing delays, cancellations of trains, etc. |
16:30 | Passenger-centric airport management via new terminal design concepts SPEAKER: Thomas Christ ABSTRACT. Meeting the needs of passengers will increasingly become a competitive factor for airports. Information is one of the most valued services for passengers. Therefore, timely providing of real-time data to the passengers is high on the list of airlines and airports. Since not every passenger has a mobile device at hand, relevant information need also be disseminated offline. Static and dynamic signs cover the above mentioned issues, but the place, where such signs are installed is crucial. |
17:00 | Conflict resolution for North Atlantic air traffic with speed regulation SPEAKER: Imen Dhief ABSTRACT. Since air traffic volume increased over the oceanic airspaces, it has been primordial to improve oceanic air traffic management procedures. One of the most important limitations in the oceans air traffic is the lack of radar coverage. The availability of new surveillance means, called automated dependence surveillance-broadcast system (ADS-B), permits to enhance the strategic flight planning over the oceans by reducing the separation standards. Besides, oceanic flights are mainly subjected to strong winds caused by the jet streams. In this work, we focus on optimizing the strategic flight planning over the North Atlantic airspace. First, we organize the traffic inside a route structure that benefits from both the Jet streams and the exploitation of ADS-B systems. Indeed, from one side, these routes are merged inside the jet streams in order to be as close as possible from wind-optimal routes. On the other side, these routes are constructed to fit in with the new separation standards required when implementing the ADS-B systems. Then, we resolve conflicts between aircraft via an optimization model based on a speed regulation. |
17:30 | Closing remarks of EWGT 2017 SPEAKER: Riccardo Rossi |
17:45 | Introduction of EWGT 2018 location SPEAKER: Inbal Haas |